Quixotic-Yarmulke — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.9%

Resolved

247

Trades

904

lifetime

Volume

$27.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 05-19 14:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 77% +$19

Other

0% 50% +$1

Politics

0% 0% -$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 13:45 UTC	14	$1.4K	689	689	+0	Down	+$14	02-09 13:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 16:45 UTC	7	$948	528	528	+0	Up	+$52	02-09 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:45 UTC	4	$943	478	478	+0	Down	+$13	02-09 23:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:30 UTC	7	$922	470	470	+0	Up	+$8	02-09 23:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 16:00 UTC	8	$888	461	461	+0	Down	+$32	02-09 16:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 16:15 UTC	10	$887	463	463	+0	Up	+$29	02-09 16:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 15:30 UTC	3	$857	431	431	+0	Up	+$4	02-09 15:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 15:00 UTC	14	$809	431	431	-0	Up	+$45	02-09 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 14:30 UTC	5	$713	376	376	+0	Up	+$31	02-09 14:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 14:00 UTC	16	$709	404	404	+0	Up	-$3	02-09 14:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 17:30 UTC	2	$526	270	270	+0	Up	+$13	02-09 17:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 00:00 UTC	2	$477	509	0	+509	Up	-$477	02-10 00:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 14:45 UTC	18	$427	232	232	+0	Down	+$32	02-07 14:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 01:45 UTC	6	$418	219	219	+0	Up	+$16	02-09 01:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:15 UTC	5	$369	188	188	+0	Down	+$5	02-09 23:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 01:30 UTC	11	$360	191	191	+0	Down	+$21	02-09 01:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 13:30 UTC	4	$327	176	176	+0	Down	+$22	02-07 13:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 00:45 UTC	7	$324	166	166	+0	Down	+$5	02-19 00:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 15:30 UTC	10	$316	170	170	+0	Up	+$21	02-07 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 00:00 UTC	10	$305	159	159	+0	Down	+$10	02-19 00:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 19:30 UTC	5	$290	147	147	+0	Down	+$1	02-18 19:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 15:00 UTC	7	$288	151	151	+0	Up	+$11	02-07 15:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 01:40 UTC	2	$273	141	141	+0	Up	+$7	02-19 01:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 03:45 UTC	15	$261	139	139	+0	Down	+$12	02-13 03:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 00:45 UTC	4	$255	129	129	+0	Up	+$2	02-07 00:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 01:00 UTC	7	$248	128	128	+0	Down	+$5	02-07 01:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 20:00 UTC	4	$243	137	136	+0	Down	+$10	02-06 20:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 02:10 UTC	2	$239	124	124	+0	Down	+$7	02-18 02:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 15:45 UTC	5	$231	120	120	+0	Down	+$7	02-07 15:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 19:15 UTC	5	$231	117	117	+0	Up	+$3	02-06 19:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 14:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xb8835e…
05-19 14:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0x569c25…
05-19 14:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0x1106d1…
05-19 14:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x8103ad…
05-19 13:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	91¢	$18	0x8cf786…
05-19 13:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x232699…
05-19 13:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xf9cdfa…
05-19 13:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0xcf59c5…
05-19 13:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x2e5445…
05-19 04:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x2e697d…
05-19 04:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xa4bf91…
05-19 03:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x0fe168…
05-19 03:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0xf68367…
05-19 03:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$12	0x885965…
05-19 03:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x87ecdd…
05-19 03:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	91¢	$22	0xe43462…
05-19 03:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x5476be…
05-19 03:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x307095…
05-19 03:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$8	0xb767ab…
05-19 03:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xa2688e…
05-19 03:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x791f32…
05-19 03:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xa7fae3…
05-19 03:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x66cb9a…
05-19 03:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x746766…
05-19 03:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x191447…
05-19 03:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x0f891c…
05-19 03:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x53ff45…
05-19 03:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xc01852…
05-19 03:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xc10fc4…
05-19 03:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0xbb034e…
05-19 03:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x6d0c1a…
05-19 03:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x80b943…
05-19 03:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xba1e6e…
05-19 03:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x766df3…
05-19 03:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x5ecdd8…
05-18 18:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x40ce95…
05-18 18:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x14e592…
05-18 18:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xe086cb…
05-18 18:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x8c84d8…
05-18 18:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xd50468…
05-18 18:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x7fc632…
05-18 18:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb5184c…
05-18 18:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x1eae0e…
05-18 18:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x9da128…
05-18 18:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x178a5e…
05-18 18:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3aa0dc…
05-18 18:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x24a40d…
05-16 23:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x001a3f…
05-16 23:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xe345ac…
05-16 23:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x2d8099…
05-16 23:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x3479ea…
05-16 23:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x3479ea…
05-16 23:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	60¢	$0	0x4b1210…
05-16 23:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	60¢	$6	0x18b7f0…
05-16 23:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xd56c74…
05-16 23:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xb83f35…
05-16 23:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xdefb0b…
05-16 17:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x5ae75a…
05-16 17:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x864684…
05-16 17:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x696791…
05-16 16:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd9b3cb…
05-16 16:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xb55743…
05-16 16:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x5baa3f…
05-16 16:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x36700c…
05-16 16:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0x1a1864…
05-16 16:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xf48aa3…
05-16 16:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x340795…
05-16 16:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xcaff9d…
05-14 20:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x19a118…
05-14 19:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc849d6…
05-14 19:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8144c5…
05-14 19:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7f9165…
05-14 19:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x50f739…
05-14 19:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x21d392…
05-14 19:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xc26d7e…
05-14 19:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xba05f0…
05-14 19:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x670ded…
05-14 19:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0xde693c…
05-14 19:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x11bb9e…
05-14 19:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x912508…
05-14 19:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0x451b3e…
05-14 19:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe2135f…
05-14 19:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x1895ec…
05-14 19:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xc3039f…
05-14 13:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x4a2073…
05-14 13:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x8c8711…
05-14 13:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xd3e2ba…
04-08 02:00:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 01:55 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc04afe…
04-08 01:58:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x6df5ec…
04-08 01:55:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe7e59a…
04-06 22:47:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 22:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xa53e7c…
04-06 22:46:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xd6f857…
04-06 22:29:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 22:25 UTC	Up	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x8869af…
04-06 22:28:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0xdc1adb…
04-06 22:28:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x609d28…
04-06 22:28:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x1ef184…
04-06 22:23:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 22:20 UTC	Down	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x7a931d…
04-06 22:22:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x86403a…
03-04 01:10:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 01:05 UTC	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x036924…
03-04 01:09:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0x6e0c6c…