Admirable-Cheesecake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$343

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.9%

Resolved

Trades

209

lifetime

Volume

$89.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$429

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 08-20 03:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 97% +$53

Sports

7% 50% +$88

Other

6% 70% +$93

Tech

3% 0% -$24

Politics

3% 100% +$134

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	72	$7.2K	3,596	3,596	+0	No	-$16	07-02 08:43
will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	1	$3.6K	3,593	0	+3,593	No	+$4	06-29 08:57
will bitcoin dip to 54k june 22 28 2026	1	$3.6K	3,589	0	+3,589	No	+$4	06-29 00:28
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$3.6K	3,672	0	+3,672	No	+$88	07-08 01:30
bitcoin above 56k on july 7 2026	1	$3.6K	3,587	0	+3,587	Yes	+$4	07-06 05:13
bitcoin above 70k on june 28 2026	1	$3.6K	3,586	0	+3,586	No	+$4	06-26 00:46
will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	1	$3.6K	3,583	0	+3,583	No	+$4	07-05 01:40
bitcoin above 50k on july 4 2026	1	$3.6K	3,580	0	+3,580	Yes	+$4	07-02 08:48
bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	1	$3.6K	3,579	0	+3,579	Yes	+$4	06-23 03:05
bitcoin above 58k on june 21 2026	1	$3.6K	3,574	0	+3,574	Yes	+$4	06-21 06:14
bitcoin above 54k on june 20 2026	1	$3.5K	3,500	0	+3,500	Yes	+$4	06-18 09:00
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5	2	$2.4K	2,492	2,492	+0	Under	+$0	04-30 16:09
ethereum above 1300 on june 25 2026	1	$1.9K	1,923	0	+1,923	Yes	+$2	06-24 04:50
bitcoin above 72k on june 25 2026	2	$1.7K	1,660	0	+1,660	No	+$2	06-24 17:30
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	16	$1.5K	1,592	1,592	+0	Yes	-$17	08-20 03:00
ethereum above 2000 on june 22 2026	4	$1.4K	1,377	0	+1,377	No	+$1	06-22 12:30
ethereum above 1900 on march 17	1	$1.3K	1,343	0	+1,343	Yes	+$1	03-17 01:51
bitcoin above 62k on march 16	1	$1.3K	1,342	0	+1,342	Yes	+$1	03-15 02:21
bitcoin above 64k on march 14	1	$1.3K	1,340	0	+1,340	Yes	+$1	03-14 01:20
bitcoin above 58k on march 13	1	$1.3K	1,339	0	+1,339	Yes	+$1	03-13 01:23
bitcoin above 82k on march 12	1	$1.3K	1,338	0	+1,338	No	+$1	03-11 01:33
bitcoin above 62k on march 10	1	$1.3K	1,336	0	+1,336	Yes	+$1	03-10 01:14
bitcoin above 74k on march 9	1	$1.3K	1,335	0	+1,335	No	+$1	03-09 01:13
ethereum above 2500 on march 8	1	$1.3K	1,334	0	+1,334	No	+$1	03-07 01:21
bitcoin above 60k on march 6	1	$1.3K	1,331	0	+1,331	Yes	+$1	03-05 11:17
bitcoin above 78k on march 4	1	$1.3K	1,330	0	+1,330	No	+$1	03-03 06:22
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 2	1	$1.3K	1,328	0	+1,328	No	+$1	03-02 07:58
will ethereum dip to 1400 february 23 march 1	1	$1.3K	1,327	0	+1,327	No	+$1	03-01 09:20
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	1	$1.3K	1,326	0	+1,326	No	+$1	02-28 06:47
open above 3pt5 on february 27 2026	1	$1.3K	1,324	0	+1,324	Yes	+$1	02-27 10:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-20 03:00:10	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	488	38¢	$187	0x5ed0c6…
08-20 02:40:16	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	376	54¢	$202	0xcccb4b…
08-20 02:19:19	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4b0682…
08-20 02:05:19	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x079c4c…
08-20 02:00:37	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	260	56¢	$146	0xd5a667…
08-20 00:31:12	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xcf17e8…
08-20 00:10:27	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xcb7a75…
08-20 00:05:10	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	61¢	$82	0x125c29…
08-20 00:02:18	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0xd8c30d…
08-20 00:01:45	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	263	50¢	$131	0x460498…
08-19 23:53:21	Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?	Yes	SELL	204	21¢	$43	0xb9f8e4…
08-19 23:52:37	Will Benedita da Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	Yes	SELL	24	2¢	$0	0x6e4846…
08-19 23:52:25	Will Benedita da Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	Yes	SELL	223	18¢	$40	0xb321e1…
08-19 23:51:55	Will Benedita da Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	Yes	SELL	80	36¢	$29	0x050074…
08-19 23:47:21	Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?	Yes	SELL	189	28¢	$54	0xdaa13e…
08-19 23:46:58	Will Benedita da Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	Yes	SELL	201	43¢	$87	0x5316d3…
08-19 23:35:55	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	268	52¢	$140	0x245e1b…
08-19 23:22:03	will mamdani say heat or weather during his announcement 20260831	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x9bf9df…
08-19 23:21:36	will mamdani say heat or weather during his announcement 20260831	Yes	SELL	345	30¢	$103	0xda6c87…
08-19 23:21:36	will mamdani say heat or weather during his announcement 20260831	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x4e0d8f…
08-19 23:03:58	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x60021a…
08-19 23:00:25	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	54¢	$32	0xb09c54…
08-19 22:50:36	Will Alexandre Curi win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?	Yes	SELL	84	24¢	$20	0xda359d…
08-19 22:50:07	Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xa6a0f9…
08-19 22:48:43	Will Alexandre Curi win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?	Yes	SELL	52	28¢	$15	0xe812b8…
08-19 22:47:01	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa35fa2…
08-19 22:45:37	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	59¢	$74	0x37ddea…
08-19 22:44:03	Will Benedita da Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x424c4d…
08-19 22:40:54	Will Benedita da Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	Yes	BUY	523	19¢	$98	0xbb6856…
08-19 22:39:55	Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?	Yes	BUY	382	22¢	$83	0x0a6b16…
08-19 22:33:58	Will Alexandre Curi win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?	Yes	SELL	132	39¢	$51	0xa61d91…
08-19 22:33:58	Will Alexandre Curi win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?	Yes	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0x63debe…
08-19 22:32:58	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	62¢	$56	0xc24252…
08-19 22:28:12	Will Alexandre Curi win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?	Yes	SELL	16	40¢	$6	0xea9981…
08-19 22:27:54	Will Alexandre Curi win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x440c5a…
08-19 22:25:07	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x2fa00c…
08-19 22:24:48	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	525	44¢	$232	0xfd3a08…
08-19 22:23:37	Will Alexandre Curi win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?	Yes	BUY	291	25¢	$72	0x4b9d80…
08-19 18:17:54	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xf2071d…
08-19 17:47:03	will mamdani say heat or weather during his announcement 20260831	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa9fa08…
08-19 17:46:40	will mamdani say heat or weather during his announcement 20260831	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6f56d8…
08-19 17:45:54	Will INTZ Win Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 2	Yes	SELL	1,022	29¢	$298	0xe26255…
08-19 17:36:15	will mamdani say heat or weather during his announcement 20260831	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe5c7fe…
08-19 17:16:45	will mamdani say heat or weather during his announcement 20260831	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x089fc3…
08-19 17:04:19	will mamdani say heat or weather during his announcement 20260831	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x43c410…
08-19 17:03:57	will mamdani say heat or weather during his announcement 20260831	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x32683e…
08-19 17:03:52	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x3396f8…
08-19 16:53:03	will mamdani say heat or weather during his announcement 20260831	Yes	BUY	315	32¢	$102	0x1b7e8f…
08-19 16:43:07	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	657	46¢	$304	0x72c430…
08-19 16:25:46	Will INTZ Win Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 2	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x5847dc…
08-19 13:29:04	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	468	48¢	$224	0x3283b0…
08-19 13:28:16	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	187	63¢	$119	0x9d6efc…
08-19 12:37:43	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	513	74¢	$382	0xfc9c2e…
08-19 12:29:45	Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?	Yes	SELL	83	46¢	$38	0xcda804…
08-19 11:35:37	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x5ede49…
08-19 11:35:25	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	446	45¢	$202	0xc40c3f…
08-19 11:35:10	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	187	55¢	$102	0xbd7459…
08-19 11:34:42	Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?	Yes	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0xda676d…
08-19 11:34:03	Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?	Yes	BUY	62	42¢	$26	0x7981c1…
08-19 08:57:42	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?	Yes	SELL	508	44¢	$221	0x970a8e…
08-19 08:50:49	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x763850…
08-19 08:42:07	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	76¢	$143	0xa9ff48…
08-19 08:41:28	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x34a760…
08-19 08:37:27	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	60¢	$51	0xa3d3db…
08-19 08:12:46	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?	Yes	BUY	497	37¢	$185	0x0046fb…
08-19 08:09:06	Will INTZ Win Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 2	Yes	BUY	1,042	28¢	$291	0x866951…
08-19 08:07:45	Will There be 7-9 Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?	Yes	SELL	119	45¢	$53	0xf1835d…
08-19 07:16:52	Will There be 7-9 Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1012ff…
08-19 07:11:04	Will There be 7-9 Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	62¢	$52	0x343723…
08-19 06:56:45	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	560	71¢	$395	0x9f4a39…
08-19 06:23:09	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x30e953…
08-19 06:08:57	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x824794…
08-19 06:06:31	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x12482f…
08-19 06:05:36	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	82¢	$29	0x91d8f3…
08-19 06:05:36	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x857a8e…
08-19 06:05:06	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	511	66¢	$338	0x096f96…
08-19 05:59:19	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xff97e4…
08-19 05:57:22	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	595	78¢	$463	0x2b4213…
08-19 05:54:34	Will There be 7-9 Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?	Yes	BUY	198	47¢	$93	0x91ec92…
07-08 01:30:44	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3,672	98¢	$3,583	0x6c4553…
07-06 05:13:20	bitcoin above 56k on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	3,587	100¢	$3,583	0x4993c2…
07-05 01:40:13	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	3,583	100¢	$3,580	0xe2064b…
07-02 08:48:35	bitcoin above 50k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	3,580	100¢	$3,576	0x4c4888…
07-02 08:43:56	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	SELL	1,039	99¢	$1,032	0x7abcfa…
07-02 08:43:53	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x0ab372…
07-02 08:43:52	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x94fb08…
07-02 08:43:52	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x42d8d3…
07-02 08:43:52	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x1cfae4…
07-02 08:43:50	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0x5cc014…
07-02 08:43:49	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0x801997…
07-02 08:43:49	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x367a4e…
07-02 08:43:49	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x31b729…
07-02 08:43:49	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x1ff341…
07-02 08:43:47	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x911b99…
07-02 08:43:46	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xc220e3…
07-02 08:43:46	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xbd24ff…
07-02 08:43:46	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xb99bc9…
07-02 08:43:46	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x6bde61…
07-02 08:43:44	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xe008c4…
07-02 08:42:43	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xcdcd5a…