Reflecting-Suitcase — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

96.1%

Resolved

1,541

Trades

1,595

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-04-13

last 10-27 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 187 days

Categories

Other

80% 98% +$2

Sports

15% 100% +$2

Crypto

3% 98% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	—	+10	$10	98¢	$10	$0	10-29 15:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	4	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-31 04:48
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:05
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	Asterisk	+$0	05-30 04:48
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	4	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:22
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:36
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:35
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	3	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-28 16:31
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	2	$20	10	10	+0	TheMongolz	+$0	05-27 17:22
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Under	+$0	05-31 04:48
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:29
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	4	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-30 04:48
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:35
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	3	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Carole Monnet	2	$20	10	10	+0	Maja Chwalinska	+$0	05-31 08:08
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:42
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:31
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:11
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-15 21:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 15:14:13	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x21a132…
10-27 13:12:06	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8c4da5…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe90357…
10-24 13:22:17	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3fdf20…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x14050d…
10-23 07:20:57	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf949d…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0dab4d…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeba48f…
10-20 18:39:09	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdbb41e…
10-18 03:35:36	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x518d3b…
10-15 20:32:48	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xed46b0…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x782125…
10-14 20:56:43	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc88957…
10-14 11:41:26	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf65762…
10-13 20:58:58	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7652a3…
10-13 15:53:25	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x192a80…
10-13 14:15:25	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3281a1…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3ed5cf…
10-12 16:35:41	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x20b634…
10-12 09:05:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xea1af9…
10-11 20:16:13	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdfbb4c…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x58c5bb…
10-11 10:26:14	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa12463…
10-10 11:09:06	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcdb726…
10-10 10:21:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1b0055…
10-09 02:09:51	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfead87…
10-07 06:30:53	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc4b8cb…
10-07 05:38:38	W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova	Anna Yang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa74475…
10-06 20:46:26	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x640f93…
10-06 16:07:33	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf2987…
10-04 23:23:16	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0d943b…
10-04 20:17:40	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf4a4a…
10-04 07:45:13	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x47726b…
10-03 14:50:27	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb401ae…
10-03 06:15:48	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe5a4a1…
10-03 02:52:59	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x225a81…
10-02 14:15:39	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x292058…
10-02 14:13:36	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd1d542…
10-01 20:46:21	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd06a4…
10-01 20:36:08	Will Malta win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4900a4…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x728217…
10-01 16:08:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31889c…
10-01 11:47:06	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3d4979…
10-01 06:03:14	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5afa83…
10-01 05:16:09	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x83916d…
09-30 23:54:51	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4de817…
09-30 12:27:59	atp kuzmano sachko 2026 09 30	Vitaliy Sachko	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xde6fd7…
09-29 13:59:00	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x52a70d…
09-29 13:20:15	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x141646…
09-28 10:07:56	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbcd0b2…
09-27 20:41:57	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8cdd3a…
09-27 14:05:50	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7743ee…
09-27 13:31:17	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x25406a…
09-27 12:29:14	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x896496…
09-27 01:56:06	UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ailin Perez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x014173…
09-26 23:23:51	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d2e4c…
09-26 19:47:29	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x17bddd…
09-26 12:18:26	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x68db66…
09-25 22:57:44	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7f4ab0…
09-25 10:39:23	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa667eb…
09-24 20:48:42	Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3643c…
09-24 20:45:14	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb978c…
09-23 22:37:44	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaac1c3…
09-23 16:19:31	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92a92c…
09-23 04:45:14	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x47b929…
09-21 19:09:01	will msft dip to 495 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a5894…
09-21 18:44:36	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d46c2…
09-21 08:37:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c3018…
09-20 22:25:38	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd4289…
09-20 21:08:28	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6ffef…
09-20 09:13:45	val flfe genggc 2026 09 20 game1	Gen.G GC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf73bee…
09-20 04:25:15	wta shublad astakho 2026 09 19	Darya Astakhova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa40cd0…
09-20 02:59:34	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa091dd…
09-20 01:26:37	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x42bbfc…
09-19 01:33:07	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e5268…
09-18 20:00:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x38a3ec…
09-18 19:32:16	Will AC Oulu win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb856ea…
09-18 00:54:24	Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4aa74c…
09-17 20:00:13	Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x33c733…
09-17 17:27:45	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4eef1a…
09-17 17:00:22	ethereum up or down september 17 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f8d81…
09-17 14:00:55	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe1c51c…
09-17 00:30:42	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd6b9fc…
09-16 21:18:49	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8c96dc…
09-16 16:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe060ec…
09-16 12:05:15	atp canas lagutin 2026 09 16	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a800a…
09-16 01:32:13	Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Evan Zhu	Michael Zheng	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3684ca…
09-16 01:20:06	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf131fd…
09-15 17:49:54	will wti reach 105 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x48896e…
09-15 16:15:00	cs2 wraith morrow 2026 09 15	MORROW	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xab26c7…
09-14 19:48:04	cs2 drama zotix 2026 09 14 game2	Drama eSports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfe033d…
09-14 04:36:54	atp peliwo ziegann 2026 09 13	Filip Peliwo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9cc5bb…
09-14 01:22:54	wta bucsa andrees 2026 09 13	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c0685…
09-13 14:59:09	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x549180…
09-13 02:51:16	Iowa State vs. Iowa	Iowa	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf74805…
09-13 01:21:10	Buffalo vs. Florida International	Florida International	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x047a7e…
09-12 21:50:03	Spain vs. USA	USA	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x87b8a4…
09-12 13:40:51	Will Leyton Orient FC win on 2026-09-12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x50ad17…
09-11 21:06:34	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x064be4…
09-11 20:32:57	Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs KAMUI (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Phantom Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd5e74…