Subdued-Independent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.7%

Resolved

619

Trades

821

lifetime

Volume

$8.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 11-03 11:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 114 days

Categories

Other

93% 96% +$19

Crypto

7% 83% -$4

Sports

0% 75% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 23?	3	$140	140	0	+140	No	+$0	10-23 07:36
highest temperature in singapore on april 24 2026 34c	1	$118	118	0	+118	No	+$0	04-24 09:41
highest temperature in toronto on april 4 2026 7c	2	$116	116	0	+116	Yes	+$0	04-05 03:58
highest temperature in singapore on april 4 2026 29c	2	$115	115	0	+115	No	+$0	04-04 01:08
highest temperature in singapore on april 1 2026 36corhigher	2	$114	114	0	+114	No	+$0	04-01 08:40
highest temperature in singapore on march 30 2026 35corhigher	1	$114	114	0	+114	No	+$0	03-30 10:54
highest temperature in paris on march 30 2026 15c	1	$110	110	0	+110	No	+$0	03-30 20:43
highest temperature in singapore on april 2 2026 35corhigher	1	$110	110	0	+110	No	+$0	04-02 08:05
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 29?	5	$109	100	10	+90	No	+$1	05-29 04:21
highest temperature in singapore on april 3 2026 35corhigher	2	$109	110	0	+110	No	+$1	04-03 07:46
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on October 20?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	10-21 05:53
highest temperature in singapore on april 1 2026 28c	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-31 17:47
highest temperature in singapore on march 30 2026 30c	4	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-30 03:16
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 28?	7	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$1	05-28 04:31
highest temperature in singapore on april 9 2026 32c	1	$96	96	0	+96	No	+$0	04-09 08:09
highest temperature in manila on april 17 2026 38corhigher	4	$87	88	0	+88	No	+$0	04-17 09:32
highest temperature in manila on april 16 2026 35c	1	$87	87	0	+87	Yes	+$0	04-16 13:15
highest temperature in singapore on april 24 2026 25corbelow	2	$78	78	0	+78	No	+$0	04-23 12:04
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 10 2026 22c	2	$77	77	0	+77	No	+$0	04-10 12:58
highest temperature in beijing on april 4 2026 21c	1	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$0	04-04 11:15
highest temperature in singapore on march 29 2026 34c	1	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$0	03-29 07:23
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 15 2026 31c	1	$67	67	0	+67	Yes	+$0	04-15 14:53
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C or below on October 20?	2	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	10-21 05:50
highest temperature in singapore on april 6 2026 35corhigher	3	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	04-06 01:28
highest temperature in singapore on march 29 2026 30c	1	$59	60	0	+60	No	+$1	03-29 02:51
highest temperature in singapore on april 5 2026 33c	1	$56	56	0	+56	Yes	+$0	04-05 11:08
highest temperature in singapore on april 15 2026 25corbelow	2	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-14 01:12
highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 8 2026 37c	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-08 08:25
highest temperature in singapore on april 5 2026 34c	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-05 11:01
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on June 23?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	06-21 16:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 11:52:43	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x9c3cb2…
11-03 11:05:21	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x2e45e2…
11-03 09:09:10	Taipei: Lloyd Harris vs Yosuke Watanuki	Lloyd Harris	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x60cf31…
10-28 06:35:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xf57dc5…
10-23 13:02:27	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul	Tommy Paul	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x90ed62…
10-23 12:56:21	European Open: Clement Chidekh vs Francisco Cerundolo	Clement Chidekh	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x0c9b13…
10-23 12:53:08	European Open: Clement Chidekh vs Francisco Cerundolo	Francisco Cerundolo	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x007370…
10-23 12:48:54	European Open: Clement Chidekh vs Francisco Cerundolo	Clement Chidekh	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x427bdb…
10-23 12:22:41	European Open: Clement Chidekh vs Francisco Cerundolo	Francisco Cerundolo	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x49d4d0…
10-23 10:40:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 23?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x12386d…
10-23 07:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6bb9e6…
10-23 07:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 23?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xd6cc6b…
10-23 07:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 23?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x540fd3…
10-23 06:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 23?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb993de…
10-23 06:14:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x71faa6…
10-21 05:53:50	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on October 20?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2f8d19…
10-21 05:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfd33ca…
10-21 05:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd51d6a…
10-19 06:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xbfd66c…
10-18 11:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 19?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xc6ccab…
10-18 11:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C or below on October 19?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xda7f6b…
10-17 08:55:54	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17 game2	Team Vitality	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3df52b…
10-14 11:09:26	lol fox1 kt 2026 10 14 game3	KT Rolster	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x9dce2f…
10-14 11:08:26	lol fox1 kt 2026 10 14 game3	BNK FEARX	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x58c3a9…
10-14 10:24:55	lol fox1 kt 2026 10 14 game2	KT Rolster	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x90a3f6…
10-02 15:08:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 3?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x105f0f…
10-01 14:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x4e0a69…
10-01 14:57:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x00fa21…
10-01 14:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xbc1fe0…
10-01 14:52:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb786df…
10-01 02:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x8c8913…
09-29 13:42:42	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x6b4665…
09-29 13:36:24	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xba8aed…
09-29 12:49:23	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd0e0b6…
09-29 12:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x79c527…
09-29 12:27:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 29?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xaca873…
09-29 12:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x13cdc8…
09-23 13:45:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C or below on September 24?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5c101f…
09-03 05:41:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 3?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xaba886…
09-03 05:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 3?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x2c716b…
09-03 02:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 3?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb35e86…
09-03 01:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 3?	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x942797…
09-02 16:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 3?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd40328…
09-01 15:49:51	Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 2?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0ed492…
08-31 16:18:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc5badd…
08-31 16:11:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf96b9c…
08-31 14:41:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfded33…
08-31 14:36:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6180a9…
08-31 14:28:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6c4269…
08-31 14:09:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x88c6b4…
08-31 13:30:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc7895b…
08-31 11:27:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc84e90…
08-31 11:00:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xcdcde9…
08-31 10:45:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc03213…
08-31 05:41:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd4f386…
08-31 02:56:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x074c27…
08-31 02:56:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 02:55 UTC	Down	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x97201a…
08-31 02:55:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xf8913a…
08-31 02:51:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7afd8a…
08-22 18:58:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xfebafd…
08-22 14:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x256e5d…
06-25 02:18:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x19315c…
06-25 02:14:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xde924c…
06-25 02:13:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x23384f…
06-24 11:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf802e6…
06-21 16:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on June 23?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x50595a…
06-18 08:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x02caa0…
06-17 03:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2e0f0f…
06-17 03:41:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on June 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2c637…
06-15 05:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 15?	No	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xc55026…
06-15 04:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 15?	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x9fa7a2…
06-14 04:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on June 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6919fc…
06-14 03:26:34	Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5	Under	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc31a63…
06-13 18:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on June 14?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x91f7f1…
06-12 04:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on June 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb4f823…
06-12 04:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on June 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeddcfb…
06-12 04:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 12?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe5cf18…
06-11 14:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on June 11?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfa4be7…
06-11 14:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a6991…
06-11 14:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x67e7ef…
06-10 14:53:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 11?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcd0553…
06-09 02:28:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 9?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x85b12a…
06-09 02:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xde90ce…
06-08 18:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 9?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x98f6d7…
06-08 18:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 9?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa9de9c…
06-08 17:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 9?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8f107c…
06-08 04:05:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 8?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x55f472…
06-08 04:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 8?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xae4c3d…
06-07 17:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf718e8…
06-07 14:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 7?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc3b057…
06-07 04:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on June 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x767773…
06-06 15:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 7?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$33	0xd94908…
06-06 15:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 7?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x352bb0…
06-06 15:39:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 7?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x250bc5…
06-06 14:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 7?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x96dac4…
06-06 14:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x557648…
06-06 14:05:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on June 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95ab3c…
06-06 12:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C on June 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe19bee…
06-06 07:55:13	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbe5177…
06-06 07:28:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 7?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x869432…