Imperfect-Math — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.7%

Resolved

Trades

192

lifetime

Volume

$4.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-09 06:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 89% $-30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1780522500	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-03 21:39
btc updown 5m 1780540800	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-04 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-03 16:39
btc updown 5m 1780581600	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-04 14:04
btc updown 5m 1780541100	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-04 02:49
eth updown 5m 1780539900	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-04 02:29
eth updown 5m 1780559100	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-04 07:49
eth updown 5m 1780544100	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-04 03:39
btc updown 5m 1780536300	2	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-04 01:29
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-03 15:50
btc updown 5m 1780569600	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-04 10:44
eth updown 5m 1780576800	2	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-04 12:45
eth updown 5m 1780525200	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-03 22:24
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-03 13:49
btc updown 5m 1780582200	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-04 14:14
eth updown 5m 1780523400	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-03 21:54
btc updown 5m 1780582800	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-04 14:24
btc updown 5m 1780534500	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-04 01:00
btc updown 5m 1780524900	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-03 22:19
btc updown 5m 1780525500	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-03 22:29
eth updown 5m 1780534800	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-04 01:04
btc updown 5m 1780579500	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-04 13:30
btc updown 5m 1780547100	2	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-04 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-03 14:54
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-03 16:54
btc updown 5m 1780538100	1	$49	50	+50	open	—	06-04 01:59
btc updown 5m 1780539300	1	$47	50	+50	open	—	06-04 02:19
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	06-02 22:29
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	06-01 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	06-02 23:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 06:54:45	eth updown 5m 1780987800	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x61423f…
06-09 03:46:27	btc updown 5m 1780976400	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x62080b…
06-09 03:14:43	btc updown 5m 1780974600	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5e23b1…
06-09 02:19:39	btc updown 5m 1780971300	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5512f9…
06-09 00:34:39	eth updown 5m 1780965000	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdfb59d…
06-09 00:24:40	btc updown 5m 1780964400	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7c24c7…
06-08 15:09:46	btc updown 5m 1780931100	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0534cf…
06-08 14:19:39	btc updown 5m 1780928100	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xef72fc…
06-08 13:39:40	eth updown 5m 1780925700	Up	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xf038c7…
06-08 13:04:37	btc updown 5m 1780923600	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x97242f…
06-08 12:49:40	eth updown 5m 1780922700	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xabba0c…
06-08 12:09:51	eth updown 5m 1780920300	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xffa268…
06-08 09:19:43	eth updown 5m 1780910100	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7a415b…
06-08 01:44:45	btc updown 5m 1780882800	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8c5478…
06-08 01:19:39	eth updown 5m 1780881300	Down	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x841539…
06-08 01:09:48	btc updown 5m 1780880700	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7015ca…
06-08 00:54:37	eth updown 5m 1780879800	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x953375…
06-07 23:24:46	btc updown 5m 1780874400	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd0bbd6…
06-07 22:55:07	btc updown 5m 1780872600	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbf24a0…
06-07 22:49:37	eth updown 5m 1780872300	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x91a690…
06-07 22:44:39	btc updown 5m 1780872000	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x858bf1…
06-07 22:39:37	btc updown 5m 1780871700	Up	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xddeffe…
06-06 11:14:43	eth updown 5m 1780744200	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x063847…
06-06 06:14:39	eth updown 5m 1780726200	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf8aa77…
06-06 06:09:37	btc updown 5m 1780725900	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x568f1f…
06-06 05:44:37	eth updown 5m 1780724400	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x612071…
06-06 05:34:37	btc updown 5m 1780723800	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x44c9d4…
06-06 05:29:54	btc updown 5m 1780723500	Down	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xb9b526…
06-06 05:15:01	btc updown 5m 1780722600	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc43c81…
06-06 04:44:42	eth updown 5m 1780720800	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xde9f98…
06-06 04:39:37	eth updown 5m 1780720500	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xec8a78…
06-06 03:54:39	eth updown 5m 1780717800	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcddb97…
06-06 01:09:37	eth updown 5m 1780707900	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7f0995…
06-06 00:44:37	btc updown 5m 1780706400	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2fb198…
06-05 22:54:42	eth updown 5m 1780699800	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x616998…
06-05 22:29:42	eth updown 5m 1780698300	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb49d37…
06-05 21:34:37	btc updown 5m 1780695000	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa44174…
06-05 21:24:37	eth updown 5m 1780694400	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf75bf6…
06-05 20:49:39	eth updown 5m 1780692300	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf7d58b…
06-05 20:34:42	eth updown 5m 1780691400	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x65b861…
06-05 20:19:37	eth updown 5m 1780690500	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2d9a80…
06-05 19:54:37	eth updown 5m 1780689000	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xbbd685…
06-05 19:44:45	btc updown 5m 1780688400	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd2456c…
06-05 17:54:45	btc updown 5m 1780681800	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xeaea39…
06-05 17:24:45	btc updown 5m 1780680000	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xde179d…
06-05 17:04:55	eth updown 5m 1780678800	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb20de9…
06-05 16:59:39	btc updown 5m 1780678500	Up	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x16a342…
06-05 16:19:40	btc updown 5m 1780676100	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x85b187…
06-05 15:24:37	eth updown 5m 1780672800	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x52eec7…
06-05 15:04:43	eth updown 5m 1780671600	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xd3d588…
06-05 14:59:37	btc updown 5m 1780671300	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0b39b3…
06-05 14:49:37	eth updown 5m 1780670700	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd98bbe…
06-05 14:19:39	btc updown 5m 1780668900	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9c09fe…
06-05 12:59:45	eth updown 5m 1780664100	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x402460…
06-05 07:09:42	eth updown 5m 1780643100	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x47d977…
06-05 06:59:39	eth updown 5m 1780642500	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb07899…
06-05 06:34:43	eth updown 5m 1780641000	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc0dcf8…
06-05 02:24:39	eth updown 5m 1780626000	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x304f2d…
06-05 02:19:39	eth updown 5m 1780625700	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4e75ee…
06-04 14:24:40	btc updown 5m 1780582800	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x3d790f…
06-04 14:14:39	btc updown 5m 1780582200	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xa09169…
06-04 14:04:42	btc updown 5m 1780581600	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x65ac02…
06-04 13:30:15	btc updown 5m 1780579500	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x9b8580…
06-04 12:45:10	eth updown 5m 1780576800	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1d2876…
06-04 12:45:03	eth updown 5m 1780576800	Down	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x402ef5…
06-04 10:44:43	btc updown 5m 1780569600	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xb05ef9…
06-04 07:49:46	eth updown 5m 1780559100	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x642831…
06-04 04:29:43	btc updown 5m 1780547100	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xd4236f…
06-04 04:29:42	btc updown 5m 1780547100	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xc18758…
06-04 03:39:48	eth updown 5m 1780544100	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x6cfe6c…
06-04 02:49:37	btc updown 5m 1780541100	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x37b23a…
06-04 02:44:39	btc updown 5m 1780540800	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x3eac68…
06-04 02:29:39	eth updown 5m 1780539900	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x5dd2e5…
06-04 02:19:39	btc updown 5m 1780539300	Up	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x6825ba…
06-04 01:59:37	btc updown 5m 1780538100	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x3e6ff6…
06-04 01:29:39	btc updown 5m 1780536300	Up	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xa316ff…
06-04 01:29:39	btc updown 5m 1780536300	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$22	0x19a508…
06-04 01:04:40	eth updown 5m 1780534800	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x9b5760…
06-04 01:00:18	btc updown 5m 1780534500	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xa7559a…
06-03 22:29:58	btc updown 5m 1780525500	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x4eebe2…
06-03 22:24:48	eth updown 5m 1780525200	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xb2baae…
06-03 22:19:46	btc updown 5m 1780524900	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe6a6c7…
06-03 21:54:45	eth updown 5m 1780523400	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x8e218f…
06-03 21:39:51	btc updown 5m 1780522500	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x5f0d90…
06-03 16:54:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x42721e…
06-03 16:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x1f3c03…
06-03 15:50:01	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xb540f7…
06-03 14:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x13f213…
06-03 13:49:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x369266…
06-03 13:04:38	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x244898…
06-03 06:39:43	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xa93dcb…
06-03 05:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb11740…
06-03 05:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xab2287…
06-03 04:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf8bfd7…
06-03 04:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd6746e…
06-03 04:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd2fc95…
06-03 04:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xca3a02…
06-03 04:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb7b2c1…
06-03 04:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xae240b…
06-03 04:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5719ed…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	173	$130.8K	15,295	06-09 06:54
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	172	$121.3K	4,899	06-09 06:54
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	172	$43.3K	7,240	06-09 06:54
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	172	$42.8K	12,929	06-09 06:54
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	171	$36.7K	11,231	06-09 06:54
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	169	$32.4K	4,983	06-09 06:52
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	169	$21.6K	4,443	06-09 06:51
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	169	$20.3K	2,984	06-09 06:54