Luminous-Masonry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

+$115

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

Trades

373

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$465

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 07-21 11:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

90% 79% $-40

Sports

4% — —

Politics

3% — —

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+470	$362	99¢	$464	+$102	07-06 17:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		-48	$-13	1¢	$-1	+$13	06-09 09:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$1.2K	556	806	-250	open	—	07-02 11:34
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	8	$608	345	345	+0	open	—	07-14 04:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$475	546	0	+546	open	—	05-20 18:25
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	4	$387	298	298	+0	open	—	07-18 18:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$375	470	48	+422	open	—	07-06 17:47
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	5	$272	200	200	+0	open	—	07-19 22:02
lal cel ray 2026 01 18 cel	3	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	01-18 19:11
spl ith okh 2026 01 26 ith	1	$140	147	0	+147	open	—	01-26 18:47
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	1	$138	200	0	+200	open	—	07-06 13:36
spl taa okh 2026 01 30 taa	2	$112	140	0	+140	open	—	01-30 15:40
cs2 ast10 fnc 2026 01 13	3	$107	127	17	+110	open	—	01-13 18:38
fl1 rcl aja 2026 01 17 rcl	1	$100	110	0	+110	open	—	01-17 17:47
nfl ne den 2026 01 25	1	$100	152	0	+152	open	—	01-25 17:46
nfl hou ne 2026 01 18	1	$100	119	0	+119	open	—	01-18 22:11
lal rso bar 2026 01 18 bar	1	$100	169	0	+169	open	—	01-18 20:01
nba min mil 2026 01 13	1	$100	227	0	+227	open	—	01-13 20:02
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	1	$100	152	0	+152	open	—	07-03 17:07
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	1	$100	115	0	+115	open	—	06-21 08:23
lal get val 2026 01 18 val	1	$100	116	0	+116	open	—	01-18 14:50
bun moe stu 2026 01 25 total 4pt5	1	$100	106	0	+106	open	—	01-25 16:13
lal cel ray 2026 01 18 total 3pt5	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	01-18 19:10
ere tel aja 2026 01 11 aja	1	$100	109	0	+109	open	—	01-11 14:08
acn egy civ 2026 01 10 egy	2	$100	80	80	+0	open	—	01-10 21:24
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	4	$97	150	0	+150	open	—	07-15 14:05
lal mad ala 2026 01 18 mad	1	$90	100	0	+100	open	—	01-18 16:50
sea udi int 2026 01 17 int	1	$87	100	0	+100	open	—	01-17 14:44
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	2	$84	100	0	+100	open	—	07-14 21:19
spl dam ith 2026 01 13 draw	1	$78	100	0	+100	open	—	01-13 19:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	5	$77	100	100	+0	open	—	07-08 13:29
bun dor pau 2026 01 17 dor	1	$76	110	0	+110	open	—	01-17 14:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 11:41:42	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	No	BUY	84	53¢	$45	0x2adbc3…
07-21 11:37:22	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	No	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x3e7a88…
07-21 11:34:58	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x89fa8a…
07-19 22:02:51	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0x43d26c…
07-19 17:38:46	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xb1f19d…
07-19 17:38:15	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	71	54¢	$39	0xb1edba…
07-19 17:37:24	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x7f4c17…
07-19 17:35:10	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xcbb442…
07-18 18:43:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	143	80¢	$114	0xecc981…
07-15 15:20:20	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0xb95ff0…
07-15 15:19:10	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x4a0a3a…
07-15 15:16:20	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x16d8db…
07-15 15:16:05	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x3d9f41…
07-15 14:19:02	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	49	68¢	$34	0x709433…
07-15 14:05:25	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x11b1df…
07-15 14:04:11	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	65	68¢	$44	0x5b8454…
07-15 13:18:56	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x1f3c9a…
07-14 21:19:52	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	94	84¢	$79	0x259374…
07-14 20:56:40	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x7a0f0c…
07-14 16:53:14	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	50	57¢	$29	0xc890e5…
07-14 15:13:02	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x8012bb…
07-14 04:52:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	345	100¢	$344	0x53e458…
07-08 14:28:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xfefc61…
07-08 13:29:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	18	44¢	$8	0xa25c05…
07-08 13:25:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xc4b4e8…
07-08 13:25:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	44	44¢	$19	0x791bea…
07-08 13:15:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	33	44¢	$15	0xdd1f26…
07-07 17:46:25	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x2335ac…
07-07 06:20:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	156	66¢	$103	0xe88a3c…
07-06 17:47:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	120	89¢	$107	0xb23421…
07-06 13:37:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x173920…
07-06 13:36:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0xdd2c89…
07-04 18:49:32	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x0119eb…
07-04 17:47:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	156	45¢	$70	0x371bce…
07-04 17:21:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x9d7a0a…
07-03 23:43:10	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x772226…
07-03 19:44:10	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x940aaf…
07-03 17:07:32	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xe3fe77…
07-02 14:26:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xdd5c3d…
07-02 11:34:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	806	100¢	$803	0x4aab0f…
06-30 22:40:59	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x45aa09…
06-30 13:10:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	84	12¢	$10	0xe507b1…
06-29 18:43:40	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x0b9b72…
06-27 22:43:46	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xc5a216…
06-27 22:41:40	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x51861c…
06-24 17:40:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x5aa055…
06-23 15:36:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xe9f54e…
06-22 19:17:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x8b535b…
06-22 12:10:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	39	72¢	$28	0x111209…
06-22 12:01:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0xc6da76…
06-22 11:58:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x5ae003…
06-22 11:58:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	41	72¢	$30	0xf3b2f0…
06-21 08:23:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0x2eca8d…
06-21 08:23:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xa0dd67…
06-15 10:42:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	556	72¢	$400	0xe22bab…
06-09 09:34:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	48	28¢	$13	0x9e487f…
05-30 20:46:27	CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xbb9e23…
05-25 01:16:42	CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	11	48¢	$5	0xdd42d3…
05-25 01:12:32	CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xd25d3f…
05-24 21:35:32	Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xc7b386…
05-24 20:36:58	AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x02bb90…
05-24 16:43:42	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0x4f83d0…
05-24 16:42:23	Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x9dcb58…
05-24 16:42:09	Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0x0089de…
05-23 20:26:38	SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x377416…
05-21 19:40:57	Al Hazem SC vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x8b60cf…
05-20 18:25:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	266	94¢	$250	0x4bbc58…
05-20 17:26:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	160	94¢	$150	0x5376a4…
05-16 23:44:56	Fluminense FC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xf18747…
05-16 17:48:15	Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x13a269…
05-16 15:21:33	Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xe606c1…
05-16 15:12:20	1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0xd03d5d…
05-16 15:11:43	Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x8d19d4…
05-14 01:26:12	D.C. United SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x1b24cd…
05-14 01:22:58	New England Revolution vs. Nashville SC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x68bfd0…
05-13 20:43:47	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x5ce514…
05-12 19:47:01	Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x3e7324…
05-12 18:04:12	Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x3de663…
05-11 21:03:42	CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x91b88b…
05-11 21:03:28	Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Arouca: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xb5d4d3…
05-11 18:32:14	NEOM SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xfd2daf…
05-10 13:40:18	FC Nordsjælland vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x139adc…
05-10 13:16:44	TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xa2ffec…
05-10 01:23:50	Atlanta United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0x20e579…
05-10 01:23:24	Atlanta United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x313529…
05-09 22:43:22	Fluminense FC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x73593d…
05-09 22:19:41	CF Montréal vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xd4d5d6…
05-09 20:52:35	Coritiba FBC vs. SC Internacional: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x81255d…
05-09 20:45:14	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x35bb4c…
05-09 20:23:41	Chicago Fire FC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x4c8c89…
05-09 20:14:30	1. FC Nürnberg vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xe825a3…
05-09 18:46:33	Göztepe SK vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	13	24¢	$3	0x8221df…
05-09 18:46:12	Göztepe SK vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x8b0f3d…
05-09 18:46:12	Beşiktaş JK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0x701299…
05-09 18:46:12	Konyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x65b535…
05-09 18:46:11	Eyüpspor vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xb57e3b…
05-09 18:45:51	Eyüpspor vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x36b06d…
05-09 17:38:46	SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xb52ccf…
05-09 15:40:42	Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x09831e…
05-09 15:12:21	FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x0f4b4d…