Creepy-Fondue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

5.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$173

Open exposure

$615

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 09-21 03:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

52% 33% -$85

Politics

46% 0% -$2

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 67% +$41

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No		-615	-$610	100¢	$-613	-$3	05-22 03:42
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		-615	-$4	0¢	$-2	+$2	05-22 03:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	3	$1.4K	716	716	+0	No	-$1	05-09 11:27
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	3	$1.3K	629	629	+0	No	-$1	05-15 08:01
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	3	$1.2K	626	626	+0	No	-$1	05-22 03:42
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	3	$1.2K	619	619	+0	open	—	05-15 08:01
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	2	$1.2K	612	612	+0	open	—	05-22 03:43
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$709	0	1,420	-1,420	No	-$1	05-09 11:26
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	2	$644	0	1,290	-1,290	open	—	05-15 08:00
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$614	0	1,230	-1,230	open	—	05-22 03:43
will aaron rai win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$106	53	53	+0	No	$0	03-31 06:42
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	1	$104	160	0	+160	Yes	-$104	05-11 07:34
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?	2	$104	52	52	+0	No	$0	01-06 06:32
Will Mohsen Qomi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$102	51	51	+0	No	$0	03-04 01:49
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$74	37	37	+0	open	—	09-21 03:51
xrp above 1pt4 on january 29	1	$52	52	0	+52	Yes	+$0	01-28 02:48
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 3pt5	1	$30	63	0	+63	Germany	+$33	06-12 03:45
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	1	$29	46	0	+46	Sean Brady	+$17	05-09 11:25
lol jdg edg 2026 08 07 game1	1	$26	36	0	+36	JD Gaming	+$10	08-07 06:46
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-08-22?	1	$26	58	0	+58	Yes	+$32	08-21 02:30
Spread: LA (-9.5)	1	$24	56	0	+56	LA	+$32	09-21 03:50
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	1	$19	38	0	+38	Yes	-$19	06-09 07:06
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	2	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	04-25 09:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 May 18-24?	2	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	05-22 03:43
will solana dip to 20 march 30 april 5	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	03-31 06:43
will ethereum dip to 2500 january 12 18	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	01-15 03:24
Will XRP dip to $1.10 May 11-17?	2	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-15 08:01
Toulouse FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Score	1	$14	26	0	+26	No	-$14	09-03 07:24
Spread: Wake Forest (-2.5)	1	$12	24	0	+24	Purdue	-$12	09-10 11:16
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	03-13 08:14
will bitcoin dip to 80k january 12 18	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	01-15 03:25
ufc ces2 dam11 2026 07 11	1	$9	28	0	+28	Damian Pinas	-$9	07-11 08:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 03:51:02	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x460d8e…
09-21 03:50:41	Spread: LA (-9.5)	LA	BUY	56	42¢	$24	0x3561bf…
09-21 03:50:31	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdff1e5…
09-21 03:50:22	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xbaa4d6…
09-10 11:16:00	Spread: Wake Forest (-2.5)	Wake Forest	BUY	24	52¢	$12	0x4e89ed…
09-03 07:24:30	Toulouse FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0x7f3fd1…
08-21 02:30:10	Will Millwall FC win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	58	44¢	$26	0x363972…
08-07 06:46:30	lol jdg edg 2026 08 07 game1	JD Gaming	BUY	36	73¢	$26	0xdd7db4…
07-11 08:16:35	ufc ces2 dam11 2026 07 11	Cesar Almeida	BUY	28	31¢	$9	0x1b052c…
07-02 08:01:52	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	No	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x6152c2…
06-12 03:45:16	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 3pt5	Germany	BUY	63	48¢	$30	0xf3702d…
06-09 07:06:48	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	No	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0xa411d5…
05-22 03:43:29	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	615	1¢	$4	0x5f946f…
05-22 03:43:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x24c8c8…
05-22 03:43:04	Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	612	100¢	$610	0xc49176…
05-22 03:42:54	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xdde85e…
05-22 03:42:42	Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	612	100¢	$611	0xae2574…
05-22 03:42:21	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	615	99¢	$610	0x8a4d77…
05-22 03:42:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7b2a80…
05-22 03:41:18	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	602	100¢	$600	0xaa58e8…
05-22 03:40:44	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	626	100¢	$625	0x79ada7…
05-15 08:01:49	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	380	100¢	$378	0x673613…
05-15 08:01:40	Will XRP dip to $1.10 May 11-17?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7c9057…
05-15 08:01:22	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	240	100¢	$239	0xe4cdf3…
05-15 08:01:03	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xf8511a…
05-15 08:00:56	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	619	100¢	$618	0x9f495e…
05-15 08:00:30	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	603	100¢	$602	0xa498f1…
05-15 08:00:16	Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	645	0¢	$1	0xa08edb…
05-15 08:00:07	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	629	100¢	$628	0x25d1c1…
05-15 07:59:37	Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	645	100¢	$644	0x1a54df…
05-15 07:59:29	Will XRP dip to $1.10 May 11-17?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xbb4b4a…
05-11 07:34:46	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	No	BUY	160	65¢	$104	0x91f09a…
05-09 11:27:08	Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x4fa080…
05-09 11:26:26	Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	710	0¢	$1	0x568774…
05-09 11:25:42	Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	700	100¢	$699	0x891fa0…
05-09 11:25:21	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Sean Brady	BUY	46	62¢	$29	0x58c743…
05-09 11:22:45	Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	716	100¢	$715	0x12e62e…
05-09 11:22:24	Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	710	100¢	$709	0xa048ca…
04-25 09:38:30	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3b764…
04-25 09:37:50	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x047b08…
03-31 06:43:55	will solana dip to 20 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe81b9b…
03-31 06:42:59	will aaron rai win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x0d9c67…
03-31 06:42:53	will aaron rai win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x0cd564…
03-31 06:42:35	will aaron rai win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xb846c0…
03-13 08:14:53	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe5e207…
03-04 01:49:07	Will Mohsen Qomi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xf15e30…
03-04 01:48:35	Will Mohsen Qomi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf121fa…
03-04 01:48:27	Will Mohsen Qomi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x92bdef…
01-28 02:48:41	xrp above 1pt4 on january 29	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x7e28ce…
01-15 03:25:04	will bitcoin dip to 80k january 12 18	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x05793c…
01-15 03:24:50	will ethereum dip to 2500 january 12 18	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa4c342…
01-06 06:32:17	Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xb4e29e…
01-06 06:31:51	Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xed65bc…