Lanky-Setback-Outlook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$70

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.1%

Resolved

387

Trades

1,052

lifetime

Volume

$1.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 10-27 15:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 68% -$58

Other

27% 66% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 226 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	20	$50	57	45	+12	Down	$0	10-23 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	11	$28	55	0	+55	Up	-$1	09-23 18:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	10	$28	25	25	+0	Up	+$1	10-23 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	13	$26	65	0	+65	Up	-$6	09-23 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	7	$26	56	0	+56	Up	+$2	09-23 19:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	9	$25	58	0	+58	Up	+$13	09-23 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	6	$25	50	0	+50	Up	+$1	09-23 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	8	$20	38	0	+38	Down	-$1	09-23 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	7	$20	39	0	+39	Down	-$1	09-23 20:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	6	$18	35	0	+35	Down	$0	09-23 20:10
highest temperature in toronto on april 15 2026 18corbelow	10	$18	21	20	+1	No	+$12	04-15 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	6	$18	35	0	+35	Up	-$1	09-23 19:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	6	$18	32	0	+32	Up	-$1	09-23 21:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	7	$18	33	0	+33	Down	+$0	09-23 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	7	$17	35	0	+35	Down	-$2	09-23 23:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	7	$17	33	0	+33	Down	-$2	09-23 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	6	$16	32	0	+32	Up	$0	09-23 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	6	$16	30	0	+30	Down	$0	09-23 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	6	$16	35	0	+35	Up	+$3	09-23 19:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	7	$16	30	0	+30	Up	-$1	09-23 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	5	$15	31	0	+31	Down	$0	09-23 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	6	$15	30	0	+30	Up	$0	09-23 21:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	6	$15	30	0	+30	Up	+$0	09-23 20:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	6	$15	30	0	+30	Up	+$0	09-23 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	5	$15	27	0	+27	Up	+$0	09-23 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	7	$15	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	09-23 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	6	$14	30	0	+30	Down	+$1	09-23 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	7	$14	30	0	+30	Up	+$1	09-23 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	5	$12	25	0	+25	Down	-$2	09-23 22:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$11	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	09-23 20:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x143568…
10-27 15:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x89e25e…
10-27 15:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3114fb…
10-27 15:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x579c21…
10-27 15:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xaab660…
10-27 15:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x36a8f1…
10-27 15:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0x13578c…
10-27 14:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x45dcaf…
10-27 14:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x3c6327…
10-27 14:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xd417f9…
10-27 14:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x25f316…
10-27 14:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xd0a9aa…
10-27 13:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2efcf4…
10-27 13:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf713b8…
10-27 13:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9229ee…
10-27 13:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x8f446a…
10-27 13:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe12885…
10-27 13:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xfd5729…
10-27 13:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0b5120…
10-27 13:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x659dc6…
10-27 01:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xc5b91c…
10-25 18:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0a4944…
10-25 17:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x48d0b6…
10-25 17:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe20dad…
10-25 16:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x164957…
10-25 15:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa874f6…
10-25 15:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x09bb1b…
10-25 15:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xaad2e4…
10-25 14:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x018b7f…
10-25 14:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x20e2d2…
10-25 12:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4e4f9a…
10-25 11:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x63173f…
10-25 11:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x33d803…
10-25 10:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdccf1e…
10-25 08:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x41843f…
10-25 08:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb19751…
10-25 05:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x74fe8e…
10-24 21:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x65a855…
10-24 19:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xdd4273…
10-24 19:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xcaae48…
10-23 13:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0833d3…
10-23 13:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xa74f61…
10-23 13:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x908d64…
10-23 13:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x0d4678…
10-23 13:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb7cfdc…
10-23 13:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xa29eb9…
10-23 13:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x79b0c0…
10-23 13:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xbf0fb7…
10-23 13:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x795f97…
10-23 13:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xa1b94e…
10-23 13:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x7ab5fc…
10-23 13:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x2107c5…
10-23 13:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x2b8201…
10-23 13:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xc15b06…
10-23 13:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7e8be2…
10-23 13:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa3b364…
10-23 13:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xc3af95…
10-23 13:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd6c2dc…
10-23 13:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x349140…
10-23 13:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3b04f1…
10-23 13:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xce0062…
10-23 13:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xdde2d8…
10-23 13:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x9fde75…
10-23 13:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xdcbd3a…
10-23 13:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x077774…
10-23 13:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x47bb18…
10-23 13:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x20e5cf…
10-23 13:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x7f5db7…
10-23 13:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x5575d4…
10-23 13:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xb07d1e…
09-23 23:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc137b1…
09-23 23:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf628ec…
09-23 23:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x594019…
09-23 23:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x239967…
09-23 23:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xfe2417…
09-23 23:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb229a0…
09-23 23:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x97fd01…
09-23 23:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe554ba…
09-23 23:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8eaff0…
09-23 23:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0c63f4…
09-23 23:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x8d7dab…
09-23 22:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9daebc…
09-23 22:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xdc7a52…
09-23 22:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9aa0de…
09-23 22:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd3e9fb…
09-23 22:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x16aff1…
09-23 22:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xb3473b…
09-23 22:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3377d8…
09-23 22:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x04e56b…
09-23 21:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xdc4f4e…
09-23 21:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xd05e60…
09-23 21:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xad3043…
09-23 21:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xb98d9a…
09-23 21:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x236a22…
09-23 21:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x1bb206…
09-23 21:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd992c6…
09-23 21:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0dbc05…
09-23 21:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x6ff204…
09-23 21:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd853e8…
09-23 21:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x2ae1d8…