Scaly-Waiter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$581

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

28.8%

Resolved

10,869

Trades

17,442

lifetime

Volume

$16.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$16

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-29 03:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 239 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 18% +$84

Other

41% 6% +$640

Sports

9% 4% -$532

Politics

3% 9% +$343

Pop-Culture

1% 8% +$91

Tech

0% 0% -$44

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No		-20	-$19	82¢	$-16	+$3	05-31 16:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	13	$113	270	270	+0	Down	+$97	10-08 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	18	$81	267	267	+0	Down	+$64	10-23 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	6	$51	55	0	+55	Down	+$3	05-18 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	5	$45	51	0	+51	Up	-$45	05-18 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	3	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	05-18 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$30	36	0	+36	Down	+$6	05-17 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	3	$30	33	0	+33	Down	+$3	05-17 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	05-17 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$30	34	0	+34	Up	+$4	05-17 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	3	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	05-17 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$30	32	0	+32	Down	+$3	05-17 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	3	$30	33	0	+33	Up	+$3	05-17 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	3	$30	33	0	+33	Up	-$4	05-17 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	3	$30	32	0	+32	Down	+$2	05-17 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$30	33	0	+33	Down	+$3	05-17 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	3	$30	30	0	+30	Up	+$1	05-17 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$30	34	0	+34	Up	+$4	05-17 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	3	$30	32	0	+32	Down	+$2	05-18 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	3	$30	32	0	+32	Up	-$3	05-17 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	3	$30	33	0	+33	Down	+$3	05-17 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$2	05-17 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	3	$30	32	0	+32	Down	+$2	05-17 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	3	$30	33	0	+33	Up	+$4	05-17 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	3	$30	33	0	+33	Up	-$4	05-17 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	3	$30	32	0	+32	Down	+$2	05-18 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	3	$30	33	0	+33	Up	+$4	05-17 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$30	31	0	+31	Down	-$4	05-18 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	3	$30	31	0	+31	Down	-$4	05-18 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	3	$30	32	0	+32	Down	+$2	05-18 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$30	34	0	+34	Down	+$4	05-17 12:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 03:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x2bd883…
10-29 03:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xac63d8…
10-29 03:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x6f100d…
10-29 03:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x23463e…
10-29 03:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xf3eb7b…
10-29 01:26:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x95d742…
10-29 01:25:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x230fc1…
10-28 11:56:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x0849d6…
10-28 11:55:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x8003c0…
10-28 07:46:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0xa99320…
10-28 07:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x8495f4…
10-28 07:45:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x88101f…
10-28 07:45:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x65943a…
10-28 07:45:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x09d947…
10-28 07:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xec1c5f…
10-28 07:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xddc54c…
10-28 07:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x8f8826…
10-28 06:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0x5ee048…
10-28 06:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x87e83c…
10-28 03:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xbe7547…
10-28 03:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xf0bfb3…
10-28 03:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x31d7ab…
10-28 03:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x01373f…
10-28 01:16:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xba9ad4…
10-28 01:16:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0xeca875…
10-28 01:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0x88aa4a…
10-28 01:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0x1039d8…
10-28 01:15:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfc530e…
10-28 01:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x9c1811…
10-28 01:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x90006b…
10-28 01:15:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x6cefcb…
10-28 01:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0x319220…
10-28 01:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xda64f6…
10-28 00:51:11	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x3b31cb…
10-28 00:50:35	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xd96ca2…
10-28 00:50:30	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xeee55e…
10-27 16:56:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	13	12¢	$2	0x2a4afa…
10-27 16:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x1971d7…
10-27 16:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0xee0fe4…
10-27 16:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0x7ca0b4…
10-27 16:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xc3d978…
10-27 16:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x27764f…
10-27 16:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x3a175c…
10-27 16:55:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xeeac36…
10-27 12:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	27	9¢	$2	0x0eab76…
10-27 12:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x4950ca…
10-27 12:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xe1f941…
10-27 12:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xbcbf0a…
10-27 12:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xa57787…
10-27 12:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x916d95…
10-27 11:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x2e463f…
10-27 11:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xe5f990…
10-27 11:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x7970f2…
10-27 11:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x5941ca…
10-27 10:46:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0xd390fd…
10-27 10:45:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xb57fdf…
10-27 10:11:03	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0xebbd81…
10-27 10:10:20	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x9b0d3b…
10-27 07:51:03	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0xc52b83…
10-27 07:50:32	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xd33765…
10-27 06:51:09	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x1331ec…
10-27 06:50:32	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0xf03f96…
10-27 06:50:32	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0xb4d96b…
10-27 05:31:05	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0x8410d4…
10-27 05:30:17	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x430f3c…
10-27 03:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x61e76f…
10-27 03:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x0e9f03…
10-26 22:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0x85aafc…
10-26 22:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x1a9983…
10-26 17:56:12	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	16	14¢	$2	0x9ea24f…
10-26 17:56:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0x0ff7aa…
10-26 17:55:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x6777c6…
10-26 17:55:29	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x100f9f…
10-26 17:55:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x019b37…
10-26 14:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xc4d678…
10-26 14:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x9e6134…
10-25 23:31:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x44538a…
10-25 23:30:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x4f72bd…
10-25 21:46:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0x116235…
10-25 21:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xe572ed…
10-25 21:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x4d23a4…
10-25 21:45:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x778008…
10-25 21:41:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xdcf1aa…
10-25 21:40:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x06b92f…
10-25 20:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0xa7cf5e…
10-25 20:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0xf1e8a0…
10-25 20:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xdede72…
10-25 20:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xa73f2c…
10-25 20:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xa73669…
10-25 20:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0xa34174…
10-25 20:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x45090c…
10-25 16:57:21	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x51dbef…
10-25 16:57:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x495a2c…
10-25 16:56:29	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0x987e14…
10-25 16:56:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xe3bd04…
10-25 16:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	57	3¢	$2	0x60e7a8…
10-25 16:55:33	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x76ce3c…
10-25 16:55:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x657579…
10-25 16:55:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xd9061a…
10-25 16:55:18	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb4e260…