Fearful-Flexibility — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.9%

Resolved

2,334

Trades

2,421

lifetime

Volume

$23.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 10-29 15:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 230 days

Categories

Other

81% 98% -$1

Sports

15% 100% +$4

Crypto

3% 97% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-30 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
cs2 bca inf6 2026 02 25 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	Betclic Apogee Esports	+$0	03-05 16:13
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-11 11:26
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:54
Will Mikes Evans play for New York Jets in 2026-27?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-10 06:11
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:22
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:37
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	4	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-30 04:48
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	2	$20	10	10	+0	TheMongolz	+$0	05-27 17:22
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Mikes Evans play for Tennessee Titans in 2026-27?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-10 06:11
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:29
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:09
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	4	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-30 04:48
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:37
Will Mikes Evans play for San Francisco 49ers in 2026-27?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-10 06:09
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$0	03-11 21:59
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:50
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 15:14:13	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf9f63a…
10-27 13:12:05	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeaae26…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd53241…
10-24 19:01:00	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb56181…
10-24 14:16:02	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2f7dad…
10-24 13:22:35	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x7751eb…
10-24 13:22:09	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf42914…
10-24 12:36:56	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x46841b…
10-23 16:52:27	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf438b2…
10-23 07:09:50	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd74558…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd66ab8…
10-22 20:12:41	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x23cb68…
10-21 20:58:33	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf85b50…
10-21 17:04:05	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d1e9a…
10-20 22:56:14	Lyon Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa5c54…
10-20 18:47:41	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc3615d…
10-20 18:35:32	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xee395b…
10-19 18:51:57	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa61555…
10-18 03:35:41	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe2db81…
10-15 20:32:50	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7c1cdc…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d8d14…
10-14 20:56:43	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc88957…
10-14 13:12:36	wta krueger tararud 2026 10 14	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xef0614…
10-14 11:41:26	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95c61c…
10-13 22:36:52	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x85df40…
10-13 21:12:07	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x67f27a…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8f8b62…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x270fba…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe8c14…
10-12 16:35:42	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x51f49f…
10-12 09:03:55	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x92e742…
10-11 20:16:13	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2c097…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x821e57…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e1367…
10-10 11:08:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x44c59f…
10-09 02:10:00	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd68d69…
10-07 06:30:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x403281…
10-06 20:46:26	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8af231…
10-06 16:07:33	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x952500…
10-06 13:20:18	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x441a00…
10-04 23:23:19	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x084caf…
10-04 20:17:40	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe4a050…
10-04 07:45:13	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x53d4c5…
10-03 14:50:32	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf0af18…
10-03 06:09:57	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x858f59…
10-03 05:54:29	wta sakkari hunter 2026 10 01	Maria Sakkari	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc1bca5…
10-03 02:52:57	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f0687…
10-02 14:15:26	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26ef3f…
10-02 14:12:32	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8bb52c…
10-01 22:30:35	atp dias olivier 2026 10 01	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x71b3e0…
10-01 20:46:23	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ebcdd…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xebfab6…
10-01 14:40:00	China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xde6846…
10-01 11:43:51	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7f0a72…
10-01 06:03:18	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x28fce4…
10-01 05:13:29	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x854e19…
10-01 04:48:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35e341…
09-30 23:54:59	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c0750…
09-30 12:27:59	atp kuzmano sachko 2026 09 30	Vitaliy Sachko	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x62d391…
09-30 01:58:17	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xab8154…
09-29 20:38:38	Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x166383…
09-29 15:30:11	atp tobon torres 2026 09 28	Juan Bautista Torres	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3afc31…
09-29 13:58:50	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x61db67…
09-29 13:18:54	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x95e31b…
09-29 13:16:00	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4004ed…
09-29 00:46:30	atp dickers pereir 2026 09 28	Jose Pereira	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9a6ed2…
09-28 20:43:08	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3fecc2…
09-28 17:00:08	atp angelin johns 2026 09 28	Lorenzo Angelini	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d040f…
09-28 10:07:57	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9deb26…
09-28 03:36:12	atp tsitsip nishiok 2026 09 27	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x952074…
09-27 20:35:44	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xde417e…
09-27 14:05:48	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x80fe12…
09-27 13:30:41	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfe0a2f…
09-27 12:11:59	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd1094…
09-27 01:55:27	UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ailin Perez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb34617…
09-27 00:28:21	Wisconsin vs. Penn State	Wisconsin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x56d994…
09-26 23:23:48	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe53786…
09-26 20:05:59	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f72e6…
09-26 19:53:24	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x88a756…
09-26 12:18:24	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb660d3…
09-25 22:57:42	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6cf667…
09-25 10:16:09	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c609e…
09-24 20:45:11	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf6f6f…
09-24 20:44:21	Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x781fbd…
09-23 22:37:44	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x699aed…
09-23 16:22:07	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a523c…
09-23 04:45:08	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x41f208…
09-21 18:44:33	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff8827…
09-21 15:15:06	Sao Paulo Open (Doubles): Dabrowski/Stefani vs Rogers/Zamarripa	Dabrowski/Stefani	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x128894…
09-21 13:01:35	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x055fde…
09-21 08:37:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a7378…
09-21 04:47:01	itf ishii1 suzuki2 2026 09 21	Sayaka Ishii	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x644e29…
09-20 22:25:38	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf9705…
09-20 21:08:26	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc01176…
09-20 12:44:49	cs2 sta6 ttbs 2026 09 20	STATE	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad842d…
09-20 04:25:15	wta shublad astakho 2026 09 19	Darya Astakhova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa40cd0…
09-20 02:59:40	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b8e91…
09-20 02:00:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe54f57…
09-20 01:26:37	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x99c15b…
09-19 20:39:11	NC State vs. Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b4a46…