Absolute-Danger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$261.1K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.1%

Resolved

12,909

Trades

32,595

lifetime

Volume

$2.84M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-25 19:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 257 days

Categories

Other

100% 58% +$259,865

Crypto

0% 64% +$1,832

Sports

0% 62% -$484

Politics

0% 0% -$156

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 120 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 draw	17	$8.4K	6,000	3,990	+2,010	No	-$154	04-08 20:31
mex pac atl 2026 02 14 draw	44	$6.8K	3,843	3,843	+0	No	+$701	02-15 00:51
mex pac atl 2026 02 14 pac	22	$6.5K	3,843	3,843	+0	Yes	+$1,018	02-15 00:49
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-24?	28	$5.5K	5,417	2,800	+2,617	Yes	+$154	05-24 19:45
es2 alm and 2026 02 13 draw	8	$5.4K	4,036	3,984	+52	No	-$905	02-13 20:54
lal bil elc 2026 02 20 bil	32	$4.9K	3,553	3,553	+0	Yes	+$34	02-20 21:50
aus wel vic 2026 02 06 vic	30	$4.8K	4,643	4,643	+0	Yes	-$238	02-06 07:09
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 draw	19	$4.7K	3,389	2,225	+1,164	No	+$2	03-18 19:01
dfb bay rbl 2026 02 11 draw	5	$4.6K	3,267	2,402	+865	No	-$87	02-11 21:17
mls fcc mim 2026 03 22 draw	20	$4.4K	3,335	2,209	+1,125	No	+$19	03-22 18:51
mls por laf 2026 04 11 draw	8	$4.4K	5,110	0	+5,110	No	+$754	04-11 22:54
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-24?	88	$4.1K	6,886	0	+6,886	Yes	+$23	05-25 01:01
epl cry bur 2026 02 11 cry	9	$4.0K	2,402	2,402	+0	No	-$59	02-11 20:13
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 new	3	$4.0K	2,200	2,200	+0	No	+$3	03-18 18:39
bun dor hsv 2026 03 21 dor	20	$4.0K	3,766	2,366	+1,400	Yes	+$1,250	03-21 19:02
lal bar esp 2026 04 11 esp	2	$3.9K	4,200	0	+4,200	No	+$294	04-11 16:58
mls mia nyr 2026 04 11 nyr	17	$3.8K	7,200	0	+7,200	No	-$225	04-12 01:14
bun hsv uni 2026 02 14 draw	8	$3.8K	2,699	2,567	+132	No	+$209	02-14 16:29
Will United States win on 2026-05-31?	49	$3.8K	5,562	0	+5,562	Yes	-$551	05-31 20:52
lal rea rso 2026 02 14 rea	8	$3.7K	5,124	0	+5,124	Yes	+$165	02-14 20:32
bun dor hsv 2026 03 21 draw	13	$3.6K	2,736	1,887	+849	No	-$597	03-21 19:07
mex tol caz 2026 02 07 draw	7	$3.5K	2,448	2,323	+124	Yes	-$139	02-07 23:42
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 atm1	11	$3.5K	4,356	0	+4,356	Yes	-$1,107	04-08 20:31
lal gir bar 2026 02 16 bar	16	$3.4K	2,717	2,678	+39	No	+$13	02-16 21:44
spl ett taa 2026 02 03 draw	19	$3.4K	2,161	2,156	+5	No	+$33	02-03 19:24
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	2	$3.3K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	-$1,291	04-08 19:46
spl ett taa 2026 02 03 ett	22	$3.2K	2,161	2,156	+5	Yes	+$32	02-03 19:24
rou1 din fuc 2026 04 18 total 1pt5	4	$3.1K	2,000	1,987	+13	Over	+$16	04-18 17:14
Will Racing Club win on 2026-05-21?	8	$3.1K	2,600	1,300	+1,300	No	-$675	05-22 01:43
mls mia nyr 2026 04 11 mia	14	$3.0K	4,463	0	+4,463	No	-$2,179	04-12 00:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 19:08:47	Will FC Twente win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	110	42¢	$46	0xf688f7…
10-25 18:37:35	Will Patro Eisden Maasmechelen win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0xfb3bc6…
10-23 23:21:17	Will CA Platense win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x617606…
10-23 23:21:17	CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x055d6b…
10-23 22:14:42	Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	41	56¢	$23	0x110f2d…
10-23 22:14:41	Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0xd2063c…
10-23 22:14:41	Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	59	56¢	$33	0x743af1…
10-23 22:14:39	Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	37	91¢	$34	0x0aca76…
10-23 19:44:20	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x8ffbdf…
10-23 19:44:20	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	68	63¢	$43	0x0f3e3a…
10-23 19:44:18	Will Málaga CF win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x716c47…
10-23 19:30:35	Will FC Annecy win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x98a012…
10-23 19:10:00	Widzew Lodz vs. Gornik Zabrze: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x963081…
10-23 18:39:24	FC Volendam vs. Jong FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x48686f…
10-21 19:24:44	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x875cf5…
10-21 19:24:44	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x3dd00c…
10-21 19:24:44	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x1fd8da…
10-21 19:24:42	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x1c3fce…
10-21 19:22:53	Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xc0f42f…
10-21 19:16:14	Spread: LASK Linz (-1.5)	LASK Linz	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x6b7cf5…
10-21 17:54:17	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xf97e32…
10-21 17:24:03	Spread: Lille OSC (-2.5)	Lille OSC	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x0648a4…
10-21 16:52:12	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xc6994e…
10-21 16:52:12	Spread: Lille OSC (-2.5)	Lille OSC	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x43b380…
10-21 15:58:24	Will FF Jaro win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf23a5b…
10-21 15:58:24	Will FF Jaro win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x329720…
10-09 19:12:35	Spread: US Avellino 1912 (-2.5)	US Avellino 1912	BUY	73	72¢	$52	0xfa687b…
10-09 19:12:35	Spread: US Avellino 1912 (-3.5)	US Avellino 1912	BUY	150	39¢	$58	0xd478ed…
10-09 19:12:35	Spread: US Avellino 1912 (-1.5)	US Avellino 1912	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xa5ff01…
10-09 19:12:35	US Avellino 1912 vs. UC Sampdoria: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	90	62¢	$56	0x33eead…
10-09 19:12:34	Spread: US Avellino 1912 (-2.5)	US Avellino 1912	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xd6141f…
10-09 19:12:34	US Avellino 1912 vs. UC Sampdoria: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	130	87¢	$113	0xc5cbb9…
10-09 19:12:34	Spread: US Avellino 1912 (-1.5)	US Avellino 1912	BUY	75	89¢	$67	0x47511a…
10-09 19:12:34	US Avellino 1912 vs. UC Sampdoria: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	60	56¢	$34	0x184516…
10-09 19:10:26	Will Lommel SK win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	87	24¢	$21	0xf39b75…
10-09 18:52:11	Will US Avellino 1912 win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	150	61¢	$92	0x6b227d…
10-09 18:51:59	Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	150	91¢	$136	0x57e3f0…
10-09 18:50:04	Will UC Sampdoria win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	150	36¢	$54	0xc85628…
10-09 18:34:56	Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	57	85¢	$49	0xa42e77…
10-09 18:30:13	Galatasaray SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xd7b149…
10-09 18:30:13	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	150	31¢	$47	0x7f4df1…
10-09 18:30:08	Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	21	89¢	$19	0xeb86df…
10-09 18:24:40	Spread: De Graafschap (-1.5)	Jong FC Utrecht	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xa3b76b…
10-09 18:06:04	Will VVV Venlo win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xdcd365…
10-09 17:45:58	Galatasaray SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	72	42¢	$30	0x42a366…
10-09 17:45:58	Galatasaray SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x162cd5…
10-09 17:13:22	Will SK Brann win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8e8818…
10-09 17:13:22	SK Brann vs. Viking FK: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	150	5¢	$8	0x5e9e57…
10-09 16:14:27	Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x749fb4…
10-09 16:04:24	Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x95ffd3…
10-09 15:28:24	Will FC Voluntari win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	54	8¢	$4	0xad1dda…
10-09 15:25:18	Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x3c74c7…
10-09 15:13:13	Sivasspor vs. Pendikspor: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	84	81¢	$68	0x8e0cd3…
10-09 15:05:07	Seinajoen JK vs. FC Lahti: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	58	81¢	$47	0x82ffcd…
10-09 14:23:45	Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x812a5d…
10-09 14:20:13	Will Sivasspor win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	68	39¢	$26	0x4876c4…
10-09 13:54:40	Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xee3c7f…
10-09 13:11:03	Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	150	43¢	$64	0x244587…
10-09 13:08:39	Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x21ba4b…
10-09 13:08:37	Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xc40f30…
10-09 13:06:48	Will Henan FC win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xfd58fb…
10-09 13:06:46	Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	150	57¢	$85	0x11c4e6…
10-09 13:06:46	Will Henan FC win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x1053a3…
10-09 12:17:12	Spread: Henan FC (-3.5)	Henan FC	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xdf1b91…
10-09 12:10:49	Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xc2c9a7…
10-09 12:07:16	Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	150	85¢	$128	0x84031f…
10-09 11:17:43	Kashiwa Reysol vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	150	6¢	$9	0xe9c00d…
10-09 10:55:27	Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	94	93¢	$87	0x5d94de…
10-09 10:55:25	Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0xd7eaa6…
10-09 10:55:24	Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xd8eda9…
10-09 10:55:24	Kashima Antlers vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0x57558c…
10-09 10:40:37	Kashima Antlers vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	150	8¢	$12	0x5856cb…
10-09 10:30:36	Kashiwa Reysol vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	150	9¢	$14	0x78f365…
10-09 00:59:57	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-08?	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x257a92…
10-09 00:13:27	Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-08?	Yes	BUY	95	4¢	$4	0xa13b8f…
10-09 00:13:27	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-08?	No	BUY	32	28¢	$9	0x5a6c0d…
10-08 23:26:42	Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)	CA Mineiro	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x869d84…
10-08 23:18:42	Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	93	62¢	$58	0x628823…
10-08 23:13:32	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-08?	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xcd8b4b…
10-08 18:38:47	Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-10-08?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x8ace2d…
10-08 18:36:14	Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-10-08?	Yes	BUY	29	71¢	$21	0xc541d8…
10-08 18:36:14	Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-10-08?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x9d5852…
10-08 18:36:12	Will CD Moquegua win on 2026-10-08?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x805e2e…
10-08 18:36:12	CD Moquegua vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0x2da780…
10-08 18:35:20	Will Al Gharafa SC win on 2026-10-08?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x14c6e3…
10-08 18:35:18	Will Al Gharafa SC win on 2026-10-08?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x037c9c…
10-08 18:15:08	Will AL Wakrah SC win on 2026-10-08?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xaac02f…
10-08 17:44:30	Will FC Universitatea Cluj win on 2026-08-10?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x1b37c1…
10-08 01:13:49	Cruzeiro EC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xfff6b2…
10-08 00:47:19	Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-07?	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x495094…
10-08 00:47:19	Botafogo FR vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x021f64…
10-08 00:47:17	Botafogo FR vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x9c0a48…
10-08 00:47:16	Botafogo FR vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xf44762…
10-08 00:09:40	Spread: SC Internacional (-2.5)	SC Internacional	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xedd353…
10-08 00:06:46	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0xfbe840…
10-08 00:03:04	Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	87	25¢	$22	0xff069e…
10-08 00:03:04	Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x4c92f1…
10-07 23:57:20	Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-07?	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x856a3f…
10-07 23:45:14	Will Botafogo FC win on 2026-10-07?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xbba28b…
10-07 23:45:14	Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x8da0f6…