Watery-Plaster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.1%

Resolved

292

Trades

597

lifetime

Volume

$643

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-13 09:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 66% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 212 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	5	$10	18	0	+18	Down	+$2	05-10 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	3	$9	12	6	+6	Up	$-1	05-11 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	$-1	05-11 01:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$5	05-06 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$5	12	0	+12	Down	+$1	05-10 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$5	12	0	+12	Down	+$1	05-10 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	$-5	05-10 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$4	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	05-10 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	$-1	05-11 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	4	$4	3	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	Up	$-0	05-11 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	$-0	05-12 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	Up	$-0	05-10 20:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 09:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6fea1d…
05-13 09:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x08bf90…
05-13 08:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7b7412…
05-13 08:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd80c90…
05-13 08:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xceac20…
05-13 08:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa1bda3…
05-13 08:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x02ffa6…
05-13 08:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1a473c…
05-13 08:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xcb7211…
05-13 08:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd3aeb6…
05-13 08:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe23fe8…
05-13 08:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x671a87…
05-13 08:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x264b3a…
05-13 08:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf298fb…
05-13 08:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbe9d70…
05-13 08:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6661a6…
05-13 08:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xb98183…
05-13 08:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x711a23…
05-13 07:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x05ce51…
05-13 07:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbf22ce…
05-13 07:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x3e50d5…
05-13 07:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x26ece9…
05-13 07:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xc0691e…
05-13 07:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc8b759…
05-13 07:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xa3f7a9…
05-13 07:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x1f387e…
05-13 07:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x5f0bf9…
05-13 07:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc7bb60…
05-13 07:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x54394b…
05-13 07:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x797cd9…
05-13 06:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x5e5173…
05-13 06:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x58b36c…
05-13 06:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1a1e4d…
05-13 06:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x01afaf…
05-13 06:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9bbbb5…
05-13 05:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x7344d0…
05-13 05:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9ecf36…
05-13 04:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x52aced…
05-13 04:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x19c618…
05-13 04:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3df0f5…
05-13 04:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x88c710…
05-13 04:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x683a7a…
05-13 04:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x63b4a1…
05-13 04:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0xfd699f…
05-13 04:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xcc65a2…
05-13 03:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x656c0c…
05-13 03:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x008751…
05-13 03:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x85a5d7…
05-13 02:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x01f1bb…
05-13 02:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x43d3e0…
05-13 02:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xf898e5…
05-13 02:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x98e71c…
05-13 02:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1ab1c5…
05-13 02:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3f04a1…
05-13 02:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x465d50…
05-13 02:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7b871e…
05-13 02:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x40394f…
05-13 02:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0fc662…
05-13 02:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xba85db…
05-13 02:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbcc7d8…
05-13 02:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc892ad…
05-13 01:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x14415f…
05-13 01:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe7ed66…
05-13 01:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xdc615e…
05-13 01:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x99435a…
05-13 01:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x91aa48…
05-13 01:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x6610c3…
05-13 01:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x1b6ea0…
05-13 01:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x88aa11…
05-13 01:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x63c978…
05-13 01:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcf3b79…
05-13 01:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4cd585…
05-13 01:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x738279…
05-13 00:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3a4108…
05-13 00:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc8f949…
05-13 00:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x58f4dd…
05-13 00:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa04334…
05-13 00:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x359772…
05-13 00:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7b4e32…
05-12 23:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x21802d…
05-12 23:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x306c12…
05-12 23:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2474fb…
05-12 23:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc5faed…
05-12 21:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9e9d8e…
05-12 21:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe77f27…
05-12 21:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa29f84…
05-12 21:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf3548a…
05-12 21:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xc9f497…
05-12 21:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1c9fff…
05-12 21:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1e7945…
05-12 21:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf20451…
05-12 19:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x0da410…
05-12 19:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0f9275…
05-12 19:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xaee1ef…
05-12 19:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc1b921…
05-12 19:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x49557c…
05-12 19:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf56c93…
05-12 19:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5dc3f8…
05-12 19:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xaab682…
05-12 18:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x993c33…