Luminous-Masonry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

Trades

412

lifetime

Volume

$14.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 08-11 09:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

86% 79% $-40

Tech

7% — —

Sports

3% — —

Politics

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$1.2K	556	806	-250	open	—	07-02 11:34
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	9	$994	550	550	+0	open	—	07-30 15:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$892	470	568	-98	open	—	07-24 18:31
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	6	$617	438	438	+0	open	—	08-11 09:38
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	8	$608	345	345	+0	open	—	07-14 04:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$475	546	0	+546	open	—	05-20 18:25
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	13	$441	299	299	+0	open	—	07-23 07:03
will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	9	$368	590	0	+590	open	—	07-24 15:19
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	2	$324	200	200	+0	open	—	07-30 12:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	7	$273	500	100	+400	open	—	08-10 17:48
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	5	$272	200	200	+0	open	—	07-19 22:02
lal cel ray 2026 01 18 cel	3	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	01-18 19:11
will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	2	$184	200	0	+200	open	—	07-23 19:13
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	3	$179	100	100	+0	open	—	07-24 18:51
will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	2	$164	100	100	+0	open	—	07-22 11:09
btc updown 5m 1784920200	3	$150	167	0	+167	open	—	07-24 19:15
spl ith okh 2026 01 26 ith	1	$140	147	0	+147	open	—	01-26 18:47
spl taa okh 2026 01 30 taa	2	$112	140	0	+140	open	—	01-30 15:40
cs2 ast10 fnc 2026 01 13	3	$107	127	17	+110	open	—	01-13 18:38
fl1 rcl aja 2026 01 17 rcl	1	$100	110	0	+110	open	—	01-17 17:47
lal rso bar 2026 01 18 bar	1	$100	169	0	+169	open	—	01-18 20:01
nfl ne den 2026 01 25	1	$100	152	0	+152	open	—	01-25 17:46
nfl hou ne 2026 01 18	1	$100	119	0	+119	open	—	01-18 22:11
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	1	$100	152	0	+152	open	—	07-03 17:07
nba min mil 2026 01 13	1	$100	227	0	+227	open	—	01-13 20:02
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	1	$100	115	0	+115	open	—	06-21 08:23
lal get val 2026 01 18 val	1	$100	116	0	+116	open	—	01-18 14:50
bun moe stu 2026 01 25 total 4pt5	1	$100	106	0	+106	open	—	01-25 16:13
lal cel ray 2026 01 18 total 3pt5	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	01-18 19:10
ere tel aja 2026 01 11 aja	1	$100	109	0	+109	open	—	01-11 14:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 09:38:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	140	87¢	$122	0xf45e16…
08-10 17:48:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0xf0a153…
07-31 13:04:47	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	BUY	153	65¢	$99	0xa41b9f…
07-31 13:01:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x44be10…
07-30 15:51:11	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	521	99¢	$513	0x966120…
07-30 15:51:11	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7c3271…
07-30 12:04:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x1b5082…
07-30 11:34:21	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x85e259…
07-26 11:11:54	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x58d7f5…
07-24 19:15:00	btc updown 5m 1784920200	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd05b90…
07-24 19:14:54	btc updown 5m 1784920200	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xd3311a…
07-24 19:14:07	btc updown 5m 1784920200	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x3c8610…
07-24 19:10:01	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x006fca…
07-24 18:51:03	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x245a7c…
07-24 18:34:54	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	300	90¢	$271	0xd46a4d…
07-24 18:31:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	520	99¢	$516	0x5e793e…
07-24 15:19:27	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	150	57¢	$85	0x57c690…
07-24 10:43:09	will the next claude opus model be released by july 27 2026	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x52ed49…
07-24 10:41:57	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	109	74¢	$81	0x4f1ded…
07-24 10:38:58	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x607530…
07-24 10:37:33	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xf1229a…
07-23 19:13:24	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	No	BUY	182	92¢	$167	0x9c49c9…
07-23 19:05:15	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	No	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x2f1598…
07-23 19:00:24	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	190	63¢	$120	0x9780a3…
07-23 19:00:24	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x393bc9…
07-23 18:56:58	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	118	43¢	$50	0x21cf73…
07-23 18:56:55	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	22	42¢	$10	0xa59b04…
07-23 07:03:46	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	172	83¢	$142	0xbb1656…
07-23 07:02:49	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x799ba8…
07-23 07:02:28	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x643c4e…
07-23 07:02:01	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x7c5b7e…
07-23 07:00:19	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x76abe3…
07-23 06:55:46	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	19	83¢	$16	0xc4face…
07-22 12:18:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	140	77¢	$108	0x93da4e…
07-22 12:16:24	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	165	74¢	$123	0x7788ea…
07-22 12:16:24	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	35	74¢	$26	0x6750a3…
07-22 11:09:39	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x796b27…
07-22 07:54:09	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	80	75¢	$60	0xb5db59…
07-22 07:40:21	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	19	65¢	$12	0xba6fd2…
07-21 11:41:42	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	No	BUY	84	53¢	$45	0x2adbc3…
07-21 11:37:22	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	No	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x3e7a88…
07-21 11:34:58	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x89fa8a…
07-19 22:02:51	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0x43d26c…
07-19 17:38:46	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xb1f19d…
07-19 17:38:15	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	71	54¢	$39	0xb1edba…
07-19 17:37:24	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x7f4c17…
07-19 17:35:10	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xcbb442…
07-18 18:43:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	143	80¢	$114	0xecc981…
07-15 15:20:20	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0xb95ff0…
07-15 15:19:10	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x4a0a3a…
07-15 15:16:20	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x16d8db…
07-15 15:16:05	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x3d9f41…
07-15 14:19:02	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	49	68¢	$34	0x709433…
07-15 14:05:25	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x11b1df…
07-15 14:04:11	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	65	68¢	$44	0x5b8454…
07-15 13:18:56	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x1f3c9a…
07-14 21:19:52	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	94	84¢	$79	0x259374…
07-14 20:56:40	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x7a0f0c…
07-14 16:53:14	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	50	57¢	$29	0xc890e5…
07-14 15:13:02	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x8012bb…
07-14 04:52:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	345	100¢	$344	0x53e458…
07-08 14:28:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xfefc61…
07-08 13:29:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	18	44¢	$8	0xa25c05…
07-08 13:25:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xc4b4e8…
07-08 13:25:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	44	44¢	$19	0x791bea…
07-08 13:15:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	33	44¢	$15	0xdd1f26…
07-07 17:46:25	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x2335ac…
07-07 06:20:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	156	66¢	$103	0xe88a3c…
07-06 17:47:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	120	89¢	$107	0xb23421…
07-06 13:37:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x173920…
07-06 13:36:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0xdd2c89…
07-04 18:49:32	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x0119eb…
07-04 17:47:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	156	45¢	$70	0x371bce…
07-04 17:21:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x9d7a0a…
07-03 23:43:10	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x772226…
07-03 19:44:10	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x940aaf…
07-03 17:07:32	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xe3fe77…
07-02 14:26:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xdd5c3d…
07-02 11:34:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	806	100¢	$803	0x4aab0f…
06-30 22:40:59	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x45aa09…
06-30 13:10:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	84	12¢	$10	0xe507b1…
06-29 18:43:40	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x0b9b72…
06-27 22:43:46	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xc5a216…
06-27 22:41:40	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x51861c…
06-24 17:40:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x5aa055…
06-23 15:36:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xe9f54e…
06-22 19:17:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x8b535b…
06-22 12:10:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	39	72¢	$28	0x111209…
06-22 12:01:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0xc6da76…
06-22 11:58:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x5ae003…
06-22 11:58:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	41	72¢	$30	0xf3b2f0…
06-21 08:23:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0x2eca8d…
06-21 08:23:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xa0dd67…
06-15 10:42:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	556	72¢	$400	0xe22bab…
06-09 09:34:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	48	28¢	$13	0x9e487f…
05-30 20:46:27	CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xbb9e23…
05-25 01:16:42	CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	11	48¢	$5	0xdd42d3…
05-25 01:12:32	CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xd25d3f…
05-24 21:35:32	Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xc7b386…
05-24 20:36:58	AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x02bb90…