Incredible-Budget — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$132

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.9%

Resolved

1,006

Trades

1,505

lifetime

Volume

$30.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 10-21 09:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 85% +$24

Other

3% 67% +$108

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	4	$411	2,222	2,222	+0	No	-$9	04-23 06:07
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$378	369	215	+154	Yes	+$52	04-02 03:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 13:15 UTC	1	$350	459	0	+459	Up	+$109	04-01 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$204	189	189	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 07:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 13:10 UTC	1	$200	271	0	+271	Up	-$200	04-07 13:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 06:20 UTC	2	$110	128	0	+128	Up	-$110	04-07 06:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 06:15 UTC	1	$100	105	0	+105	Down	+$5	04-07 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$90	48	48	+0	Up	+$7	10-20 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$90	50	50	+0	Down	+$10	09-01 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$88	49	49	+0	Down	+$8	05-20 08:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 09:40 UTC	2	$88	48	48	+0	Up	+$6	06-08 09:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 09:05 UTC	2	$87	47	47	+0	Down	+$7	09-16 09:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 07:50 UTC	2	$86	45	45	+0	Up	+$4	09-22 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$86	45	45	+0	Down	+$3	06-03 10:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 08:35 UTC	2	$85	44	44	+0	Up	+$3	07-01 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$85	44	44	+0	Up	+$3	06-02 11:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 09:05 UTC	2	$85	45	45	+0	Down	+$5	09-29 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$84	44	44	+0	Down	+$3	09-14 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$84	44	44	+0	Down	+$4	10-21 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$84	43	43	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 08:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:15 UTC	2	$83	43	43	+0	Down	+$3	09-15 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$83	43	43	+0	Down	+$3	05-21 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$83	43	43	+0	Down	+$3	06-01 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$83	43	43	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$83	43	43	+0	Up	+$3	06-01 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$83	43	43	+0	Up	+$2	10-19 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 08:50 UTC	2	$83	43	43	+0	Up	+$2	07-02 08:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 08:40 UTC	2	$83	43	43	+0	Up	+$3	06-09 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$83	43	43	+0	Down	+$2	06-03 08:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 08:55 UTC	2	$83	42	42	+0	Up	+$1	06-08 08:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 09:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x46bc51…
10-21 08:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x5f0c06…
10-21 08:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0xc1a7ae…
10-21 07:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0x68da7e…
10-21 07:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x60e9e3…
10-20 11:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	44	79¢	$35	0xeffb4c…
10-20 08:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x2130af…
10-20 08:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	48	86¢	$41	0x097d11…
10-20 08:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xee019a…
10-19 13:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xcbce70…
10-19 12:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x0cc055…
10-19 12:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x752dc5…
10-19 08:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xdbd892…
10-19 08:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x2b5ac8…
09-29 09:10:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 09:05 UTC	Down	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x1efec4…
09-29 09:09:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	45	87¢	$40	0x730970…
09-28 07:58:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x9fcd57…
09-28 07:54:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xd7130c…
09-28 07:54:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x3abd4e…
09-28 07:39:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	49	83¢	$40	0x1d003e…
09-23 09:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x15049b…
09-23 09:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xbcf23d…
09-23 08:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x2968a0…
09-23 08:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0xf1a2d8…
09-22 11:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0xbc6dfa…
09-22 10:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x1157d7…
09-22 10:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x0ead9d…
09-22 09:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x45c37f…
09-22 09:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x1b84bf…
09-22 09:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	42	97¢	$40	0x7f0859…
09-22 09:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	42	31¢	$13	0xc1e766…
09-22 09:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x3e8990…
09-22 09:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0x2483da…
09-22 09:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xfc9016…
09-22 09:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xccb425…
09-22 08:33:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x743428…
09-22 07:55:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 07:50 UTC	Up	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x9b98d9…
09-22 07:53:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	45	91¢	$41	0x465058…
09-22 07:40:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 07:35 UTC	Up	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0x379871…
09-22 07:39:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xe69ab5…
09-22 07:28:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	42	97¢	$40	0x72d7f9…
09-17 09:49:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xa0909e…
09-17 09:19:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	42	43¢	$18	0xce1d5f…
09-17 09:18:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xfc5de1…
09-17 08:18:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	43	95¢	$40	0x31fd8b…
09-16 11:39:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 11:35 UTC	Down	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x18033f…
09-16 11:38:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x3bbd88…
09-16 09:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x777a88…
09-16 09:10:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 09:05 UTC	Down	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x75d128…
09-16 09:08:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x86bc70…
09-16 08:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x7b9ff5…
09-16 08:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	48	88¢	$42	0x409b2c…
09-16 08:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	41	89¢	$36	0x63f295…
09-16 08:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x83f7b0…
09-16 07:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x02fd27…
09-16 07:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x2429be…
09-15 11:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x518395…
09-15 08:54:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	44	92¢	$41	0xefa015…
09-15 08:20:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:15 UTC	Down	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x7cd6d4…
09-15 08:18:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xa72ba2…
09-15 08:03:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xbad302…
09-15 07:14:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xf65e73…
09-14 11:08:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x36eb5d…
09-14 09:48:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xfa9282…
09-14 08:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x97c356…
09-14 08:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	44	93¢	$41	0x815c2c…
09-14 08:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x1f400a…
09-07 12:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x2fc685…
09-05 17:24:03	cs2 mouz vit 2026 09 05	MOUZ	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0xe668bd…
09-04 09:04:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0xc31404…
09-04 09:04:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x27f537…
09-04 09:03:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	43	95¢	$40	0x2eea99…
09-04 08:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0xe80784…
09-03 08:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x4b3b30…
09-03 07:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x962990…
09-02 08:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	42	92¢	$39	0x23d490…
09-02 08:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xcbb181…
09-02 08:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x362ec1…
09-02 08:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x12cff6…
09-02 08:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	44	94¢	$41	0x915251…
09-01 10:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x7a92c0…
09-01 09:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x883be9…
09-01 09:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x84b32c…
09-01 09:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0x0553d8…
09-01 08:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0x040828…
09-01 08:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x30abec…
09-01 08:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xb9ea82…
08-27 11:44:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	49	91¢	$44	0x410237…
08-27 11:34:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:30 UTC	Up	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xe6cecb…
08-27 11:34:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:30 UTC	Up	SELL	13	33¢	$4	0x68d66b…
08-27 11:34:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:30 UTC	Up	SELL	30	33¢	$10	0x094742…
08-27 11:34:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	46	69¢	$32	0xc60489…
08-27 11:14:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x41658d…
08-27 09:39:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xe3dfdd…
08-27 09:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xec04e9…
08-27 09:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	44	86¢	$38	0x7b63b6…
08-27 08:13:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x03974c…
08-06 09:33:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x4a3fe9…
08-06 09:28:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7f0f7b…
08-06 09:28:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x79e5bc…