Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

46.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$66

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-08-09

last 11-08 02:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

80% 58% +$7

Politics

20% 30% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	+1	$1	72¢	$1	+$0	11-07 15:09
Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	78¢	$1	$0	11-08 02:31
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 9, 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	55¢	$1	$0	11-07 06:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	2	$3	3	3	+0	No	+$1	10-20 05:02
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 20?	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	10-20 15:59
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	$0	10-18 10:48
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $46 Week of October 19 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	10-20 05:03
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	2	$2	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	10-20 05:03
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $260 Week of October 19 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	10-20 05:03
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	10-20 05:02
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	10-18 10:48
will googl reach 355 by august 17 2026	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	08-17 21:39
will ewy reach 168 by august 10 2026	1	$1	6	0	+6	Yes	-$1	08-11 09:20
Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	09-01 03:52
grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	1	$1	6	0	+6	Yes	-$1	08-11 00:47
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	-$1	09-01 03:52
will hood dip to 87 50 by august 10 2026	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	08-10 07:07
will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	1	$1	7	0	+7	Yes	-$1	08-12 09:53
will xagusd reach 69 by august 17 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	08-17 11:29
will trump say oil or gas or gasoline during tele rally 20260809153916673	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	08-10 15:11
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	-$1	09-03 11:42
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	08-11 17:28
will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	+$2	08-23 04:42
will spy reach 785 by august 17 2026	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	+$2	08-17 02:30
will nvda dip to 220 by august 10 2026	1	$1	5	0	+5	Yes	-$1	08-10 07:07
will pltr dip to 165 by august 10 2026	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	+$1	08-09 23:06
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on September 1?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-01 11:53
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$0	08-22 14:11
will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	08-12 09:53
will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	08-12 01:41
Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	10-18 05:12
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	11-05 02:42
spy up or down on october 15 2026	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	+$2	10-15 03:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 02:31:55	Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x290b0c…
11-07 15:09:30	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xceb300…
11-07 06:29:03	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2f5611…
11-06 14:25:01	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $275 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x800dd4…
11-05 23:45:28	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd01f46…
11-05 13:20:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa26567…
11-05 02:42:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xea2cdf…
11-01 19:10:40	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbf8a79…
10-22 12:14:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0e7953…
10-21 03:07:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x421ec8…
10-20 15:59:39	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0a3c19…
10-20 15:59:35	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6be87c…
10-20 07:58:25	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1154b2…
10-20 05:03:27	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $260 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x978e1b…
10-20 05:03:15	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xcee1f1…
10-20 05:03:00	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $46 Week of October 19 2026?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x800c1d…
10-20 05:02:47	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	Yes	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0xc6f7ec…
10-20 05:02:33	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xb01fbe…
10-19 23:57:47	will amzn dip to 260 by october 19 2026	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0ef8b9…
10-19 15:48:29	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6a5a34…
10-19 06:43:35	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $46 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0001e7…
10-18 22:43:17	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xdb6d36…
10-18 13:16:06	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x746e13…
10-18 10:48:30	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x670d59…
10-18 10:48:17	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	Yes	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0xc04e21…
10-18 05:12:17	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x43aa0e…
10-17 19:39:20	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1180ec…
10-16 12:40:13	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x01a015…
10-16 04:36:42	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x13c0fa…
10-15 20:26:14	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc6a2f5…
10-15 11:57:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8326e0…
10-15 03:15:53	spy up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x50ef14…
10-14 07:14:32	googl close above 360 on october 14 2026	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x68a66c…
10-08 20:25:27	Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x663c9a…
10-08 10:06:11	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xfd062b…
10-07 01:02:59	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on October 7?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc72fe9…
09-24 19:55:23	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa2b0a9…
09-24 11:20:32	will trump say economy during xi jinpings state arrival	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x86b95c…
09-03 11:42:37	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	No	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x41fff1…
09-01 11:53:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xff2cae…
09-01 03:52:12	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	No	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0xb17f87…
09-01 03:52:01	Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0x2aad4a…
08-23 04:42:57	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0x2ff5dc…
08-22 14:11:18	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x652105…
08-17 21:39:48	will googl reach 355 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$1	0xd525b2…
08-17 11:29:27	will xagusd reach 69 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x7b22bd…
08-17 02:30:18	will spy reach 785 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x2cf991…
08-12 09:53:45	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	No	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x2bd230…
08-12 09:53:27	will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x67fc09…
08-12 01:41:21	will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6913c8…
08-11 17:28:49	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0x0a3f9c…
08-11 09:20:55	will ewy reach 168 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x7ccda3…
08-11 00:47:42	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	No	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x34996b…
08-10 15:11:01	will trump say oil or gas or gasoline during tele rally 20260809153916673	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0x90341f…
08-10 07:07:28	will hood dip to 87 50 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0xd13e25…
08-10 07:07:16	will nvda dip to 220 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0xdfbb4d…
08-09 23:06:48	will pltr dip to 165 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x8cd980…