Polite-Birdcage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.3%

Resolved

Trades

852

lifetime

Volume

$14.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 06-03 11:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 89% $-7

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 172 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773834000	2	$245	123	123	+0	open	—	03-18 11:46
btc updown 5m 1773830400	2	$190	96	96	+0	open	—	03-18 10:47
btc updown 5m 1773828300	2	$164	83	83	+0	open	—	03-18 10:11
btc updown 5m 1774393200	2	$144	76	76	+0	open	—	03-24 23:07
btc updown 5m 1773835200	2	$126	129	0	+129	open	—	03-18 12:04
btc updown 5m 1773838800	2	$123	154	0	+154	open	—	03-18 13:05
btc updown 5m 1774301700	3	$121	119	11	+109	open	—	03-23 21:39
btc updown 5m 1773832800	1	$118	120	0	+120	open	—	03-18 11:24
eth updown 5m 1773837300	2	$115	129	0	+129	open	—	03-18 12:40
eth updown 5m 1774305600	1	$115	116	0	+116	open	—	03-23 22:44
btc updown 5m 1774302300	2	$114	119	0	+119	open	—	03-23 21:49
sol updown 5m 1774308900	1	$111	112	0	+112	open	—	03-23 23:39
xrp updown 5m 1774308300	1	$110	111	0	+111	open	—	03-23 23:28
btc updown 5m 1774391400	2	$109	122	0	+122	open	—	03-24 22:34
xrp updown 5m 1773835500	1	$109	111	0	+111	open	—	03-18 12:09
btc updown 5m 1774302900	1	$109	114	0	+114	open	—	03-23 21:59
btc updown 5m 1774299900	1	$109	110	0	+110	open	—	03-23 21:09
eth updown 5m 1774302000	1	$108	114	0	+114	open	—	03-23 21:44
btc updown 5m 1774299600	1	$108	109	0	+109	open	—	03-23 21:04
btc updown 5m 1774385100	3	$107	120	0	+120	open	—	03-24 20:49
xrp updown 5m 1774384200	1	$107	107	0	+107	open	—	03-24 20:34
btc updown 5m 1774400400	1	$107	109	0	+109	open	—	03-25 01:04
btc updown 5m 1774307700	1	$106	108	0	+108	open	—	03-23 23:19
xrp updown 5m 1774383900	1	$106	107	0	+107	open	—	03-24 20:29
btc updown 5m 1774389000	2	$106	109	0	+109	open	—	03-24 21:54
xrp updown 5m 1774304400	2	$104	111	0	+111	open	—	03-23 22:24
btc updown 5m 1773832200	1	$104	111	0	+111	open	—	03-18 11:14
btc updown 5m 1774387800	1	$104	106	0	+106	open	—	03-24 21:34
btc updown 5m 1774383000	1	$103	104	0	+104	open	—	03-24 20:14
btc updown 5m 1774396800	3	$102	96	13	+83	open	—	03-25 00:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 11:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x916764…
06-03 11:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8ff00e…
06-03 10:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xad0c37…
06-03 10:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa6d6bf…
06-03 10:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x87f015…
06-03 10:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe84c18…
06-03 10:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x26d93d…
06-03 10:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x0904ef…
06-03 10:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x7f5601…
06-03 10:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x9c8162…
06-03 10:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$8	0x691359…
06-03 10:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xf8d809…
06-03 10:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1ee116…
06-03 10:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x649325…
06-03 10:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc6d645…
06-03 10:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x8faa33…
06-03 10:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x007359…
06-03 10:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe34028…
06-03 10:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5c0273…
06-03 10:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xde7114…
06-03 10:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x49c07a…
06-03 09:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x24cf9e…
06-03 09:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x437e33…
06-03 08:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xd80d71…
06-03 08:28:01	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x444bee…
06-03 08:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x8b99ab…
06-03 08:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xad1716…
06-03 08:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x49e638…
06-03 08:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x990e7e…
06-03 08:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x8f3aca…
06-03 08:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xd74eb4…
06-03 07:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xe665b1…
06-03 07:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x167590…
06-03 07:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x001317…
06-03 07:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x45ff21…
06-03 07:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xdde660…
06-03 07:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xb4348b…
06-03 07:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x2ca27f…
06-03 07:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x827526…
06-03 07:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf29d2a…
06-03 07:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xef2c70…
06-03 07:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xb88a51…
06-03 07:29:13	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe534e1…
06-03 07:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x37c7d7…
06-03 07:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa2f4e7…
06-03 07:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5a7987…
06-03 07:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x627948…
06-03 07:21:24	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x474a5d…
06-03 07:18:02	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x356ad4…
06-03 07:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8a0c5d…
06-03 07:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8493d9…
06-03 07:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x20c319…
06-03 07:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5c3ed9…
06-03 07:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xa6d0ab…
06-02 23:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6547a9…
06-02 23:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3c4da0…
06-02 23:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x850e1b…
06-02 23:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x65abc1…
06-02 22:59:00	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x01b52d…
06-02 22:56:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x5354ae…
06-02 22:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x94c215…
06-02 22:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7fe1c1…
06-02 22:01:41	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6205d0…
06-02 21:58:06	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0efd99…
06-02 21:58:01	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x56dc26…
06-02 21:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfb0797…
06-02 21:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x07137e…
06-02 21:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xee01f7…
06-02 21:48:49	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x2a03bb…
06-02 21:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf9439b…
06-02 21:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf50f80…
06-02 21:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd2dc74…
06-02 21:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xfc5e18…
06-02 21:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfcee73…
06-02 21:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc4b8b8…
06-02 21:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x7780d2…
06-02 21:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xecc44c…
06-02 21:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xb40a7b…
06-02 21:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x82ef48…
06-02 21:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x5b1b6e…
06-02 21:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe8b6ec…
06-02 21:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x48bd79…
06-02 20:13:29	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xb2f4fe…
06-02 20:13:25	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x5861ff…
06-02 20:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xcfdac3…
06-02 20:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x315732…
06-02 19:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xaf16af…
06-02 19:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x311871…
06-02 19:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x468747…
06-02 19:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xe5ab8f…
06-02 18:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x99ac95…
06-02 18:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x5b39b7…
06-02 18:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x579770…
06-02 18:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x5ae04d…
06-02 18:34:48	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x063523…
06-02 18:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x4700af…
06-02 18:23:01	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd7e790…
06-02 18:23:01	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd73a7c…
06-02 18:23:00	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x2ecd8d…
06-02 18:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x42a42d…