Brief-Alluvium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

169

lifetime

Volume

$3.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$40

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-15 12:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

46% 0% —

Politics

44% — —

Sports

6% 0% $-0

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	+40	$39	98¢	$39	+$0	06-13 20:59
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	+1	$1	74¢	$1	+$0	06-07 12:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$1	48¢	$0	$-1	06-04 21:41
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	Yes	+1	$1	2¢	$0	$-1	06-14 15:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	12	$289	268	268	+0	open	—	06-12 23:30
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	12	$217	152	151	+1	open	—	06-07 12:19
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	6	$188	97	97	+0	open	—	05-26 12:45
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	5	$154	79	79	+0	open	—	06-08 19:06
will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	5	$153	81	81	+0	open	—	06-13 18:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	7	$143	148	148	+0	open	—	06-04 21:41
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	4	$128	66	66	+0	open	—	03-19 18:12
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	5	$118	61	61	+0	open	—	05-25 01:11
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	5	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	04-25 21:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	7	$84	102	66	+36	open	—	05-30 09:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$83	43	43	+0	open	—	04-22 20:56
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$82	57	57	+0	open	—	06-10 13:45
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	4	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	06-13 09:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$74	49	49	+0	open	—	06-09 23:13
Iran leadership change by June 30?	4	$74	79	79	+0	open	—	06-06 11:57
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	3	$72	50	50	+0	open	—	06-06 23:27
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	3	$70	36	36	+0	open	—	03-22 03:19
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	6	$65	163	163	+0	open	—	06-06 18:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$65	52	52	+0	open	—	05-29 20:49
will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$64	34	34	+0	open	—	03-20 07:36
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$64	33	33	+0	open	—	03-20 00:08
Will Alberta join the US?	8	$60	167	167	+0	open	—	06-05 12:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$59	31	31	+0	open	—	05-20 16:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$58	36	36	+0	open	—	05-21 18:25
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$56	29	29	+0	open	—	03-23 20:29
Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$56	29	29	+0	open	—	03-28 12:54
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	2	$54	124	0	+124	open	—	06-15 03:17
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	4	$51	80	80	+0	open	—	06-09 08:02
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$48	26	26	+0	open	—	04-20 11:24
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	04-15 07:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 14:04:15	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0x28001b…
06-15 12:53:24	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0xf607dd…
06-15 03:17:39	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	76	20¢	$15	0x41f250…
06-14 22:23:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	14	32¢	$5	0xb0a646…
06-14 22:23:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	28	32¢	$9	0x5d628a…
06-14 20:28:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x1ea536…
06-14 20:28:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x6ce2f6…
06-14 20:27:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0x52f226…
06-14 15:51:13	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	Yes	SELL	81	2¢	$2	0x494a0d…
06-14 14:21:31	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	Yes	BUY	82	3¢	$3	0xd29c61…
06-14 06:11:19	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	48	80¢	$39	0x8af6b6…
06-13 20:59:09	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x60e55b…
06-13 18:08:51	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0xd02a3b…
06-13 18:08:49	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	SELL	28	94¢	$26	0x75832d…
06-13 14:29:13	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0x24215c…
06-13 09:39:48	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	21	78¢	$16	0x57971f…
06-13 09:39:48	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	23	78¢	$18	0x1d1b29…
06-13 09:39:46	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x84d00f…
06-13 08:22:42	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x6b65bf…
06-12 23:30:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	34	54¢	$18	0x0c0e86…
06-12 23:30:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	39	54¢	$21	0x2c837d…
06-12 20:46:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	73	52¢	$38	0x43ed8d…
06-12 18:26:21	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x2bf96a…
06-12 14:09:09	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0xaea4a1…
06-10 13:45:37	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	28	72¢	$20	0xe14020…
06-10 13:45:37	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	28	72¢	$20	0x5aa0a4…
06-10 13:45:30	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xcc4e28…
06-10 13:44:36	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	57	72¢	$41	0xf56b95…
06-09 23:13:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	49	76¢	$37	0x6bf596…
06-09 20:56:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	49	76¢	$37	0xaa4691…
06-09 08:02:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	33¢	$6	0x758343…
06-09 08:00:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	33¢	$20	0x03cf44…
06-09 05:54:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0xe4115b…
06-09 05:54:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0x86d35f…
06-09 01:02:58	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	40	19¢	$8	0x2088d1…
06-08 22:30:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x5d0ea9…
06-08 19:06:10	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x701d4d…
06-08 19:06:10	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x22b18f…
06-08 15:42:33	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$36	0x89351f…
06-07 12:19:40	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	21	71¢	$15	0xbc3c70…
06-07 12:19:40	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x910b40…
06-07 12:19:40	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	16	71¢	$11	0x01e36c…
06-07 10:50:10	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	29	71¢	$21	0x681bd0…
06-07 10:50:09	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	22	71¢	$16	0xfc65fa…
06-07 08:32:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	53	69¢	$37	0xe92cb0…
06-07 06:02:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	53	69¢	$37	0xebba56…
06-06 23:27:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0x36167d…
06-06 23:27:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	35	72¢	$25	0x10cae7…
06-06 23:23:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xf09ed8…
06-06 18:38:34	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	75	19¢	$14	0x74725f…
06-06 16:47:40	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xa033ce…
06-06 16:47:40	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	37	19¢	$7	0x55aa74…
06-06 16:47:39	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x5bc121…
06-06 11:57:31	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	41	4¢	$2	0x2e32ba…
06-06 10:40:39	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	41	4¢	$2	0x09b0f9…
06-06 08:28:21	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x6e005a…
06-06 08:28:21	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	44	72¢	$32	0x3c9299…
06-06 04:30:46	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xd02b51…
06-06 04:30:46	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	41	72¢	$30	0x2526d3…
06-05 20:46:01	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0x4c87a6…
06-05 19:21:12	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xf7d209…
06-05 12:49:49	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x228656…
06-05 11:41:03	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xea76a8…
06-04 21:41:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	49¢	$37	0x3e8b85…
06-04 20:06:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x5f1554…
06-04 20:05:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	51¢	$31	0xa68778…
06-04 20:05:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x788918…
06-04 00:42:46	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	88	20¢	$18	0x316e2e…
06-03 20:55:15	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	88	22¢	$19	0x0bb00a…
06-02 08:35:31	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	1¢	$1	0xe48156…
06-02 08:35:31	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x044f53…
06-02 08:35:29	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	1¢	$1	0x56c043…
06-02 08:35:29	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x502464…
06-02 08:35:29	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x375209…
06-02 05:05:57	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	2¢	$3	0x986e50…
06-01 20:52:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0xf6a9a2…
06-01 20:52:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	47¢	$16	0x697a20…
06-01 19:35:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	46¢	$34	0xe5c596…
06-01 15:17:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	64	62¢	$40	0x2f7113…
06-01 12:54:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	42	53¢	$22	0x0573b0…
06-01 12:54:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x4e16a9…
05-30 09:45:18	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0x8f8927…
05-30 08:41:36	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xb1b6ff…
05-30 04:01:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	59	42¢	$25	0xb977ec…
05-30 04:01:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	19	42¢	$8	0x7e7dc3…
05-30 01:59:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xaea3f6…
05-30 01:59:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	70	41¢	$29	0xcf0153…
05-29 20:49:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	52	64¢	$33	0xb2ac8f…
05-29 17:58:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0xdd9af6…
05-29 17:58:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	61¢	$13	0x0f558d…
05-29 15:41:03	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	38	93¢	$35	0x90b265…
05-29 14:18:13	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	38	93¢	$35	0x484785…
05-29 07:49:10	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	71	4¢	$3	0xdc50c5…
05-29 05:52:18	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x8a4f67…
05-29 05:52:18	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	64	4¢	$3	0x810888…
05-28 07:54:34	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	71	4¢	$3	0x8fe029…
05-28 06:01:42	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0xc402ae…
05-28 06:01:42	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	42	4¢	$2	0x4db609…
05-27 23:02:54	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x1913be…
05-27 20:59:57	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	43	72¢	$31	0x642007…