Threadbare-Mistake — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$839

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.0%

Resolved (90d)

153

Trades (90d)

301

5,748 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$13.9K

$415.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 10-31 02:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 151 days

Categories

Other

70% 50% -$285

Sports

23% 65% +$495

Crypto

6% 56% -$998

Politics

0% 0% -$193

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	46	$14.6K	7,925	7,935	-10	No	+$110	05-14 11:24
Thunder vs. Lakers	70	$13.5K	7,940	7,940	+0	Thunder	+$167	05-12 05:21
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 115 139	18	$11.3K	5,641	5,640	+0	No	+$0	04-15 10:53
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	7	$8.1K	4,063	4,063	+0	No	+$2	05-12 06:02
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	25	$6.4K	4,782	4,782	+0	Yes	+$119	05-12 15:39
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	32	$6.4K	3,200	3,210	-10	No	+$2	05-13 08:36
wta jone galfi 2026 06 08	17	$6.2K	4,300	4,300	+0	Dalma Galfi	+$1,651	06-10 15:34
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	20	$6.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$1	05-13 05:14
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	4	$5.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$12	04-15 11:46
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 140 164	78	$5.9K	2,952	2,952	+0	No	+$0	04-14 23:56
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	25	$5.8K	2,950	2,960	-10	No	+$4	05-15 13:05
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 240plus	2	$5.5K	2,731	2,731	+0	No	-$3	04-16 07:27
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	13	$5.4K	2,959	2,959	+0	open	—	05-12 15:07
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5	26	$4.9K	2,744	2,744	+0	Over	+$300	05-13 02:34
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	32	$4.8K	2,446	2,456	-10	No	+$6	05-15 13:35
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	6	$4.5K	2,503	2,503	+0	No	-$2	05-12 10:25
Lakers vs. Thunder	24	$4.3K	4,726	2,778	+1,949	cancelled	+$92	05-12 05:18
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	19	$4.1K	2,262	2,262	+0	Cavaliers	+$58	05-12 02:05
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	7	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$0	05-13 08:45
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	30	$4.0K	2,006	2,016	-10	No	+$2	05-13 11:21
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	-$2	05-12 02:52
wta tagger krejcik 2026 07 25	26	$3.8K	5,052	5,052	+0	Lilli Tagger	+$649	07-25 16:36
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5	5	$3.6K	1,800	1,800	+0	Under	-$6	05-20 02:59
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	35	$3.4K	5,510	2,500	+3,010	No	-$1,276	05-14 18:58
wta zhen cristia 2026 06 08	36	$3.1K	3,267	3,267	+0	Jaqueline Cristian	+$1,190	06-08 18:09
atp shelton giron 2026 06 10	28	$3.1K	4,170	1,901	+2,269	Ben Shelton	-$865	06-12 14:25
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	13	$2.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	Knicks	+$840	05-24 02:14
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5	7	$2.7K	1,464	1,464	+0	Under	+$129	05-19 13:29
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	4	$2.6K	1,300	1,300	+0	Yes	-$18	05-16 14:49
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5	17	$2.5K	1,536	1,556	-20	Over	+$555	05-14 02:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 02:46:27	Kraken vs. Flames: O/U 8.5	Under	SELL	169	99¢	$168	0x0fbe06…
10-31 01:40:07	Kraken vs. Flames	Flames	SELL	92	96¢	$88	0xd60091…
10-31 01:38:58	Kraken vs. Flames	Flames	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x3f4394…
10-31 01:37:45	Kraken vs. Flames	Flames	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x382a72…
10-31 01:34:31	Kraken vs. Flames: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xb76b29…
10-31 01:13:42	Kraken vs. Flames	Flames	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xff3e82…
10-31 01:13:42	Kraken vs. Flames	Flames	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0xb48f2d…
10-31 01:13:39	Kraken vs. Flames	Flames	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x31d568…
10-31 01:13:37	Kraken vs. Flames	Flames	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0x31989a…
10-31 01:12:00	Kraken vs. Flames	Flames	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x14258e…
10-31 01:10:39	Kraken vs. Flames: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x11c95b…
10-29 01:06:05	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Warriors	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0x9522f9…
10-29 00:44:26	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Warriors	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xd2614c…
10-29 00:42:49	Jacksonville State vs. New Mexico State	Jacksonville State	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x40a075…
10-29 00:42:35	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xa2c6e7…
10-28 00:13:27	Senators vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x63c34d…
10-28 00:12:56	Bruins vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9ba39a…
10-28 00:11:39	Bruins vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x5e2013…
10-28 00:11:18	Blue Jackets vs. Flyers	Blue Jackets	SELL	19	92¢	$17	0xd8320b…
10-27 02:29:39	Senators vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x40805d…
10-27 02:29:23	Blue Jackets vs. Flyers	Blue Jackets	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xec304b…
10-27 02:24:21	Bruins vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x360b13…
10-27 02:21:15	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x2d77f5…
10-26 04:30:44	Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	38	69¢	$26	0xe49347…
10-26 01:15:15	Avalanche vs. Predators	Predators	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xb03e92…
10-26 01:15:11	Avalanche vs. Predators	Predators	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x0a0ca2…
10-25 10:02:02	Panthers vs. Blackhawks	Panthers	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x7b2c91…
10-25 00:16:50	Predators vs. Penguins	Penguins	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xdcc827…
10-24 06:34:18	Golden Knights vs. Blue Jackets	Golden Knights	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xf6330c…
10-22 03:13:17	Warriors vs. Lakers	Warriors	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x102753…
10-22 01:27:57	Pacers vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	90	73¢	$65	0x2d369c…
10-22 01:27:39	New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston	Sam Houston	SELL	216	40¢	$86	0x7d27bd…
10-22 01:03:42	New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston	Sam Houston	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x0c842c…
10-22 00:59:51	New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston	Sam Houston	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xeeceb7…
10-21 09:14:15	Florence: Yanaki Milev vs Lorenzo Giustino	Yanaki Milev	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xfed7ca…
10-21 02:51:15	Hurricanes vs. Canucks	Hurricanes	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0x6f5a93…
10-21 02:31:20	Hurricanes vs. Canucks	Hurricanes	BUY	81	69¢	$56	0x47ec67…
10-20 00:58:11	Avalanche vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xa937b4…
10-20 00:57:05	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x63728b…
10-20 00:56:56	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xe3e912…
10-20 00:56:41	Sharks vs. Maple Leafs	Sharks	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xd98a1b…
10-18 23:40:00	Hurricanes vs. Flames	Hurricanes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x178f20…
10-18 01:11:26	Senators vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x4a9a51…
10-16 12:07:45	Maia: Lorenzo Giustino vs Zsombor Piros	Zsombor Piros	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xed3d20…
10-15 01:18:35	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x6de4d3…
10-14 23:52:57	nba bkn mia 2026 10 14 total 235pt5	Under	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x1593a1…
10-14 23:52:48	nba bkn mia 2026 10 14 total 233pt5	Under	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x351b2c…
10-14 04:05:04	Flames vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x48a61d…
10-14 03:56:58	Warriors vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	99	58¢	$57	0x887a28…
10-14 03:56:55	Warriors vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0x739919…
10-14 03:56:19	Flames vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x8f6851…
10-14 03:56:16	Flames vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xf26c35…
10-14 03:52:56	Flames vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	90	54¢	$49	0xee9c59…
10-14 03:52:40	Flames vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x14745f…
10-14 03:44:35	Flames vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x0a7e52…
10-14 01:55:22	Florida International vs. Jacksonville State	Jacksonville State	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x302804…
10-14 01:50:44	Florida International vs. Jacksonville State	Jacksonville State	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0xcdb3c6…
10-14 01:47:28	Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee	Middle Tennessee	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x794c3e…
10-14 01:42:29	Capitals vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	SELL	278	100¢	$278	0x3c7391…
10-14 00:09:51	Capitals vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	114	37¢	$42	0x543ca9…
10-14 00:03:09	Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee	Middle Tennessee	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x30bf2a…
10-13 11:25:58	Capitals vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xdab9d0…
10-13 07:34:41	Wuhan Tennis Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Zeynep Sonmez	Zeynep Sonmez	SELL	300	30¢	$90	0x34e37c…
10-13 06:57:46	Wuhan Tennis Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Zeynep Sonmez	Zeynep Sonmez	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x134dd5…
10-13 06:17:25	Wuhan Tennis Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Zeynep Sonmez	Zeynep Sonmez	BUY	99	21¢	$21	0x251b6c…
10-13 06:17:10	Wuhan Tennis Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Zeynep Sonmez	Zeynep Sonmez	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xe51a3c…
10-13 06:10:46	Wuhan Tennis Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Zeynep Sonmez	Zeynep Sonmez	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x619d4e…
10-12 23:59:05	Golden Knights vs. Wild	Golden Knights	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xddc15f…
10-12 12:09:48	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	27	29¢	$8	0xdc39e1…
10-12 12:07:12	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xbe56b1…
10-12 12:05:14	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz	Zizou Bergs	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0x4957ae…
10-12 11:40:00	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz	Zizou Bergs	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x4db350…
10-10 03:05:30	Wyoming vs. San Jose State	San Jose State	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xfad226…
10-10 02:16:03	Grizzlies vs. Bulls	Grizzlies	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x9ddea3…
10-09 06:10:11	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli	Adrian Mannarino	SELL	24	41¢	$10	0xa4acad…
10-09 06:08:49	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x2eba2b…
10-09 06:08:41	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	95	46¢	$44	0xadc977…
10-09 06:00:05	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli	Adrian Mannarino	SELL	132	45¢	$59	0x51c26e…
10-09 05:55:56	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	156	36¢	$57	0xc967ed…
10-09 05:48:27	Suzhou: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Elvina Kalieva	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	SELL	184	33¢	$61	0x0dcba9…
10-09 05:35:06	Suzhou: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Elvina Kalieva	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	BUY	102	26¢	$26	0x17f8ee…
10-09 05:05:53	Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xb60f50…
10-09 04:56:13	Suzhou: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Elvina Kalieva	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0xed7ea6…
10-09 03:55:06	Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5	Under	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0x825c50…
10-09 03:37:21	Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xd79321…
10-09 02:59:21	Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5	Under	BUY	56	64¢	$36	0x57a319…
10-09 02:58:41	Suzhou: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Kyoka Okamura	Zhuoxuan Bai	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x2a26df…
10-08 09:08:00	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez	Sebastian Baez	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0x765040…
10-08 08:58:34	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez	Sebastian Baez	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x683be9…
10-08 08:46:13	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Mariano Navone	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0x419efd…
10-08 08:31:11	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Mariano Navone	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xed3246…
10-08 06:39:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth	James Duckworth	BUY	400	13¢	$52	0x5a6129…
10-08 03:44:31	Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x665ac8…
10-08 03:22:22	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)	New York Yankees	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0xda946a…
10-08 01:55:47	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)	New York Yankees	BUY	84	71¢	$60	0x163307…
10-07 13:43:02	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	60	59¢	$35	0x8fe610…
10-07 13:31:44	Braga: Tiago Pereira vs Pol Martin Tiffon	Pol Martin Tiffon	BUY	66	24¢	$16	0x40504c…
10-07 13:31:43	Braga: Tiago Pereira vs Pol Martin Tiffon	Pol Martin Tiffon	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x2466b9…
10-07 13:18:50	Braga: Tiago Pereira vs Pol Martin Tiffon	Pol Martin Tiffon	BUY	78	25¢	$20	0xab5677…
10-07 13:18:50	Braga: Tiago Pereira vs Pol Martin Tiffon	Pol Martin Tiffon	BUY	22	25¢	$6	0x7aa13b…