Incredible-Budget — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$93

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,276

lifetime

Volume

$22.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 06-09 09:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 97% +$93

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 183 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	4	$411	2,222	2,222	+0	open	—	04-23 06:07
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$378	369	215	+154	open	—	04-02 03:57
btc updown 5m 1775049300	1	$350	459	0	+459	open	—	04-01 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$204	189	189	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 07:27
btc updown 5m 1775567400	1	$200	271	0	+271	open	—	04-07 13:13
btc updown 5m 1775542800	2	$110	128	0	+128	open	—	04-07 06:23
btc updown 5m 1775542500	1	$100	105	0	+105	open	—	04-07 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$88	49	49	+0	open	—	05-20 08:45
btc updown 5m 1780911600	2	$88	48	48	+0	open	—	06-08 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$86	45	45	+0	open	—	06-03 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$85	44	44	+0	open	—	06-02 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$83	43	43	+0	open	—	05-21 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$83	43	43	+0	open	—	06-01 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$83	43	43	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$83	43	43	+0	open	—	06-01 08:50
btc updown 5m 1780994400	2	$83	43	43	+0	open	—	06-09 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$83	43	43	+0	open	—	06-03 08:25
btc updown 5m 1780908900	2	$83	42	42	+0	open	—	06-08 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$82	42	42	+0	open	—	05-18 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$82	42	42	+0	open	—	06-02 10:35
btc updown 5m 1780996500	2	$82	42	42	+0	open	—	06-09 09:20
btc updown 5m 1780650900	2	$81	47	47	+0	open	—	06-05 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$81	42	42	+0	open	—	05-20 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$81	42	42	+0	open	—	05-26 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$81	42	42	+0	open	—	05-26 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$81	41	41	+0	open	—	06-03 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$81	41	41	+0	open	—	05-14 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$81	41	41	+0	open	—	06-01 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$81	41	41	+0	open	—	06-02 10:20
btc updown 5m 1780566600	2	$73	41	41	+0	open	—	06-04 09:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 09:23:48	btc updown 5m 1780996800	Down	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x9a392a…
06-09 09:20:03	btc updown 5m 1780996500	Up	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0xdddf62…
06-09 09:18:48	btc updown 5m 1780996500	Up	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x4289c4…
06-09 09:14:09	btc updown 5m 1780996200	Up	BUY	43	95¢	$40	0x0fe4c7…
06-09 08:53:48	btc updown 5m 1780995000	Up	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xa45800…
06-09 08:45:03	btc updown 5m 1780994400	Up	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x095193…
06-09 08:44:24	btc updown 5m 1780994400	Up	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xc3cadb…
06-09 08:34:04	btc updown 5m 1780993800	Up	BUY	44	94¢	$41	0xa8e075…
06-09 08:13:48	btc updown 5m 1780992600	Up	BUY	47	87¢	$41	0xb2929c…
06-09 08:04:00	btc updown 5m 1780992000	Down	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xb5a358…
06-09 07:43:55	btc updown 5m 1780990800	Up	BUY	44	92¢	$40	0xe42325…
06-08 11:54:30	btc updown 5m 1780919400	Down	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xc49071…
06-08 11:43:48	btc updown 5m 1780918800	Down	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x0fae60…
06-08 11:34:06	btc updown 5m 1780918200	Down	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0xcf1fdd…
06-08 11:28:55	btc updown 5m 1780917900	Up	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0x2716c0…
06-08 11:23:46	btc updown 5m 1780917600	Up	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x92eb2f…
06-08 11:18:46	btc updown 5m 1780917300	Up	BUY	49	83¢	$41	0x52d5f6…
06-08 09:48:48	btc updown 5m 1780911900	Up	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xb96ce7…
06-08 09:45:03	btc updown 5m 1780911600	Up	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0x52de8c…
06-08 09:43:57	btc updown 5m 1780911600	Up	BUY	48	86¢	$41	0x32c2c4…
06-08 09:38:48	btc updown 5m 1780911300	Up	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x766d29…
06-08 09:33:48	btc updown 5m 1780911000	Down	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x5e95bf…
06-08 09:24:43	btc updown 5m 1780910400	Up	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xa54b1d…
06-08 09:24:43	btc updown 5m 1780910400	Up	SELL	37	22¢	$8	0xa06bab…
06-08 09:24:43	btc updown 5m 1780910400	Up	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x23b07c…
06-08 09:24:01	btc updown 5m 1780910400	Up	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0xd7a933…
06-08 09:09:13	btc updown 5m 1780909500	Down	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xced777…
06-08 08:59:25	btc updown 5m 1780908900	Up	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x5217f5…
06-08 08:58:54	btc updown 5m 1780908900	Up	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0xaab67d…
06-08 08:53:52	btc updown 5m 1780908600	Down	BUY	43	91¢	$40	0x410c6b…
06-08 08:38:48	btc updown 5m 1780907700	Down	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x86d828…
06-08 08:34:36	btc updown 5m 1780907400	Up	BUY	44	92¢	$41	0x578dd2…
06-08 08:29:03	btc updown 5m 1780907100	Up	BUY	49	87¢	$42	0x42ccab…
06-05 09:23:48	btc updown 5m 1780651200	Up	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0xa5d788…
06-05 09:19:51	btc updown 5m 1780650900	Down	SELL	47	89¢	$41	0x31e730…
06-05 09:18:49	btc updown 5m 1780650900	Down	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0xd9ba50…
06-05 07:43:54	btc updown 5m 1780645200	Up	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x304aee…
06-04 10:14:22	btc updown 5m 1780567800	Up	SELL	44	51¢	$23	0xf4a5da…
06-04 10:13:49	btc updown 5m 1780567800	Up	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0xdd5528…
06-04 09:58:48	btc updown 5m 1780566900	Up	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x1b6a52…
06-04 09:54:42	btc updown 5m 1780566600	Down	SELL	41	85¢	$35	0xabe126…
06-04 09:54:19	btc updown 5m 1780566600	Down	BUY	41	92¢	$38	0x04691d…
06-04 09:48:49	btc updown 5m 1780566300	Up	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0xeab31d…
06-04 09:43:49	btc updown 5m 1780566000	Up	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x27d113…
06-04 09:38:48	btc updown 5m 1780565700	Down	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x48ff69…
06-04 09:08:48	btc updown 5m 1780563900	Down	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xe9f357…
06-04 08:53:48	btc updown 5m 1780563000	Up	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x02299a…
06-04 08:48:49	btc updown 5m 1780562700	Up	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xa00fcd…
06-04 08:34:28	btc updown 5m 1780561800	Down	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x754dfd…
06-04 07:44:43	btc updown 5m 1780558800	Up	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0xfc11a9…
06-04 07:44:43	btc updown 5m 1780558800	Up	SELL	31	38¢	$12	0xe0d5f7…
06-04 07:44:43	btc updown 5m 1780558800	Up	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x31e0cc…
06-04 07:43:48	btc updown 5m 1780558800	Up	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0x0916a6…
06-04 07:38:48	btc updown 5m 1780558500	Up	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x106198…
06-04 07:34:22	btc updown 5m 1780558200	Up	BUY	45	90¢	$40	0xb1b445…
06-03 11:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x41d864…
06-03 11:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0x520000…
06-03 10:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xb60c10…
06-03 10:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x58098d…
06-03 10:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	45	92¢	$41	0x3a42ee…
06-03 10:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0xc8ee40…
06-03 10:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x13de76…
06-03 10:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0x8598ab…
06-03 10:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x1a5793…
06-03 10:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0x8303fc…
06-03 10:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0x8a25de…
06-03 09:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0x80308c…
06-03 09:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x238a4c…
06-03 09:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x1eba4f…
06-03 08:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	43	92¢	$39	0xf4a26a…
06-03 08:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0x3718dd…
06-03 08:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x0403c5…
06-03 08:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0xb68289…
06-03 08:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0xee9742…
06-03 08:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	43	95¢	$40	0x6707b5…
06-03 08:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x12988a…
06-03 08:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	42	97¢	$40	0xffbe1c…
06-03 08:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x0486fc…
06-03 07:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xa6e535…
06-03 07:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x18c7a9…
06-02 11:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x085769…
06-02 11:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xfee0e1…
06-02 11:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xfa637a…
06-02 11:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	44	92¢	$41	0x55e76b…
06-02 11:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x6441fb…
06-02 10:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x5098ad…
06-02 10:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	42	89¢	$37	0x31a0b0…
06-02 10:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x505d07…
06-02 10:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x1e4c85…
06-02 10:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x3656f9…
06-02 10:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xf831ce…
06-02 10:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x5e1486…
06-02 10:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x043948…
06-02 10:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0xc52855…
06-02 10:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x151122…
06-02 10:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x26ef66…
06-02 09:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x9c71f4…
06-02 09:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x89079b…
06-02 09:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xba5c7f…
06-02 09:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x94da2e…