Clear-Ceremony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$106

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

103

Trades

131

lifetime

Volume

$19.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$151

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 10-31 07:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

58% 100% +$53

Crypto

20% 100% +$8

Politics

17% 100% +$25

Tech

5% 100% +$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	5	$1.1K	639	439	+200	No	+$10	09-03 09:57
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$719	720	0	+720	No	+$1	05-21 12:14
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	3	$713	719	0	+719	No	+$6	05-20 11:45
Will GPT-5.6 be released prior to May 18, 2026?	1	$709	710	0	+710	No	+$1	05-18 07:23
Will XRP dip to $1.10 May 11-17?	1	$707	710	0	+710	No	+$3	05-16 08:17
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$703	704	0	+704	No	+$1	05-09 07:06
Will CZ post 160-179 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$700	701	0	+701	No	+$1	05-06 11:08
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on May 13?	1	$549	550	0	+550	Yes	+$1	05-10 07:34
open above 6 on august 21 2026	1	$431	431	0	+431	No	+$0	08-21 11:28
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.75 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$423	423	0	+423	No	+$0	05-22 05:42
will open close between 6 and 7 week october 23 2026	1	$399	400	0	+400	No	+$1	10-17 13:59
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	1	$399	400	0	+400	No	+$1	10-10 02:03
Will Ethena reach $0.20 in May?	1	$388	389	0	+389	No	+$1	05-26 06:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$360	190	190	+0	No	+$7	06-03 13:55
Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 11?	1	$332	332	0	+332	No	+$0	08-09 02:17
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?	1	$326	326	0	+326	No	+$0	07-06 01:03
nflx above 30 on august 21 2026	1	$323	323	0	+323	Yes	+$0	08-18 06:37
Will Ethena reach $0.16 in May?	1	$312	316	0	+316	No	+$4	05-27 07:21
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-14 07:03
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	1	$299	300	0	+300	No	+$1	10-10 02:04
will open close between 7 and 8 week october 23 2026	1	$299	300	0	+300	No	+$1	10-17 13:58
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $92.50 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$299	300	0	+300	No	+$1	05-14 07:01
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	1	$292	292	0	+292	No	+$0	09-04 05:11
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of September 14 above $6.00?	1	$289	289	0	+289	No	+$0	09-12 23:44
dtrump out as president by september 30	1	$279	282	0	+282	No	+$3	09-03 06:04
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	1	$270	273	0	+273	No	+$3	06-27 02:05
Trump out as President by June 30?	1	$256	259	0	+259	No	+$3	06-04 09:20
open above 2pt5 on june 26 2026	2	$253	255	0	+255	Yes	+$3	06-23 00:57
putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	1	$249	250	0	+250	No	+$1	08-22 21:07
Trump out as President by August 31?	1	$221	222	0	+222	No	+$1	08-24 07:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 07:33:16	Will Chainlink reach $22 in October?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x471386…
10-31 07:32:51	Will Chainlink reach $20 in October?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf61135…
10-24 00:17:47	Will Chainlink dip to $6 in October?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x800954…
10-24 00:16:59	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 26 – Oct 30?	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0xa1f928…
10-23 22:41:17	will open dip to 0 50 by october 26 2026	No	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x326c34…
10-17 13:59:17	will open close between 9 and 10 week october 23 2026	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x244a55…
10-17 13:59:02	will open close between 6 and 7 week october 23 2026	No	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0xae615c…
10-17 13:58:47	will open close between 7 and 8 week october 23 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xc26db1…
10-10 02:04:06	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xab5d7b…
10-10 02:03:39	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0xe71c2e…
10-10 01:54:13	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $0.75 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x0ba0c7…
09-26 01:19:45	will ng reach 3 90 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0x876399…
09-26 01:19:27	will ng reach 3 90 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x3a7cbb…
09-26 01:16:33	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 28 – Oct 2?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x54df8f…
09-26 01:15:21	nflx above 120 on october 2 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x18cc02…
09-26 01:14:36	nflx above 130 on october 2 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x96364f…
09-26 01:14:20	nflx above 30 on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc99323…
09-26 01:14:09	nflx above 20 on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa6da3c…
09-26 01:13:57	nflx above 10 on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x58d0dd…
09-26 01:13:18	will open dip to 1 00 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0x15a24b…
09-21 01:43:34	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 21 above $130?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xc130a1…
09-21 01:40:38	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.00 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x906333…
09-21 01:40:20	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.00 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xc2e342…
09-21 01:40:04	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.00 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	71	96¢	$69	0xd36b1a…
09-12 23:44:57	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of September 14 above $6.00?	No	BUY	289	100¢	$289	0x03a18f…
09-06 01:38:09	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x8baa44…
09-06 01:05:49	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of September 7 above $1.00?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x32d283…
09-06 01:05:33	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of September 7 above $6.00?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7fadc5…
09-06 01:04:55	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 7 above $30?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad9809…
09-06 01:04:07	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf46f65…
09-06 01:03:54	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x155b23…
09-06 01:03:37	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5a04e5…
09-06 01:03:25	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbc5c97…
09-06 01:03:07	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf42f5a…
09-06 01:02:57	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdbce44…
09-06 01:02:36	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x30ded0…
09-06 01:01:40	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7abc03…
09-06 01:00:33	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x10eb29…
09-06 01:00:13	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xb08e74…
09-04 05:11:22	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	292	100¢	$292	0x9917a3…
09-03 09:57:40	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xc28c33…
09-03 06:04:28	dtrump out as president by september 30	No	BUY	282	99¢	$279	0x2726ce…
08-24 07:56:13	Trump out as President by August 31?	No	BUY	222	100¢	$221	0x2d47f4…
08-22 21:07:42	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xb2db87…
08-22 08:46:22	will trump meet with keir starmer in august 2026 20260731154202613	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5be49a…
08-22 08:05:18	will open reach 7 00 in august 2026	No	BUY	144	99¢	$143	0xbc4956…
08-22 08:02:42	Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x92a66b…
08-21 11:28:58	open above 6 on august 21 2026	No	BUY	431	100¢	$431	0x21fc38…
08-18 17:15:46	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	SELL	426	98¢	$419	0xd66390…
08-18 16:33:06	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	SELL	13	98¢	$12	0x3dc592…
08-18 06:37:49	nflx above 30 on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	323	100¢	$323	0x71167d…
08-12 02:18:16	open above 2 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0x28887e…
08-12 02:17:22	will wti dip to 45 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x433258…
08-12 02:16:51	will ng dip to 2 00 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe1283c…
08-09 02:17:13	Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 11?	No	BUY	332	100¢	$332	0x90eae6…
08-02 08:03:08	Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0xa8774a…
08-02 08:02:41	Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd6a8b5…
08-02 08:01:50	Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd24b2f…
08-02 07:56:38	open above 7 on august 7 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5a5d3b…
08-02 07:56:18	open above 1pt5 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc8e4e5…
08-02 07:56:05	open above 1 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x38b336…
07-25 10:19:00	will ng reach 4 20 in july 2026	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x7d50cb…
07-24 05:47:51	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	348	96¢	$336	0xde3ea8…
07-23 09:50:10	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	91	96¢	$87	0x7eb298…
07-19 13:14:36	xrp above 1pt6 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xb915eb…
07-19 13:12:13	xrp above 1pt6 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4a289f…
07-16 06:54:22	Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x3f2ca5…
07-16 06:53:47	Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x3fb4e9…
07-16 06:53:05	Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbc6db0…
07-16 06:52:52	Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xa4149b…
07-12 08:39:25	open above 2pt5 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x931e37…
07-12 08:39:10	open above 2 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x9f62f9…
07-12 08:37:13	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	218	99¢	$217	0xd144e4…
07-12 08:28:44	Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on July 14?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x2277c9…
07-12 08:28:17	Will the price of Solana be less than $30 on July 15?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x90fff0…
07-12 08:28:11	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.50 on July 15?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd7c901…
07-06 01:05:49	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0xe4f43e…
07-06 01:05:05	will wti reach 100 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x4d41f9…
07-06 01:03:49	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xe62dc4…
07-06 01:03:23	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?	No	BUY	326	100¢	$326	0x4f4c01…
06-27 02:10:14	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0x7c667a…
06-27 02:05:29	Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	273	99¢	$270	0x1cfa16…
06-23 01:03:53	aapl above 360 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0xd6cfa8…
06-23 01:02:08	amzn above 310 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x0be209…
06-23 00:59:17	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x631260…
06-23 00:57:38	open above 2pt5 on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0x824e60…
06-23 00:57:13	open above 2pt5 on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	136	99¢	$135	0x7048b6…
06-15 10:44:43	will solana dip to 0 june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x36c549…
06-15 10:44:16	will solana reach 140 june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd9b594…
06-15 10:43:48	will xrp reach 1pt8 june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf7dd59…
06-15 10:43:30	will xrp reach 1pt9 june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xda6277…
06-15 10:41:07	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	No	SELL	72	85¢	$62	0xa3440c…
06-08 09:09:28	solana above 120 on june 11 2026	No	BUY	206	100¢	$205	0x839ee8…
06-08 09:07:03	will solana reach 130 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x47cf31…
06-08 09:06:42	will solana reach 140 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb439fa…
06-08 01:46:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x1931f7…
06-08 01:31:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x5429da…
06-08 01:29:33	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5e40b1…
06-04 09:20:00	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	259	99¢	$256	0x01b224…
06-04 09:18:10	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	165	95¢	$157	0xe03cb7…