Fearful-Flexibility — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,708

lifetime

Volume

$16.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-30 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

79% 97% +$1

Sports

17% 100% +$0

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-11 11:26
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 05:50
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Mikes Evans play for San Francisco 49ers in 2026-27?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-10 06:09
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
Will Mikes Evans play for New York Jets in 2026-27?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-10 06:11
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:09
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 21:59
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
Will Mikes Evans play for Tennessee Titans in 2026-27?	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-10 06:11
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:54
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-27 17:22
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 17:22
cs2 bca inf6 2026 02 25 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-05 16:13
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:11
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 16:26
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 18:12
ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 total 4pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-17 20:20
wta avanesy garcia 2026 04 07	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-07 15:07
will canada win the 2026 world baseball classic	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-14 04:28
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 04:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 19:16:41	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x48e17b…
06-30 18:00:58	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ac3f5…
06-30 10:12:46	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0110d0…
06-30 04:26:01	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x06e51d…
06-30 04:16:10	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x069521…
06-30 00:35:02	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xccba18…
06-29 19:22:26	val ucam fks1 2026 06 29 game1	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x039b24…
06-29 19:19:04	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x644ff3…
06-29 19:13:19	will japan reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149730	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2c55cb…
06-29 16:05:02	val mdr bjk 2026 06 29 game1	Mandatory	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3a9932…
06-29 13:52:40	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac26a2…
06-28 20:31:04	crint cze srb 2026 06 28	Czechia	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x412150…
06-28 16:12:22	codmw tex lat1 2026 06 28	Los Angeles Thieves	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa744c2…
06-28 08:49:23	cs2 hon1 oly 2026 06 28 game1	OlyBet SB	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95115a…
06-28 04:01:43	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x54f474…
06-28 04:00:23	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1fd825…
06-28 03:01:26	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa1640f…
06-27 18:05:47	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x59b7ef…
06-27 17:08:38	codmw faz lat1 2026 06 27	Los Angeles Thieves	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5f686…
06-27 16:43:59	ufc abu2 mic1 2026 06 27 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb27cc…
06-27 12:31:13	kbo han ssg 2026 06 27	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1ec4a7…
06-27 12:16:22	kbo han ssg 2026 06 27	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76e108…
06-27 03:05:29	Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd91650…
06-27 01:32:26	mlb phi nym 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	New York Mets	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1920b9…
06-26 18:19:40	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2cc759…
06-26 18:19:37	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1abf95…
06-26 11:54:02	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b6218…
06-26 00:55:49	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x55d860…
06-25 22:21:10	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1a6560…
06-25 11:18:02	cs2 dep dm2 2026 06 25	DEPO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x054e64…
06-25 04:14:46	mlb oak sf 2026 06 24 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb85486…
06-25 02:00:44	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1128fa…
06-25 01:49:26	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x58b1a9…
06-25 00:10:55	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 corners team home 6pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x00da41…
06-25 00:04:47	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x566d1f…
06-25 00:02:38	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c46d9…
06-24 21:01:02	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x754def…
06-24 12:34:52	kbo kia kiw 2026 06 24	Kia Tigers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7523f…
06-23 20:00:58	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca369d…
06-23 18:25:08	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7c2253…
06-23 15:27:17	atp burruch fery 2026 06 22 set 2 winner Burruchaga vs Fery	Burruchaga	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x532449…
06-22 19:05:13	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts second half	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd55d0b…
06-22 00:08:31	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 corners total 11pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5440d2…
06-21 21:10:38	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 goals leandro trossard gte1	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf34e77…
06-21 18:03:17	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa85156…
06-20 20:06:37	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x734c9b…
06-20 05:14:16	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d2153…
06-20 02:40:34	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb9cde…
06-20 02:37:08	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x267025…
06-20 01:49:02	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x354894…
06-20 01:23:13	will hideki matsuyama make the cut at the 2026 uptspt open 20260616033932632	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4160fe…
06-20 00:02:04	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 corners total 7pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2bdb33…
06-19 15:45:31	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f983e…
06-19 10:32:41	val t1a art 2026 06 19	T1 Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5736bd…
06-19 00:04:23	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 2pt5	Canada	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd38de5…
06-18 22:59:28	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x146f22…
06-18 14:15:59	cs2 jjh pha 2026 06 18 game2	Phantom	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9abce2…
06-17 22:07:43	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe3d0dd…
06-17 19:25:26	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x92e23f…
06-17 19:17:58	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8bda2a…
06-17 19:04:16	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c33f1…
06-17 18:09:11	mlb mia phi 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb48b2c…
06-17 16:10:16	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdc844f…
06-17 16:07:46	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x22d8b6…
06-17 16:07:16	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x12af1e…
06-17 13:01:56	kbo kt doo 2026 06 17	KT Wiz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x56d7e9…
06-17 03:02:22	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 corners total 6pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd29c38…
06-17 00:03:08	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4fd0fa…
06-17 00:01:58	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 3pt5	Iraq	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdc89c8…
06-16 20:12:55	amzn up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5cc76f…
06-16 13:45:52	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0e9909…
06-16 02:29:43	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b3dcb…
06-15 12:41:40	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe785d1…
06-15 03:25:55	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14 totals 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d358c…
06-15 01:32:07	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x14d393…
06-14 19:23:28	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 2pt5	Germany	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4eb035…
06-14 19:02:24	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x75507d…
06-13 12:07:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe40c68…
06-13 01:55:01	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x34b40d…
06-12 21:34:51	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3a6fce…
06-12 20:58:55	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbe8c45…
06-12 20:35:01	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x82acea…
06-12 20:27:37	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ecdf2…
06-12 20:26:45	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x05f5ee…
06-12 20:18:58	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcc4e9a…
06-12 20:17:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1a5ae0…
06-12 13:30:09	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x22dbeb…
06-11 22:13:39	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a4734…
06-11 21:14:07	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd6190a…
06-11 16:53:27	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc498a6…
06-10 22:50:07	mlb wsh sf 2026 06 10 spread home 1pt5	Washington Nationals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x890d9f…
06-10 20:16:54	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x758a32…
06-10 20:05:15	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01b755…
06-10 10:18:31	crint tha2 npl3 2026 06 09	Thailand	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe85749…
06-09 17:38:22	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0956c…
06-08 21:37:00	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x722cbb…
06-08 12:03:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5a854…
06-07 22:16:04	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x924a31…
06-07 21:09:31	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa4910…
06-07 17:38:58	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1b518e…