Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$310

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

72.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$103

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-25 04:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Sports

45% 50% +$100

Other

28% 86% -$72

Politics

13% 67% -$102

Pop-Culture

7% 0% -$235

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+13	$12	94¢	$13	+$0	10-25 04:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba nop phi 2026 01 31	1	$544	800	+800	76ers	+$256	02-01 00:06
nba mil orl 2026 02 11	1	$400	500	+500	Bucks	-$400	02-11 05:56
nba atl cha 2026 02 11	1	$330	500	+500	Hornets	+$170	02-11 05:59
will golden ejae and mark sonnenblick win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	1	$235	300	+300	No	-$235	02-01 00:05
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$199	200	+200	No	+$1	03-28 20:22
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	1	$108	110	+110	No	+$2	01-25 08:00
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 20:22
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 20:19
will sp 500 spx hit 7500 high in march 2026	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 20:18
will trump visit china by march 31	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 20:17
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$100	100	+100	Yes	+$0	03-28 20:20
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 20:20
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 20:18
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 20:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 20:18
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 20:17
nba mia nop 2026 02 11	1	$96	200	+200	Heat	+$104	02-11 06:00
nba por min 2026 02 11	1	$84	300	+300	Timberwolves	-$84	02-11 06:02
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	1	$75	1,000	+1,000	No	-$75	02-11 05:55
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$70	100	+100	Yes	-$70	01-25 07:57
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	1	$38	100	+100	Yes	+$62	01-25 07:55
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$33	1,000	+1,000	No	-$33	02-11 05:55
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$12	13	+13	open	—	10-25 04:18
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	09-18 05:08
will wti reach 150 in august 2026	1	$11	12	+12	No	+$0	08-14 20:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$11	11	+11	No	+$0	07-11 07:54
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	04-11 07:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	06-08 22:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	05-02 06:24
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$6	100	+100	No	-$6	03-28 20:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 04:18:18	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xd8306c…
09-18 05:08:13	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x08e985…
08-14 20:50:57	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x16ffad…
07-11 07:54:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3ed2f1…
06-08 22:47:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6039c5…
05-02 06:24:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0d7190…
04-11 07:43:13	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6eb9a3…
03-28 20:29:40	will iowa win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x22cfcb…
03-28 20:24:04	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x99e459…
03-28 20:22:56	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x19bed7…
03-28 20:22:06	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6c7413…
03-28 20:21:44	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x5ab0de…
03-28 20:20:48	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7f3601…
03-28 20:20:30	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x70129d…
03-28 20:19:46	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbd5534…
03-28 20:18:58	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x18166e…
03-28 20:18:38	will sp 500 spx hit 7500 high in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x69048a…
03-28 20:18:20	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x58efe9…
03-28 20:18:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x986ae8…
03-28 20:17:44	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xce333b…
03-28 20:17:26	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xae453c…
02-11 06:02:31	nba por min 2026 02 11	Trail Blazers	BUY	300	28¢	$84	0x1d5d5e…
02-11 06:00:49	nba mia nop 2026 02 11	Heat	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x0b2f48…
02-11 05:59:25	nba atl cha 2026 02 11	Hornets	BUY	500	66¢	$330	0x5db1a8…
02-11 05:56:51	nba mil orl 2026 02 11	Magic	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0x074992…
02-11 05:55:47	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$33	0x5d5719…
02-11 05:55:05	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	8¢	$75	0x227cce…
02-01 00:06:54	nba nop phi 2026 01 31	76ers	BUY	800	68¢	$544	0x1c5ef5…
02-01 00:05:08	will golden ejae and mark sonnenblick win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	Yes	BUY	300	78¢	$235	0xebf437…
01-25 08:00:10	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0x426d31…
01-25 07:57:00	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x70e915…
01-25 07:55:44	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x57a90e…