Realized P&L
+$20
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
50.7%
Resolved
83
Trades
113
lifetime
Volume
$146
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$3
5 positions
First seen
2026-08-07
last 11-06 13:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Other
82% 61% +$22
Politics
16% 36% -$3
Tech
2% 67% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? Yes +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 11-03 03:38
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026? No +1 $1 46¢ $1 $0 11-06 13:08
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026? No +2 $1 28¢ $1 $0 10-28 03:39
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026? Yes +4 $1 11¢ $0 -$1 11-03 22:00
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? Yes +1 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 11-06 01:23