Raw-Cannibal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-19 15:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 87% -$1

Other

45% 87% -$11

Politics

4% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	2	$232	116	116	+0	No	+$0	01-31 07:58
will the us next strike iran on february 11 2026 et	1	$116	116	0	+116	No	+$0	02-12 02:12
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 80 99	1	$116	116	0	+116	No	+$0	02-04 03:10
will ethereum reach 4000 in january 2026	1	$116	116	0	+116	No	+$0	01-31 07:59
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 0 19	1	$116	116	0	+116	No	+$0	01-22 07:32
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$115	115	0	+115	No	+$0	03-17 08:57
bitcoin above 82k on march 25	1	$115	115	0	+115	No	+$0	03-23 09:37
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 160 179	1	$115	115	0	+115	No	+$0	04-01 03:08
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 13	1	$115	115	0	+115	No	+$0	03-13 08:41
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 115 139	1	$115	115	0	+115	No	+$0	04-06 09:11
will bitcoin reach 98k january 12 18	1	$114	116	0	+116	No	+$2	01-18 08:34
bitcoin above 76k on march 28	1	$113	113	0	+113	No	+$0	03-27 10:51
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 215 239	1	$112	112	0	+112	No	+$0	04-12 08:32
ethereum above 3000 on january 9	1	$110	114	0	+114	Yes	+$4	01-09 06:28
bitcoin above 60k on march 8	1	$110	110	0	+110	Yes	+$0	03-08 03:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	1	$108	108	0	+108	Yes	+$0	05-05 10:37
bitcoin above 80k on april 17	1	$106	106	0	+106	No	+$0	04-17 10:41
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$106	106	0	+106	No	+$0	05-25 08:30
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$106	106	0	+106	No	+$0	05-17 08:08
bitcoin above 82k on april 23	1	$106	106	0	+106	No	+$0	04-23 10:48
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$105	105	0	+105	No	+$0	05-15 10:34
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$103	103	0	+103	No	+$0	05-10 02:41
bitcoin above 74k on june 6 2026	1	$102	102	0	+102	No	+$0	06-05 08:49
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	1	$102	102	0	+102	No	+$0	05-28 07:15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$15	16	0	+16	No	+$0	07-24 08:53
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	1	$15	16	0	+16	No	+$0	08-29 09:53
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	09-10 12:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	10-19 15:46
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September?	1	$5	12	0	+12	No	-$5	09-10 12:03
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	1	$4	2,105	0	+2,105	No	-$4	05-28 07:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 15:46:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c7b6e…
10-19 15:35:23	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x183a80…
09-10 12:05:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe5df5d…
09-10 12:03:30	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September?	Yes	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0xa91271…
08-29 09:53:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xa3b932…
07-24 08:53:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x9cfb12…
06-05 08:49:24	bitcoin above 74k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x4239da…
05-28 07:15:03	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xfee28a…
05-28 07:14:53	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,105	0¢	$4	0x881532…
05-25 08:30:49	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x4bed8a…
05-17 08:08:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x33ebe7…
05-15 10:34:14	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x1543f4…
05-10 02:41:30	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xfbd28b…
05-10 02:41:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1,940	0¢	$4	0xcf5d45…
05-05 10:37:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x407fbb…
04-23 10:48:46	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x994b98…
04-17 10:41:50	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xafdd6e…
04-17 10:41:38	Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf5a216…
04-17 10:41:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x472c0c…
04-17 10:39:46	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 190 214	Yes	BUY	1,790	0¢	$4	0x10dbee…
04-12 08:32:23	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 215 239	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x0b5a7d…
04-12 08:30:11	bitcoin above 62k on april 13	No	BUY	2,050	0¢	$4	0x4640b9…
04-06 09:11:51	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 115 139	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x3ece97…
04-01 03:08:41	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 160 179	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xf45355…
04-01 03:08:29	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x46e6a1…
03-27 10:51:31	bitcoin above 76k on march 28	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xb3a326…
03-27 10:51:21	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5cd554…
03-27 10:51:13	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcd910f…
03-23 09:37:53	bitcoin above 82k on march 25	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xb38669…
03-17 08:57:43	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xf8d246…
03-13 08:41:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 13	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x8e5265…
03-08 03:13:11	bitcoin above 60k on march 8	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x025140…
03-08 03:12:55	will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa4ce76…
03-08 03:12:13	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x18eae4…
02-12 02:12:25	will the us next strike iran on february 11 2026 et	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x48f0a8…
02-04 03:10:56	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 80 99	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x51bdc1…
01-31 07:59:30	will ethereum reach 4000 in january 2026	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x710504…
01-31 07:58:28	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xa132d5…
01-27 07:33:51	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xff1bca…
01-22 07:32:50	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 0 19	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xfb8b3e…
01-18 08:34:56	will bitcoin reach 98k january 12 18	No	BUY	116	98¢	$114	0x9522dd…
01-09 06:28:22	ethereum above 3000 on january 9	Yes	BUY	114	97¢	$110	0xfbf79e…