Complex-Bonsai — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.5%

Resolved

121

Trades

455

lifetime

Volume

$4.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 06-09 16:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 46% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	8	$176	183	140	+42	open	—	05-20 16:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	6	$162	171	132	+39	open	—	05-20 16:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	4	$155	189	189	+0	open	—	05-20 17:45
eth updown 5m 1781014800	8	$148	146	139	+6	open	—	06-09 14:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	14	$122	123	98	+25	Down	$-4	05-13 13:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	6	$106	122	97	+25	open	—	05-20 19:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	3	$81	109	52	+57	open	—	05-20 17:58
eth updown 5m 1781015700	7	$80	105	64	+41	open	—	06-09 14:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	4	$79	99	40	+59	open	—	05-20 16:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$79	104	53	+51	open	—	05-20 17:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$75	129	0	+129	open	—	05-20 18:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	3	$73	87	43	+44	open	—	05-20 18:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$70	75	32	+43	open	—	05-20 17:11
eth updown 5m 1781019000	8	$66	103	58	+45	open	—	06-09 15:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	4	$59	38	38	+0	Down	+$9	05-13 13:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	3	$58	92	64	+28	open	—	05-20 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$55	95	0	+95	Down	$-48	05-09 20:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	6	$53	57	22	+35	Up	+$9	05-13 09:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$52	33	33	+0	open	—	05-20 16:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$51	47	47	+0	open	—	05-20 18:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$50	101	0	+101	open	—	05-20 18:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$50	125	0	+125	open	—	05-20 18:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$50	95	0	+95	open	—	05-20 16:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$50	78	0	+78	open	—	05-20 16:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$50	65	0	+65	open	—	05-20 16:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$50	62	0	+62	open	—	05-20 17:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$45	100	100	+0	open	—	05-20 18:56
eth updown 5m 1781015400	5	$44	57	29	+28	open	—	06-09 14:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	5	$40	81	0	+81	open	—	05-14 17:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	5	$40	59	24	+35	open	—	05-14 17:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 16:28:48	eth updown 5m 1781022300	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x9344a1…
06-09 16:26:30	eth updown 5m 1781022300	Up	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x497080…
06-09 16:25:37	eth updown 5m 1781022300	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xb4e584…
06-09 16:23:03	eth updown 5m 1781022000	Down	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x2ae2ef…
06-09 16:21:31	eth updown 5m 1781022000	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x240cbb…
06-09 16:16:43	eth updown 5m 1781021700	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc09039…
06-09 16:11:46	eth updown 5m 1781021400	Down	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x6227b5…
06-09 16:11:00	eth updown 5m 1781021400	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x90a1ce…
06-09 16:03:48	eth updown 5m 1781020800	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x294bcd…
06-09 16:03:30	eth updown 5m 1781020800	Down	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0xc479a0…
06-09 16:00:39	eth updown 5m 1781020800	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xefddf5…
06-09 15:43:21	eth updown 5m 1781019600	Down	SELL	19	22¢	$4	0x005151…
06-09 15:42:37	eth updown 5m 1781019600	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x3bd240…
06-09 15:39:30	eth updown 5m 1781019300	Up	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0xfffbb1…
06-09 15:39:30	eth updown 5m 1781019300	Up	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0xdf05a3…
06-09 15:34:43	eth updown 5m 1781019000	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xc35e63…
06-09 15:34:27	eth updown 5m 1781019000	Up	SELL	12	61¢	$7	0x5de3bb…
06-09 15:34:24	eth updown 5m 1781019000	Down	SELL	32	32¢	$10	0x2e01f7…
06-09 15:33:36	eth updown 5m 1781019000	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x75c546…
06-09 15:33:33	eth updown 5m 1781019000	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe4d2c8…
06-09 15:31:39	eth updown 5m 1781019000	Down	SELL	14	58¢	$8	0xebc912…
06-09 15:31:39	eth updown 5m 1781019000	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x43e37c…
06-09 15:30:16	eth updown 5m 1781019000	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x96e01b…
06-09 15:25:30	eth updown 5m 1781018700	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x729e1a…
06-09 15:25:25	eth updown 5m 1781018700	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x5399ae…
06-09 15:25:21	eth updown 5m 1781018700	Down	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x05708b…
06-09 15:25:16	eth updown 5m 1781018700	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xbf826d…
06-09 15:21:18	eth updown 5m 1781018400	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf040ba…
06-09 15:15:45	eth updown 5m 1781018100	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x8d8ce7…
06-09 15:13:51	eth updown 5m 1781017800	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xbc87c1…
06-09 15:11:12	eth updown 5m 1781017800	Down	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x8493ad…
06-09 15:10:39	eth updown 5m 1781017800	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x3b6428…
06-09 15:07:04	eth updown 5m 1781017500	Down	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x59ff2f…
06-09 15:06:01	eth updown 5m 1781017500	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x952cb1…
06-09 15:04:40	eth updown 5m 1781017200	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xfe8aae…
06-09 15:04:36	eth updown 5m 1781017200	Up	SELL	24	6¢	$1	0xd3eaae…
06-09 15:03:49	eth updown 5m 1781017200	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xecb67a…
06-09 15:00:37	eth updown 5m 1781017200	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xe4f846…
06-09 14:56:58	eth updown 5m 1781016900	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x9db820…
06-09 14:52:45	eth updown 5m 1781016600	Down	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x1b0d91…
06-09 14:50:33	eth updown 5m 1781016600	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xbe2cfb…
06-09 14:46:07	eth updown 5m 1781016300	Up	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0xa13cf4…
06-09 14:46:07	eth updown 5m 1781016300	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x32ad28…
06-09 14:45:34	eth updown 5m 1781016300	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x3abbcf…
06-09 14:39:13	eth updown 5m 1781015700	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xccb549…
06-09 14:38:04	eth updown 5m 1781015700	Down	SELL	41	31¢	$13	0x0d8589…
06-09 14:37:39	eth updown 5m 1781015700	Up	SELL	14	28¢	$4	0x6da1aa…
06-09 14:37:27	eth updown 5m 1781015700	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6a59da…
06-09 14:37:03	eth updown 5m 1781015700	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x318dc2…
06-09 14:36:57	eth updown 5m 1781015700	Up	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0x61ef8e…
06-09 14:35:12	eth updown 5m 1781015700	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x55b8d3…
06-09 14:32:40	eth updown 5m 1781015400	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xae860c…
06-09 14:32:30	eth updown 5m 1781015400	Down	SELL	29	14¢	$4	0x313b23…
06-09 14:31:21	eth updown 5m 1781015400	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xd7dab4…
06-09 14:30:51	eth updown 5m 1781015400	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x58a3eb…
06-09 14:30:30	eth updown 5m 1781015400	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x3749d1…
06-09 14:25:45	eth updown 5m 1781015100	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x72257d…
06-09 14:23:43	eth updown 5m 1781014800	Up	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0xf9d45b…
06-09 14:23:31	eth updown 5m 1781014800	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xed8aa9…
06-09 14:23:18	eth updown 5m 1781014800	Up	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x52015c…
06-09 14:23:12	eth updown 5m 1781014800	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xe8e87c…
06-09 14:23:01	eth updown 5m 1781014800	Down	SELL	32	63¢	$20	0x1dead2…
06-09 14:20:55	eth updown 5m 1781014800	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x267f55…
06-09 14:20:33	eth updown 5m 1781014800	Down	SELL	45	62¢	$28	0x41a558…
06-09 14:20:16	eth updown 5m 1781014800	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xcf3b86…
06-09 14:16:16	eth updown 5m 1781014500	Down	SELL	34	80¢	$27	0x5c5bb0…
06-09 14:15:39	eth updown 5m 1781014500	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x8641f6…
06-09 14:15:39	eth updown 5m 1781014500	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x5f446c…
06-09 14:10:46	eth updown 5m 1781014200	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x65cf47…
06-09 14:10:18	eth updown 5m 1781014200	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5e8fc9…
06-09 14:09:10	eth updown 5m 1781013900	Down	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0xde6817…
06-09 14:09:01	eth updown 5m 1781013900	Up	SELL	10	56¢	$5	0x4a6094…
06-09 14:09:00	eth updown 5m 1781013900	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x71ef9f…
06-09 14:05:16	eth updown 5m 1781013900	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9ff1fc…
06-09 14:02:45	eth updown 5m 1781013600	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x2d14e5…
06-09 14:02:34	eth updown 5m 1781013600	Up	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0x13076e…
06-09 14:01:22	eth updown 5m 1781013600	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xafdb88…
06-09 14:01:12	eth updown 5m 1781013600	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xddb0f4…
06-09 14:00:54	eth updown 5m 1781013600	Up	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0xf03ab6…
06-09 14:00:16	eth updown 5m 1781013600	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb49f91…
05-20 19:32:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x866ac8…
05-20 19:31:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xa2a5b4…
05-20 19:16:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x55dea1…
05-20 19:16:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x9a4f4e…
05-20 19:16:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x35cc37…
05-20 19:14:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x607c13…
05-20 19:06:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x438474…
05-20 19:06:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xca0d72…
05-20 19:06:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	48	46¢	$22	0x5bf4c3…
05-20 19:05:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x719de6…
05-20 19:05:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	44	38¢	$17	0x8ab20f…
05-20 19:05:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x97f524…
05-20 18:56:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x92057d…
05-20 18:56:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x2e0185…
05-20 18:50:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	47	54¢	$25	0xf4209e…
05-20 18:40:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0xfdf464…
05-20 18:31:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	101	49¢	$50	0x787755…
05-20 18:28:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x4dbdff…
05-20 18:26:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x50d7a4…
05-20 18:12:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	47	55¢	$26	0x043e53…