Adolescent-Bend — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$110

Unrealized P&L

+$598

Hit rate

89.8%

Resolved

726

Trades

1,747

lifetime

Volume

$56.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$1.20K

1 position

First seen

2026-05-13

last 09-29 17:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Other

98% 91% -$318

Sports

2% 100% +$208

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes		+2,615	$600	46¢	$1.2K	+$598	09-29 17:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 22?	6	$810	481	481	+0	No	+$56	05-22 07:03
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	3	$600	2,615	0	+2,615	open	—	09-29 17:02
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$500	660	0	+660	Argentina	+$160	07-12 00:25
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22?	2	$454	302	302	+0	Yes	-$20	05-21 09:42
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4?	1	$400	474	0	+474	Yes	-$400	06-04 12:21
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$397	447	447	+0	No	-$3	07-18 18:33
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	1	$395	706	0	+706	Yes	+$311	09-21 16:35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 21?	2	$341	203	203	+0	No	+$45	05-21 05:53
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 22?	3	$318	236	236	+0	Yes	-$57	05-22 20:28
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$300	508	0	+508	Yes	+$208	07-19 09:26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 22?	2	$279	185	185	+0	Yes	-$4	05-21 10:34
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 5?	3	$264	136	136	+0	Yes	+$8	07-05 19:22
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 10?	5	$259	193	73	+120	Yes	+$6	06-10 22:40
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 5?	4	$248	127	127	+0	Yes	+$5	07-05 19:22
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?	1	$246	547	0	+547	Yes	+$301	05-27 18:03
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 24?	7	$238	174	174	+0	Yes	-$20	05-24 15:51
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C on July 14?	9	$223	248	0	+248	No	+$25	07-14 07:25
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 26?	6	$218	200	200	+0	No	-$102	05-26 05:24
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 29?	2	$214	119	119	+0	No	+$22	05-29 06:18
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?	3	$214	224	0	+224	Yes	+$10	07-23 06:03
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 15?	2	$206	214	0	+214	Yes	-$206	07-15 18:13
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 22?	2	$201	109	109	+0	No	+$6	05-22 15:23
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	1	$200	235	0	+235	No	+$35	08-29 11:29
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	2	$200	208	0	+208	No	+$8	08-28 07:56
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 14?	5	$198	225	0	+225	Yes	+$27	07-14 05:35
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 11?	4	$196	100	100	+0	Yes	+$2	06-11 16:33
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 3?	2	$191	97	97	+0	Yes	+$2	07-03 20:14
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 23?	3	$187	191	0	+191	No	-$187	07-23 15:16
Will Cody Gakpo join Manchester City?	2	$185	216	0	+216	No	-$185	08-30 01:23
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 21?	1	$184	192	0	+192	Yes	+$8	07-21 16:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-29 17:02:26	Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	BUY	491	20¢	$100	0x1d1e0a…
09-26 08:12:44	Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	BUY	1,088	18¢	$200	0x74e737…
09-25 17:56:29	Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	BUY	1,036	29¢	$300	0xf1e007…
09-21 16:35:33	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	706	56¢	$395	0xe80391…
09-20 12:35:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0xed8b09…
09-20 11:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xdece47…
09-20 11:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x74a65a…
09-20 11:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	39	91¢	$36	0xf278ba…
09-20 08:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	92	88¢	$80	0xee6823…
09-20 04:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 20?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0xda980c…
09-20 04:02:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 20?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x1d1a4c…
09-19 23:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 19?	Yes	BUY	82	98¢	$80	0x4d86c7…
09-19 22:17:26	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 19?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x0735e5…
09-19 22:13:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 19?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x003b80…
09-19 22:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0x6dfdd8…
09-19 19:37:14	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 19?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x370415…
09-19 19:12:35	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 19?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x477d02…
09-19 19:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 19?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x425dc4…
09-19 19:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 19?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x4efb17…
09-19 12:27:29	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 19?	No	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0x880a87…
09-19 12:23:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 19?	No	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0x2f0524…
09-19 12:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 19?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xc581fe…
09-19 12:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 19?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xec0ced…
09-19 12:08:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 19?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xa01ff8…
09-19 12:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 19?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x8e5456…
09-19 11:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on September 19?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x33b611…
09-19 11:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on September 19?	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xa364cb…
09-19 11:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on September 19?	No	BUY	36	94¢	$34	0x85e012…
09-19 05:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf77fc4…
09-19 04:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x93bdd1…
09-19 04:43:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0x6a662d…
09-19 04:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	23	97¢	$23	0x3a9147…
09-19 03:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 19?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x19d6e1…
09-19 01:08:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 19?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xbcb35b…
09-19 01:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 19?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xb59cd8…
09-19 01:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 19?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x798727…
09-18 23:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 18?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x9cda94…
09-18 19:16:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 18?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x9aa66e…
09-18 19:12:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 18?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$22	0x3c47db…
09-18 18:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x92a379…
09-18 14:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 18?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd0c356…
09-18 14:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 18?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x1b2d67…
09-18 14:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 18?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x3ebdbb…
09-18 13:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 18?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x30df4b…
09-18 13:22:23	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 18?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xf8d13b…
09-18 13:18:33	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 18?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x11f05e…
09-18 13:14:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 18?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xee2ce2…
09-18 07:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$18	0xf7a063…
09-18 06:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0xf36cf9…
09-18 04:24:04	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 18?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xe99dec…
09-18 04:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 18?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x74115c…
09-18 04:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 18?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x9b32b4…
09-18 04:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 18?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x76b8d2…
09-17 22:33:43	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0xcaff43…
09-17 22:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x2c576e…
09-17 20:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xa1179f…
09-17 20:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xa083a4…
09-17 19:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 17?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdb2d4d…
09-17 15:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x3ec6ed…
09-17 01:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0x76deda…
09-17 01:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x3b1644…
09-16 20:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x5ed016…
09-16 20:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x42e359…
09-16 15:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	53	98¢	$51	0x5904e4…
09-16 14:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0xef7cb3…
09-16 12:49:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	53	98¢	$51	0xaf6763…
09-16 05:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xec17a8…
09-16 04:39:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 16?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xc3c91e…
09-15 22:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$6	0x6e91d9…
09-15 22:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x8f18ab…
09-15 22:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	26	97¢	$26	0xb8f3ec…
09-15 06:18:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xbf8bb4…
09-15 06:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0xe07564…
09-15 05:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x1e1a50…
09-15 04:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on September 15?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xf41302…
09-15 04:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on September 15?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x23fc4a…
09-15 04:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x74580a…
09-14 22:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 14?	Yes	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xd8b87a…
09-14 22:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 14?	Yes	BUY	27	95¢	$25	0x658b7e…
09-14 19:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 14?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x171aab…
09-14 19:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 14?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xaacd36…
09-14 19:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 14?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x3f99ab…
09-14 19:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 14?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x98b55b…
09-14 18:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 14?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xc2a3a8…
09-14 18:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 14?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x0c2346…
09-14 06:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xd1190e…
09-14 04:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0xa33a71…
09-14 04:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x0f1f0c…
09-14 04:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 14?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0xf558c2…
09-14 04:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 14?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x511b02…
09-14 04:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0xf97a78…
09-14 04:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x6eb746…
09-14 04:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 14?	No	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0xcf2db4…
09-14 03:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x1c7969…
09-14 03:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	38	95¢	$37	0xe2e920…
09-13 21:31:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 13?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x80a4cf…
09-13 21:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 13?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x0f1581…
09-13 21:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 13?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$39	0xbf1d8f…
09-13 21:18:09	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 13?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x915f8b…
09-13 21:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 13?	Yes	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xad0a9b…