(anonymous) 0x3a222c…4e7407
2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$12
Unrealized P&L
+$65
Hit rate
58.4%
Resolved
252
Trades
464
lifetime
Volume
$14.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$4.05K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-10
last 10-29 19:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
64% 85% -$28
Politics
35% 74% +$15
Tech
2% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 188 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,579 $1,062 69¢ $1.1K +$21 10-12 02:09
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,234 $395 32¢ $389 -$6 10-12 02:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +238 $231 98¢ $234 +$3 10-12 12:19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +215 $211 98¢ $211 +$1 10-12 13:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +238 $185 72¢ $172 -$13 10-12 12:19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +215 $146 75¢ $161 +$15 10-12 13:22
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +236 $206 68¢ $160 -$46 10-11 17:50
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +161 $159 95¢ $154 -$5 10-12 11:14
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +125 $120 96¢ $121 +$1 10-12 01:50
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +346 $112 31¢ $109 -$3 10-12 02:00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +159 $129 56¢ $89 -$40 10-12 13:35
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? No +82 $78 97¢ $80 +$2 10-10 14:50
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +97 $68 81¢ $79 +$11 10-11 04:49
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +100 $86 78¢ $78 -$8 10-11 02:40
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +236 $31 32¢ $77 +$46 10-11 17:50
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes -100 -$41 76¢ $-76 -$35 10-11 02:40
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +92 $63 81¢ $75 +$12 10-10 21:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +238 $59 30¢ $70 +$11 10-12 12:19
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +159 $33 44¢ $70 +$37 10-12 13:35
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? No +99 $32 62¢ $61 +$29 10-11 04:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? No +215 $77 28¢ $60 -$17 10-12 13:22
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +97 $55 56¢ $54 -$1 10-10 19:37
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? No +60 $50 86¢ $51 +$2 10-10 10:41
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +52 $51 99¢ $51 +$1 10-12 14:58
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +52 $51 99¢ $51 +$0 10-12 14:58
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +52 $46 98¢ $51 +$4 10-12 14:58
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +52 $9 91¢ $48 +$39 10-12 13:05
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +52 $40 92¢ $47 +$7 10-12 14:58
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +52 $50 89¢ $46 -$4 10-12 14:58
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +97 $41 46¢ $44 +$3 10-10 19:37