Realized P&L
+$55.6K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
74.3%
Resolved
201
Trades
6,140
lifetime
Volume
$1.31M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$213
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 07-14 12:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Politics
53%
46%
+$18,950
Crypto
35%
46%
+$33,640
Other
11%
74%
+$2,688
Tech
1%
60%
+$1,138
Sports
0%
64%
-$790
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 209 | $401.9K | 327,076 | 254,346 | +72,730 | No | +$16,731 | 06-03 01:54 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 56 | $142.5K | 133,997 | 43,997 | +90,000 | Yes | +$8,123 | 06-17 15:04 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 225 | $87.7K | 135,354 | 112,957 | +22,397 | No | +$415 | 05-31 02:19 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | 170 | $85.8K | 138,217 | 107,679 | +30,538 | No | -$617 | 05-27 03:22 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | 130 | $80.8K | 149,356 | 38,908 | +110,448 | No | -$1,851 | 05-22 02:32 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | 2 | $66.1K | 66,177 | 0 | +66,177 | No | +$66 | 05-30 18:30 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | 188 | $57.2K | 121,206 | 98,240 | +22,966 | Yes | -$54 | 05-26 18:52 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | 181 | $44.8K | 87,377 | 81,787 | +5,591 | No | +$108 | 05-23 13:31 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 201 | $43.4K | 44,112 | 44,112 | +0 | No | +$47 | 06-10 00:25 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21? | 62 | $38.1K | 121,368 | 72,538 | +48,830 | Yes | -$1,054 | 05-22 23:37 |
| iran closes its airspace by june 8 | 58 | $27.6K | 30,774 | 19,735 | +11,039 | Yes | +$1,466 | 06-07 21:24 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 73 | $23.2K | 66,757 | 36,082 | +30,675 | No | +$428 | 05-25 18:32 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24? | 47 | $17.6K | 18,887 | 15,389 | +3,498 | Yes | +$1,944 | 05-24 14:59 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31? | 64 | $16.0K | 41,151 | 18,160 | +22,990 | No | -$1,466 | 05-25 22:22 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 51 | $13.8K | 23,786 | 11,786 | +12,000 | No | +$353 | 05-25 22:46 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? | 81 | $9.5K | 60,108 | 56,193 | +3,915 | Yes | +$2,129 | 05-22 23:18 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23? | 46 | $9.1K | 64,496 | 64,380 | +116 | Yes | -$570 | 05-24 00:54 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | 32 | $7.7K | 42,607 | 42,607 | +0 | No | +$1,928 | 05-24 03:13 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | 14 | $6.3K | 5,560 | 5,560 | +0 | Yes | +$334 | 05-29 04:35 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 18 | $4.8K | 22,617 | 4,266 | +18,352 | No | -$3,044 | 05-30 13:20 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26? | 19 | $4.5K | 19,228 | 18,077 | +1,151 | No | +$1,775 | 05-25 22:33 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | 29 | $3.8K | 34,972 | 34,972 | +0 | No | -$613 | 05-23 00:17 |
| Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23? | 4 | $3.7K | 3,759 | 0 | +3,759 | No | +$108 | 05-20 20:30 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 42 | $3.2K | 35,717 | 35,717 | +0 | No | -$884 | 05-24 01:40 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | 24 | $3.2K | 10,000 | 10,000 | +0 | Yes | +$625 | 05-18 17:44 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? | 19 | $3.2K | 11,941 | 9,483 | +2,458 | No | +$2,673 | 05-25 22:54 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 07:45 UTC | 95 | $3.1K | 3,887 | 1,927 | +1,960 | Down | +$193 | 03-14 07:49 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | 10 | $2.7K | 4,444 | 3,624 | +820 | No | +$10 | 05-28 14:30 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | 7 | $2.7K | 5,222 | 3,000 | +2,222 | No | -$251 | 05-27 03:17 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | 29 | $2.7K | 5,062 | 5,062 | +0 | No | +$213 | 05-29 17:48 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||