Memorable-Uncertainty-Smolt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$115

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

Trades

369

lifetime

Volume

$2.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-25 06:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% +$115

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 312 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	8	$152	176	176	+0	Up	+$12	05-09 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	10	$138	100	100	+0	Up	+$47	05-09 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	10	$123	92	92	+0	Up	+$60	05-09 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	4	$122	123	123	+0	Down	+$62	05-09 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	7	$113	86	86	+0	Up	+$39	05-09 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	6	$109	113	113	+0	Up	+$29	05-09 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$92	83	83	+0	Down	+$52	05-08 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	7	$71	68	68	+0	Up	+$27	05-08 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	4	$70	64	64	+0	Up	+$14	05-09 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$68	58	58	+0	Down	+$48	05-08 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	4	$67	40	50	-10	Up	+$22	05-09 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	3	$60	361	0	+361	Up	$-60	05-09 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	4	$60	104	0	+104	Down	$-60	05-09 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$55	45	45	+0	Up	+$25	05-09 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	3	$53	60	60	+0	Down	+$13	05-09 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	9	$44	64	11	+53	Up	$-34	05-09 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	9	$44	64	13	+51	Down	$-34	05-09 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	11	$42	52	52	+0	Down	+$13	05-09 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	5	$41	106	106	+0	Down	+$9	05-09 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	16	$40	141	28	+113	Down	$-34	05-09 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	5	$39	460	460	+0	Up	$-18	05-08 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	8	$39	35	35	+0	Down	+$24	05-09 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	9	$38	140	0	+140	Down	$-38	05-09 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	6	$37	54	54	+0	Up	+$13	05-09 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	5	$32	33	30	+3	Up	+$8	05-09 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	8	$30	52	45	+7	Down	+$10	05-09 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	5	$29	26	26	+0	Down	+$15	05-09 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	5	$29	33	33	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	7	$26	115	10	+105	Down	$-13	05-09 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	4	$26	18	18	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 10:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 06:31:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xeb8a0a…
05-25 06:31:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x385c92…
05-25 06:29:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x1df776…
05-09 15:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xe99fe8…
05-09 15:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x00d33e…
05-09 15:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcd5a90…
05-09 15:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xbe65b5…
05-09 15:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0a67b8…
05-09 14:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x85613d…
05-09 14:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xf17b9b…
05-09 14:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0x7182f6…
05-09 14:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xff8cd6…
05-09 14:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xc130d6…
05-09 14:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x5dbd97…
05-09 14:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xc7ad2c…
05-09 14:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x90ebb4…
05-09 14:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc419d3…
05-09 14:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb0778f…
05-09 14:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x5abb31…
05-09 14:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0xc5e058…
05-09 14:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x7c549d…
05-09 14:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x78fdfc…
05-09 14:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xd54b4a…
05-09 14:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	28	9¢	$3	0x68c3dd…
05-09 14:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xe6a8e7…
05-09 14:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x9f5a04…
05-09 14:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0xdcbc10…
05-09 14:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4915d5…
05-09 14:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xe17ce2…
05-09 14:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x645c36…
05-09 14:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xb57dd2…
05-09 14:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xc70d82…
05-09 14:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0xb3b8ef…
05-09 14:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xffe90b…
05-09 14:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0xfc03ec…
05-09 14:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	28¢	$5	0xe354fb…
05-09 14:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf3ad4d…
05-09 14:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x90496b…
05-09 14:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x15e5c8…
05-09 14:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4dda81…
05-09 14:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	257	1¢	$3	0xcb1ecb…
05-09 14:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x18c74b…
05-09 14:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xa8e46b…
05-09 14:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x71ca37…
05-09 14:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xed0cd3…
05-09 14:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x810b2e…
05-09 14:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2377c3…
05-09 14:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xf8ea2c…
05-09 14:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdc8881…
05-09 14:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x21a2a7…
05-09 14:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9ba5b4…
05-09 14:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x055d0e…
05-09 14:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x2afbe8…
05-09 14:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x9e8e24…
05-09 14:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x7f7929…
05-09 14:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x536d02…
05-09 14:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x431d7f…
05-09 14:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0xfcc391…
05-09 14:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x09e400…
05-09 14:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x05876b…
05-09 14:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x870818…
05-09 14:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9a6da4…
05-09 14:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x096632…
05-09 14:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe9ecaa…
05-09 14:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xbfaebc…
05-09 14:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x6a9e84…
05-09 14:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xbf7c5a…
05-09 14:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$3	0x79d53a…
05-09 14:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x54c6ee…
05-09 14:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x829406…
05-09 13:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x4d71dc…
05-09 13:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x83ba2f…
05-09 13:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x86f71b…
05-09 13:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xd16491…
05-09 13:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8303c1…
05-09 13:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe5e687…
05-09 13:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xb90a8b…
05-09 13:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfd6ce5…
05-09 13:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x7d76d1…
05-09 13:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x524092…
05-09 13:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	19	21¢	$4	0xdab6bd…
05-09 13:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2b4dc5…
05-09 13:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x248a12…
05-09 13:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x2f2bba…
05-09 13:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9bc8ed…
05-09 13:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7347d8…
05-09 13:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	106	24¢	$25	0xe2d134…
05-09 13:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	84	12¢	$10	0xe6c3a2…
05-09 13:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xf80bad…
05-09 13:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x98b635…
05-09 13:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf53ec1…
05-09 13:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0x975418…
05-09 12:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	30¢	$10	0x15ca73…
05-09 12:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xf556c2…
05-09 12:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0x399e45…
05-09 12:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xd43977…
05-09 12:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xbc1555…
05-09 12:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xb879e2…
05-09 12:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x96eaee…
05-09 12:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x09f66f…