Ragged-Court — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$141

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

82.0%

Resolved

483

Trades

701

lifetime

Volume

$5.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-24

last 11-10 18:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Other

46% 53% -$231

Crypto

28% 76% +$9

Sports

24% 58% +$80

Politics

2% 50% +$2

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes		+136	$10	6¢	$9	-$1	11-10 18:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$606	546	546	+0	Yes	+$28	07-15 21:07
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$482	1,081	1,081	+0	No	+$64	07-14 19:35
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$413	213	213	+0	Yes	+$13	07-31 19:44
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$387	748	584	+164	No	-$301	10-26 22:14
will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	2	$219	123	123	+0	No	+$19	08-06 08:35
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	4	$177	114	114	+0	Yes	+$19	03-18 19:56
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$152	441	441	+0	No	-$12	07-14 19:56
lal bar ray 2026 03 22 bar	4	$128	75	75	+0	Yes	+$3	03-22 14:55
bun lei hof 2026 03 20 lei	2	$109	56	56	+0	Yes	+$2	03-20 21:29
fif egy esp 2026 03 30 esp	5	$73	88	72	+17	No	-$38	03-31 20:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$61	40	40	+0	No	+$3	04-22 18:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 19:00 UTC	2	$59	30	30	+0	Up	+$1	04-21 19:14
ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 rma	2	$56	30	30	+0	Yes	+$4	02-17 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 21:50 UTC	2	$55	33	33	+0	Down	+$3	04-22 21:54
lal bar cel 2026 04 22 bar	2	$54	31	31	+0	Yes	+$1	04-22 21:36
spl fay nsr 2026 02 28 nsr	3	$54	28	28	+0	Yes	+$2	02-28 21:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 11:00 UTC	2	$53	27	27	+0	Down	+$1	04-02 11:11
epl tot ars 2026 02 22 ars	2	$51	26	26	+0	Yes	+$0	02-22 19:02
cdr alb fcb 2026 02 03 fcb	2	$50	28	28	+0	Yes	+$2	02-03 21:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 13:50 UTC	2	$50	25	25	+0	Down	+$0	03-11 13:56
lal rea ray 2026 02 01 rea	2	$44	25	25	+0	Yes	+$5	02-01 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 08:10 UTC	1	$40	41	0	+41	Down	+$0	04-18 08:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 23:00 UTC	1	$39	40	0	+40	Up	+$2	04-14 23:04
atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01	2	$38	20	20	+0	Alcaraz	+$1	02-01 12:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 21:20 UTC	1	$37	39	0	+39	Down	+$2	04-14 21:23
fif egy esp 2026 03 30 draw	3	$33	18	18	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 20:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 14:15 UTC	1	$33	33	0	+33	Down	+$0	03-05 14:19
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	1	$31	0	48	-48	Yes	+$31	04-28 18:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 17:55 UTC	3	$31	32	2	+30	Up	$0	02-28 17:58
atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01 set totals 3pt5	2	$30	18	18	+0	Over 3.5	+$7	02-01 10:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 18:07:55	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	136	7¢	$10	0xe74593…
11-04 06:35:24	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0x135e68…
11-03 22:34:01	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xb65556…
11-03 22:07:57	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x66cca0…
11-03 21:46:22	FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x2b2146…
11-03 21:40:52	FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8c0e8e…
11-03 21:36:39	FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x99d9fa…
11-03 20:24:37	FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5e8315…
11-02 17:00:09	Will Real Oviedo vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xefb161…
11-01 23:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xd915b4…
11-01 23:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3010c0…
11-01 22:24:09	Celtics vs. Magic	Celtics	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb06e21…
11-01 20:47:06	Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5f9efd…
11-01 17:10:37	Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xae6c49…
11-01 16:50:12	Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xe2e85a…
10-26 22:14:36	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	164	6¢	$10	0xc0facf…
10-26 21:22:15	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	584	7¢	$43	0x5ff83a…
10-01 18:59:08	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	584	57¢	$334	0x1fa87d…
09-16 20:57:51	Hamza Abdelkarim: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x125865…
09-13 14:34:15	Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x90dbeb…
09-06 14:04:04	Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf48d62…
09-05 16:01:04	Exact Score: Athletic Club 2 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4fff79…
08-27 18:37:22	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Athletic Club?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4d184c…
08-27 18:35:52	FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5281de…
08-23 18:57:52	Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x65d4c0…
08-23 13:24:07	Exact Score: Elche CF 1 - 3 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x553878…
08-22 19:35:01	Exact Score: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x54dbc3…
08-22 16:36:10	lal bil sev 2026 08 22 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xba55c0…
08-22 16:25:21	lal bil sev 2026 08 22 btts	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xef0967…
08-22 16:18:31	lal bil sev 2026 08 22 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe56f7f…
08-22 15:29:43	Will Everton FC win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0x0430c0…
08-22 15:29:15	lal bil sev 2026 08 22 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x810e25…
08-22 15:01:46	Will Everton FC win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x885d14…
08-22 11:50:06	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xceaf5e…
08-19 17:56:42	clf bar ahl 2026 08 19 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xea9ef7…
08-17 18:53:34	ucl fen lyo 2026 08 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x464375…
08-16 13:29:12	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x9b0216…
08-16 09:50:58	lal esp lev 2026 08 16 corners team away 3pt5	Over	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x24c0e8…
08-15 13:29:55	lal ala get 2026 08 15 corners team home 5pt5	Over	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xbe5465…
08-13 13:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xace85d…
08-06 08:35:23	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	SELL	123	97¢	$119	0x2bac23…
07-31 21:28:20	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xf81c70…
07-31 19:44:18	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	213	100¢	$213	0x42756a…
07-30 09:33:09	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x24342b…
07-15 21:07:59	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	546	58¢	$317	0x0435e0…
07-14 20:32:56	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	546	53¢	$289	0x276fc5…
07-14 19:56:19	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	192	18¢	$35	0x9664ce…
07-14 19:35:23	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,081	25¢	$273	0x5457cd…
07-07 18:06:02	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	185	18¢	$33	0xd3545f…
07-07 16:29:16	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	249	14¢	$35	0x7cee3c…
06-27 22:02:29	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	256	19¢	$49	0xee1e26…
06-25 19:57:14	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x778a22…
06-24 20:36:23	Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdef1ed…
06-24 20:16:31	Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0xdd0bd0…
06-24 19:42:04	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x125824…
06-24 18:00:37	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,026	19¢	$199	0x27bf99…
06-24 17:58:26	Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x9d2d97…
06-24 17:58:13	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x545ba1…
06-23 18:43:13	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	Ghana	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6cfde3…
06-23 18:42:41	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 btts	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x82563e…
06-23 18:42:13	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1b3f30…
06-23 18:28:11	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7062be…
06-22 18:16:47	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x16935d…
06-22 17:16:19	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe73abe…
06-22 17:14:14	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0eae65…
06-21 20:38:13	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf492e8…
06-17 21:45:02	Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0x5b0d22…
06-17 20:00:37	Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc00725…
06-17 18:50:14	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	SELL	2	23¢	$1	0xadb1c0…
06-17 18:40:40	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x29b54a…
06-16 19:19:05	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xf21b0f…
06-15 17:52:48	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5c1049…
06-15 17:34:36	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9ede23…
06-14 21:34:42	UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	Ilia Topuria	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x493f23…
06-12 21:59:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9eb3d7…
06-12 21:44:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7ec0c4…
06-12 21:04:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7b50a4…
06-12 20:54:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcb5fbd…
06-12 19:35:36	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x622328…
06-12 18:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x842497…
06-12 18:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x33d296…
06-12 16:19:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa5ad37…
06-12 14:59:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x36b087…
06-12 14:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfd281b…
06-12 13:59:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x207b45…
06-12 13:54:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xddf364…
06-12 13:54:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9d8682…
06-12 13:19:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf8411e…
06-12 12:59:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa0a797…
06-12 11:54:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6461d4…
06-12 10:49:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x653d44…
06-12 10:39:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x513e74…
06-12 09:19:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1dccd8…
06-12 08:54:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x129f6a…
06-12 08:04:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x372403…
06-12 05:09:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1b5304…
06-12 04:14:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf2a59b…
06-12 04:09:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xcdbac4…
06-12 03:30:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x60a547…
06-12 03:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xafe33f…