Upbeat-Excursion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved

102

Trades

537

lifetime

Volume

$1.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 05-24 07:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 70% $-5

Other

25% — —

Politics

7% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 227 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	10	$275	149	149	+0	open	—	05-15 16:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$101	111	111	+0	open	—	04-20 00:08
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	04-29 18:54
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	04-13 22:46
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$34	2,610	10	+2,600	open	—	04-07 21:59
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$30	31	31	+0	open	—	04-08 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	4	$26	44	0	+44	open	—	05-16 02:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	04-29 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$23	95	44	+51	Up	$-2	05-11 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	5	$18	39	0	+39	open	—	05-16 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	4	$17	32	0	+32	open	—	05-16 01:53
will trump say god 3 times during address to the nation	1	$16	30	0	+30	open	—	04-01 22:38
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	2	$16	30	30	+0	open	—	04-14 21:09
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$12	21	0	+21	open	—	04-21 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$12	31	0	+31	Up	+$3	05-13 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$11	35	0	+35	Up	+$4	05-13 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	3	$11	21	0	+21	open	—	05-16 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	3	$11	8	8	-0	open	—	05-16 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-16 03:19
btc updown 5m 1776121200	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-13 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$10	15	0	+15	Down	$-10	05-13 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	3	$10	15	0	+15	Down	$-10	05-14 02:11
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$8	30	0	+30	open	—	04-06 12:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	3	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	05-16 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	4	$8	17	2	+14	open	—	05-16 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	4	$8	30	0	+30	open	—	05-16 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$7	11	0	+11	Down	$-7	05-13 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	3	$7	9	8	+2	Down	$-3	05-14 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	3	$7	28	0	+28	open	—	05-16 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	3	$7	24	0	+24	open	—	05-16 01:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 07:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x550591…
05-24 07:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x750c5f…
05-24 07:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xdd7d77…
05-24 06:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x06c4ac…
05-24 06:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7f923d…
05-24 06:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3c4383…
05-24 06:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x03be88…
05-24 05:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfc746c…
05-24 05:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7631f3…
05-24 05:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xaab01d…
05-24 05:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd282c6…
05-24 04:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x38ad86…
05-24 04:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x776c2b…
05-24 03:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6386b0…
05-24 03:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfb8d69…
05-24 02:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xffdf80…
05-24 02:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xbada5a…
05-24 02:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb02987…
05-24 01:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x712839…
05-24 01:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa38dcf…
05-24 01:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x39776f…
05-24 00:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8e183d…
05-24 00:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb3683b…
05-23 23:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9df9cf…
05-23 23:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x597cbb…
05-23 23:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7b31ef…
05-23 23:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x07cb8e…
05-23 22:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc5e705…
05-23 22:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5b83aa…
05-23 22:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x15935e…
05-23 20:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x245106…
05-23 20:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x683160…
05-23 19:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe37790…
05-23 18:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf35878…
05-23 17:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd63569…
05-23 17:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x872177…
05-23 17:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xdbe8c3…
05-23 17:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x512d46…
05-23 16:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x5f27a4…
05-23 15:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc14478…
05-23 15:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x757852…
05-23 13:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3256f8…
05-23 13:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x72e7db…
05-23 13:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x95fc8b…
05-23 12:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x35bf45…
05-23 11:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x86be86…
05-23 11:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x385914…
05-23 11:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xffe7d8…
05-23 10:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x20c188…
05-23 09:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x2c7d71…
05-23 09:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9464d0…
05-23 09:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x69b393…
05-23 07:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd24267…
05-23 07:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x372801…
05-23 06:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4062e9…
05-23 06:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xffc7f9…
05-23 06:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x57e37a…
05-23 05:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8915fc…
05-23 05:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xbc57c5…
05-23 05:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x7fc19a…
05-23 04:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x914572…
05-23 03:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x760057…
05-23 03:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x71ec0c…
05-23 03:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x321e89…
05-23 02:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe1316f…
05-23 01:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9de6a9…
05-23 01:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x377972…
05-22 23:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x60cedb…
05-22 23:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x61f8e1…
05-22 22:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa3b244…
05-22 22:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x31363e…
05-22 20:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2a789c…
05-22 20:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7d90e6…
05-22 18:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa7c9bf…
05-22 18:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb09eeb…
05-22 17:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc08722…
05-22 16:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x90ec04…
05-22 16:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x8a5cc0…
05-22 16:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4126b0…
05-22 16:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xabee84…
05-22 13:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x207d0b…
05-22 13:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x322052…
05-22 13:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa646d9…
05-22 12:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf2108a…
05-22 12:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xba0301…
05-22 11:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xee3ec3…
05-22 11:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xba7c30…
05-22 11:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc70b7a…
05-22 11:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb053fa…
05-22 10:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6c4c0a…
05-22 10:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x18225a…
05-22 09:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x1a8c04…
05-22 09:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2c028e…
05-22 09:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x384285…
05-22 08:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb391fe…
05-22 08:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6e1b1d…
05-22 07:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2b40c1…
05-22 06:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x8cddf0…
05-22 05:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe30d59…
05-22 05:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xaf8524…