Spectacular-Paw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.06K

Hit rate

15.9%

Resolved

Trades

425

lifetime

Volume

$241.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$569

Open exposure

$164

1 position

First seen

2026-03-15

last 08-23 12:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Politics

71% 20% -$11,068

Other

19% 16% -$9,285

Crypto

9% 30% -$1,428

Sports

2% 0% -$656

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+9,961	$1,227	2¢	$164	-$1,063	05-06 17:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	46	$111.0K	243,377	186,820	+56,557	Yes	-$1,595	04-04 23:59
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	48	$45.1K	910,270	910,270	+0	No	-$10,482	04-02 01:42
netanyahu out by march 31 854	12	$10.7K	290,388	97,693	+192,696	No	-$4,296	03-28 15:08
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	5	$8.1K	5,061	5,061	+0	Brazil	+$2,056	06-29 19:05
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	4	$7.8K	5,572	5,572	+0	Yes	+$2,891	03-17 21:54
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	13	$7.8K	21,400	8,583	+12,817	No	+$4,859	04-03 23:35
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	2	$5.0K	6,113	0	+6,113	Paraguay	-$5,000	06-29 21:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:10 UTC	9	$4.4K	3,738	2,869	+869	Down	+$964	04-04 21:13
nhl stl ana 2026 04 03	2	$3.9K	4,348	4,348	+0	Blues	-$123	04-04 02:42
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	54	$3.7K	667,636	0	+667,636	No	-$3,714	04-04 17:32
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$3.4K	4,905	4,905	+0	No	-$49	03-17 23:06
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$3.3K	4,632	4,632	+0	Yes	-$6	03-18 01:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:05 UTC	8	$2.9K	2,904	2,257	+647	Up	+$686	04-04 21:09
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$2.9K	13,636	13,636	+0	Yes	-$136	04-04 14:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:15 UTC	12	$2.5K	5,802	0	+5,802	Up	-$2,549	04-04 21:16
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 20:40 UTC	4	$2.1K	2,126	1,985	+142	Up	+$1,947	04-01 20:45
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	4	$1.2K	9,961	0	+9,961	open	—	05-06 17:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 17:55 UTC	5	$1.1K	1,578	1,078	+500	Up	+$297	03-30 17:59
Will FCSB win on 2026-08-23?	2	$1.1K	2,128	0	+2,128	No	-$1,106	08-23 12:03
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 21:00 UTC	4	$1.1K	972	920	+52	Up	+$637	04-01 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 17:50 UTC	5	$1.0K	4,291	710	+3,581	Down	+$121	03-30 17:54
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	6	$857	14,206	0	+14,206	No	-$857	03-18 03:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$847	35,529	35,529	+0	No	-$153	03-31 15:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 20:55 UTC	3	$814	1,448	0	+1,448	Up	+$633	04-04 20:55
miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	2	$802	5,447	0	+5,447	No	-$802	03-18 01:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 01:20 UTC	5	$731	3,592	514	+3,078	Down	+$163	04-02 01:23
Netanyahu out by April 30?	1	$600	8,824	0	+8,824	No	-$600	03-24 01:45
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 21:10 UTC	6	$600	8,542	0	+8,542	Down	-$600	04-01 21:14
ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 draw	14	$548	6,938	0	+6,938	No	-$548	03-18 20:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 01:30 UTC	17	$534	5,676	0	+5,676	Down	-$534	04-02 01:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-23 12:03:52	Will FCSB win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	204	52¢	$106	0xc82b27…
08-23 12:03:24	Will FCSB win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	1,923	52¢	$1,000	0x0f5002…
07-12 00:08:05	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,062	2¢	$65	0xe9e1b0…
07-12 00:04:49	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7,417	2¢	$119	0x2b7881…
06-29 21:12:59	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	1,515	66¢	$1,000	0x704a26…
06-29 19:35:11	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0x6a5878…
06-29 19:16:34	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	506	30¢	$150	0x2b382f…
06-29 19:15:43	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	4,598	87¢	$4,000	0xca170c…
06-29 19:06:05	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	345	100¢	$344	0xd7623c…
06-29 19:05:50	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	SELL	5,061	100¢	$5,056	0x77362c…
06-29 18:15:11	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	1,111	45¢	$500	0x37c6fc…
06-29 17:34:29	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	962	52¢	$500	0x38cb1b…
06-29 17:33:02	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0xd09791…
06-29 17:30:44	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	962	52¢	$500	0xf0aeeb…
06-29 15:10:31	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	500	30¢	$150	0x35c4d2…
06-29 15:09:23	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 goals vinicius junior gte2	Yes	BUY	690	10¢	$69	0x35cfe5…
06-29 15:03:22	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	2,027	74¢	$1,500	0x592c0c…
06-21 01:38:59	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	1,471	7¢	$100	0x98d7e2…
06-21 00:20:16	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	1,464	7¢	$100	0x0f5564…
05-06 17:26:33	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,364	12¢	$796	0x807a5b…
05-06 16:31:36	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x1e1288…
05-06 16:30:31	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	213	12¢	$26	0x952030…
05-06 16:29:51	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,334	12¢	$400	0x439ed5…
04-04 23:59:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	27,861	10¢	$2,685	0x46e048…
04-04 23:58:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	6,473	9¢	$600	0x63e160…
04-04 23:57:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	22,222	9¢	$2,000	0x24fd72…
04-04 21:16:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	143	34¢	$49	0xeeee58…
04-04 21:15:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	476	43¢	$203	0xa9f8fa…
04-04 21:15:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	218	45¢	$97	0x6ea02d…
04-04 21:15:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	603	40¢	$238	0x9f4977…
04-04 21:15:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	816	44¢	$360	0x3e0e39…
04-04 21:15:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	825	49¢	$401	0x0790a3…
04-04 21:15:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	583	43¢	$253	0x323454…
04-04 21:15:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	513	47¢	$242	0x0f5422…
04-04 21:15:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0eac62…
04-04 21:15:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	658	44¢	$288	0xc3edb0…
04-04 21:15:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0x157660…
04-04 21:15:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	930	43¢	$400	0xd5740e…
04-04 21:13:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	243	6¢	$15	0xf31352…
04-04 21:13:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	535	7¢	$40	0xffd2d5…
04-04 21:13:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:10 UTC	Down	SELL	1,656	94¢	$1,552	0xc0ec06…
04-04 21:13:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:10 UTC	Down	SELL	381	85¢	$323	0xac45a6…
04-04 21:13:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:10 UTC	Down	SELL	833	89¢	$746	0x0ab6ca…
04-04 21:10:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	801	56¢	$448	0xcc132e…
04-04 21:10:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	825	52¢	$426	0x8ff389…
04-04 21:10:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	472	64¢	$301	0x7a6ae0…
04-04 21:10:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	863	60¢	$518	0x7836fa…
04-04 21:09:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	268	7¢	$20	0x3e431e…
04-04 21:09:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	291	7¢	$20	0xfcbb84…
04-04 21:09:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:05 UTC	Up	SELL	1,318	75¢	$986	0x9e3c98…
04-04 21:09:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:05 UTC	Up	SELL	197	59¢	$116	0x6991f9…
04-04 21:09:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:05 UTC	Up	SELL	743	89¢	$657	0x0d311b…
04-04 21:07:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	550	41¢	$223	0x9e60bb…
04-04 21:07:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	767	45¢	$343	0x4b3226…
04-04 21:07:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1,029	54¢	$556	0x287e77…
04-04 21:04:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	549	5¢	$30	0xbed362…
04-04 21:03:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	643	8¢	$50	0x2cf832…
04-04 21:03:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	559	18¢	$100	0xe0795e…
04-04 21:03:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	571	18¢	$100	0xbb1909…
04-04 20:55:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	14	60¢	$9	0xe49246…
04-04 20:55:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	844	57¢	$479	0x291892…
04-04 20:55:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	589	56¢	$327	0x8e0c39…
04-04 20:54:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	216	17¢	$37	0x9fdd9f…
04-04 20:53:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	406	37¢	$150	0xfedb24…
04-04 20:53:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	468	32¢	$150	0x2e7b14…
04-04 17:32:11	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	25,000	0¢	$50	0xa06433…
04-04 17:32:03	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$100	0x335a79…
04-04 14:02:45	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	13,636	10¢	$1,364	0x9014f6…
04-04 14:02:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	15,169	17¢	$2,503	0x4c0f59…
04-04 12:30:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	20,000	15¢	$2,905	0x4d7518…
04-04 12:28:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	35,000	15¢	$5,250	0x807bbf…
04-04 02:58:23	bitcoin up or down april 3 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	690	3¢	$20	0xf997bc…
04-04 02:57:13	bitcoin up or down april 3 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	1,571	6¢	$100	0xbec8fb…
04-04 02:42:45	nhl stl ana 2026 04 03	Blues	SELL	4,348	43¢	$1,877	0xb799c4…
04-04 02:38:37	nhl stl ana 2026 04 03 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	899	28¢	$250	0xc49e60…
04-04 01:28:15	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	6,096	16¢	$1,000	0x7b1d56…
04-04 01:27:15	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	6,250	16¢	$1,000	0x89498f…
04-04 01:26:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5,883	17¢	$1,000	0x19bc46…
04-04 01:26:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	11,950	17¢	$2,000	0x619d40…
04-04 00:38:25	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	13,636	11¢	$1,500	0xa5963d…
04-04 00:27:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	13,323	15¢	$1,998	0x3aea8c…
04-04 00:26:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	6,667	15¢	$1,000	0x651f1d…
04-04 00:20:17	nhl phi nyi 2026 04 03	Islanders	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0xcd028a…
04-04 00:19:33	nhl stl ana 2026 04 03	Blues	BUY	4,348	46¢	$2,000	0xb208ed…
04-03 23:48:41	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2,667	15¢	$400	0x2e8abc…
04-03 23:35:23	will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	Yes	BUY	6,578	2¢	$100	0xe104c1…
04-03 23:31:03	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,407	14¢	$200	0xab1887…
04-03 23:06:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	7,592	13¢	$1,000	0x3e4792…
04-03 23:02:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	8,333	12¢	$1,000	0x04d4e7…
04-03 21:22:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	26,581	18¢	$4,837	0x752c72…
04-03 21:21:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	20,000	20¢	$3,939	0x344e92…
04-03 21:16:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	10,000	21¢	$2,100	0xf0a7fc…
04-03 20:59:53	will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	Yes	BUY	1,758	3¢	$50	0xf9f0c2…
04-03 20:59:43	will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	Yes	BUY	4,481	2¢	$100	0x970650…
04-03 16:32:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	4,167	12¢	$500	0xa3231f…
04-03 16:17:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	15,000	10¢	$1,500	0x0e7ddb…
04-03 16:17:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	11,111	9¢	$1,000	0x07d535…
04-03 16:15:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	22,222	9¢	$2,000	0x267d8c…
04-03 16:15:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	4,081	9¢	$367	0x18a71e…
04-03 15:58:17	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	85,659	0¢	$200	0xa863d2…