Trim-Committee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$454

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

54.8%

Resolved

Trades

420

lifetime

Volume

$31.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

$234

1 position

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-05 17:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

98% 60% +$454

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No		-235	$-221	100¢	$-234	$-14	05-28 17:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	54	$7.6K	200,710	177,135	+23,574	open	—	04-17 12:52
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	53	$4.5K	31,529	7,317	+24,211	open	—	04-22 16:37
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	58	$3.5K	20,939	2,042	+18,897	open	—	04-21 15:06
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	33	$2.5K	23,693	12,673	+11,020	open	—	04-23 09:11
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in June?	3	$1.5K	807	807	+0	open	—	06-01 17:49
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	9	$1.5K	1,313	1,231	+82	open	—	05-22 13:33
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	9	$875	3,904	1,600	+2,304	open	—	05-28 15:26
bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting 384	15	$863	5,841	2,855	+2,986	open	—	03-13 11:15
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	14	$855	8,653	6,249	+2,403	open	—	04-23 09:11
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?	4	$820	727	727	+0	open	—	05-22 14:07
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	8	$790	1,742	250	+1,492	open	—	03-23 12:01
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of May 18 2026?	4	$641	548	548	+0	open	—	05-22 16:53
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	8	$467	976	0	+976	Yes	+$510	05-13 10:04
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	14	$402	3,577	3,577	+0	Yes	$-25	03-29 07:29
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	2	$401	245	245	+0	open	—	05-25 06:47
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	5	$368	650	480	+170	open	—	05-22 13:11
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	5	$367	190	190	+0	open	—	04-16 19:32
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on April 29?	3	$240	122	122	+0	open	—	04-29 17:01
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	1	$221	0	235	-235	open	—	05-28 17:47
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	3	$215	1,318	148	+1,170	open	—	05-25 15:01
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?	4	$204	303	162	+141	open	—	04-15 10:12
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	2	$193	272	272	+0	open	—	05-20 13:33
will the reserve bank of india make no change to the policy repo rate after the april meeting	17	$184	6,547	0	+6,547	open	—	04-07 15:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$179	1,194	0	+1,194	open	—	05-06 11:52
will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	1	$179	12,340	0	+12,340	open	—	03-06 16:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	2	$165	8,896	0	+8,896	open	—	04-01 06:52
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	6	$156	3,293	0	+3,293	open	—	03-30 07:41
Will Amazon reach $260 in April?	2	$145	330	0	+330	open	—	04-14 15:49
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision?	5	$141	595	0	+595	open	—	04-28 10:13
will the reserve bank of india increase the policy repo rate after the april meeting	22	$137	4,691	0	+4,691	open	—	04-07 19:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 17:35:55	will spy dip to 740 by june 1 2026	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xeb2287…
06-01 20:27:42	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	BUY	270	32¢	$86	0x59f9f8…
06-01 17:49:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	BUY	207	4¢	$8	0xb82b61…
06-01 17:49:17	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	807	100¢	$806	0x65af96…
06-01 16:59:25	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	705	91¢	$643	0x8ce5c5…
06-01 13:57:11	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	74	9¢	$7	0x457c63…
06-01 13:29:39	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0x55e137…
06-01 13:14:39	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of June 1 2026?	No	BUY	57	21¢	$12	0xb9f21d…
06-01 13:13:45	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xa2f89a…
06-01 13:13:35	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	80	33¢	$26	0x95ca07…
05-29 08:15:44	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	BUY	217	5¢	$11	0xd0f4e3…
05-29 08:09:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	BUY	202	5¢	$11	0x64e35e…
05-29 07:30:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	BUY	555	6¢	$33	0x6e33b9…
05-29 07:24:35	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	102	72¢	$74	0x76a2ed…
05-28 17:47:48	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	235	94¢	$221	0xf0c5cf…
05-28 15:26:43	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	150	16¢	$24	0x3f5ce1…
05-28 15:17:37	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$33	0x19b63e…
05-28 15:16:02	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$31	0x87b234…
05-28 15:02:09	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x5c9892…
05-28 14:26:26	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x7c24a3…
05-28 14:13:41	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	2,961	13¢	$381	0x746c31…
05-26 14:59:26	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0x890929…
05-25 15:01:39	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,170	1¢	$13	0x5dc71a…
05-25 14:55:04	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	Yes	BUY	530	4¢	$20	0x009e0d…
05-25 12:30:38	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	86¢	$49	0x7c0558…
05-25 06:47:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	No	SELL	245	95¢	$234	0x46b7df…
05-22 16:53:33	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	143	99¢	$142	0x49da8a…
05-22 14:07:20	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	275	100¢	$275	0x97c577…
05-22 13:33:28	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	82	72¢	$59	0xfd085c…
05-22 13:11:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	BUY	150	65¢	$98	0x512307…
05-22 13:11:09	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	93	22¢	$20	0x019a3c…
05-21 17:51:59	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	57	71¢	$40	0x6e5aa2…
05-21 17:51:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	405	86¢	$346	0x65efa9…
05-21 17:41:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	275	41¢	$113	0x8ea9f4…
05-21 10:32:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	SELL	634	59¢	$376	0x6e280e…
05-21 10:30:13	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	452	64¢	$289	0x933577…
05-20 15:16:55	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	634	38¢	$241	0x51f12c…
05-20 13:33:03	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	SELL	272	35¢	$95	0xdb1394…
05-20 12:55:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	BUY	272	36¢	$98	0x2e52c5…
05-20 12:35:20	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	448	27¢	$122	0x6ac0b4…
05-20 12:34:55	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	452	32¢	$145	0xd10336…
05-19 13:35:29	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	SELL	280	45¢	$126	0xdff7f6…
05-19 13:33:21	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	SELL	480	22¢	$108	0x788b3f…
05-18 12:46:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	BUY	155	28¢	$43	0x248415…
05-18 11:43:00	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	90	51¢	$46	0x7bb75d…
05-18 11:42:37	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x0bb4af…
05-18 08:23:27	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	150	60¢	$90	0x10fe91…
05-18 08:21:08	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	No	BUY	245	68¢	$167	0x009e02…
05-18 08:20:37	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	BUY	155	22¢	$34	0x1fff51…
05-18 08:19:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	850	20¢	$170	0x6d3587…
05-15 10:52:21	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	126	66¢	$83	0x27ab69…
05-15 10:02:34	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	SELL	137	62¢	$85	0x6c68f1…
05-15 08:03:20	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	SELL	180	75¢	$135	0x91c497…
05-14 15:06:36	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	463	87¢	$403	0xa7438c…
05-14 15:02:49	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x62e489…
05-14 14:50:08	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	BUY	190	45¢	$85	0xa8a409…
05-14 12:06:28	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x39c8d2…
05-13 10:04:50	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	202	89¢	$181	0x782002…
05-08 15:22:35	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	No	SELL	148	78¢	$116	0x2f73eb…
05-08 13:49:17	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	850	22¢	$186	0x1a22b2…
05-07 15:53:42	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	82	76¢	$62	0x7fe70d…
05-06 16:32:02	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	SELL	24	90¢	$21	0x740606…
05-06 15:50:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	No	BUY	148	58¢	$86	0x8c3cbd…
05-06 11:52:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,194	15¢	$179	0xb254cd…
05-06 11:15:08	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	BUY	35	91¢	$32	0x143ce9…
05-06 11:10:34	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	193	65¢	$125	0x57ef9c…
04-30 12:29:18	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	81	30¢	$24	0x9e4dff…
04-29 17:01:54	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	SELL	122	100¢	$121	0x76860c…
04-29 15:35:44	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa2d179…
04-29 15:35:26	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	102	97¢	$99	0xfb77cf…
04-29 13:27:42	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	106	26¢	$27	0x9cc34e…
04-28 10:13:38	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xcbac98…
04-28 09:27:48	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	254	27¢	$69	0x6f71cd…
04-24 07:43:58	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	62	27¢	$17	0x58a176…
04-23 17:52:46	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	88	21¢	$18	0x01edb8…
04-23 09:11:18	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xa226cf…
04-23 09:11:10	Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,489	2¢	$37	0xda2dd6…
04-23 09:10:16	Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,127	2¢	$49	0xa99441…
04-23 09:06:40	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,188	2¢	$50	0xc96627…
04-23 08:56:02	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	602	1¢	$7	0xb61577…
04-22 16:37:50	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9,500	2¢	$142	0xdd92c5…
04-22 15:45:48	Will Amazon reach $296 in April?	Yes	BUY	185	2¢	$3	0xc104d1…
04-22 15:43:58	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	32	40¢	$13	0xba6a25…
04-22 15:43:06	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x29b254…
04-22 15:38:04	dax up or down on april 22 2026	Down	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0x2ccda9…
04-21 15:06:30	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	215	2¢	$4	0x21cfa2…
04-21 15:06:00	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	130	2¢	$2	0xdee298…
04-21 14:54:58	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x657e59…
04-21 14:49:06	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	212	2¢	$4	0x39c56c…
04-20 12:42:50	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x326ad9…
04-18 12:49:32	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,601	2¢	$58	0x197b23…
04-18 11:08:56	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	522	2¢	$9	0xecc7af…
04-18 08:47:36	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,156	2¢	$20	0x8ba2c1…
04-17 16:53:58	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	308	7¢	$22	0x92d71c…
04-17 13:40:46	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xc9bf06…
04-17 13:36:26	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	460	2¢	$9	0xeb3688…
04-17 13:36:20	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	170	2¢	$3	0xc2a4cf…
04-17 13:36:06	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	226	2¢	$4	0x9a8524…
04-17 12:59:12	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	633	2¢	$11	0xb53117…
04-17 12:55:58	Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,146	2¢	$35	0xf8f1aa…