Realized P&L
-$297
Unrealized P&L
-$38
Hit rate
42.6%
Resolved
44
Trades
107
lifetime
Volume
$1.56K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$416
16 positions
First seen
2026-09-12
last 10-22 16:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
56% 38% -$78
Politics
40% 28% -$222
Sports
2% — —
Tech
2% 100% +$7
Crypto
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +207 $78 42¢ $87 +$9 10-01 15:20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +173 $51 43¢ $75 +$24 10-21 02:36
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +81 $50 68¢ $55 +$5 09-28 18:05
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +77 $38 55¢ $43 +$5 09-23 23:34
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +147 $35 22¢ $33 -$2 09-30 00:03
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +47 $30 68¢ $32 +$2 09-28 18:06
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +33 $21 78¢ $26 +$5 09-28 14:07
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +121 $25 16¢ $20 -$5 10-09 21:56
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +16 $13 74¢ $12 -$1 09-30 00:21
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +32 $17 30¢ $10 -$7 09-26 17:40
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +21 $10 40¢ $8 -$2 10-09 21:59
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No +28 $9 23¢ $6 -$3 09-22 22:36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +14 $10 34¢ $5 -$5 09-21 15:33
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +93 $55 3¢ $3 -$52 10-01 00:30
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes +20 $1 4¢ $1 $0 09-21 16:04
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +14 $10 1¢ $0 -$10 09-23 17:09