Naughty-Dory — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.42K

Unrealized P&L

+$24

Hit rate

49.4%

Resolved

13,288

Trades

211,162

lifetime

Volume

$1.05M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$101

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 10-27 09:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 56% -$1,579

Other

6% 76% +$4,003

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 9494 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	—	+58	$27	98¢	$57	+$31	10-27 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	—	+44	$15	98¢	$43	+$28	10-27 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	—	+40	$24	2¢	$1	-$24	10-27 09:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	—	+19	$12	2¢	$0	-$11	10-27 09:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
itf ribero guna 2026 06 05	21	$5.1K	2,971	2,971	+0	Robert Guna	+$876	06-05 10:44
atp donski duran 2026 06 05	38	$4.9K	4,915	4,915	+0	Alexander Donski	-$616	06-05 10:13
ITF Tauste-Zaragoza: Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales vs Elizabeth Mandlik	15	$4.1K	2,494	2,494	+0	Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales	+$836	05-29 16:01
atp nardi bertola 2026 06 04	16	$3.8K	2,767	2,767	+0	Remy Bertola	+$1,331	06-04 21:40
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandra Eala vs Magdalena Frech	3	$2.8K	1,731	1,731	+0	Alexandra Eala	+$666	05-06 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	289	$2.8K	5,476	0	+5,476	Up	-$8	10-09 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	297	$2.8K	5,483	0	+5,483	Down	-$21	10-09 01:13
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Antonia Ruzic vs Kamilla Rakhimova	9	$2.7K	2,145	2,145	+0	Antonia Ruzic	+$260	05-05 14:37
Kosice: Taro Daniel vs Mathys Erhard	4	$2.5K	1,657	1,657	+0	Mathys Erhard	+$797	05-29 15:14
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong	3	$2.5K	4,847	0	+4,847	Jesper de Jong	-$2,455	05-29 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	343	$2.4K	4,710	0	+4,710	Down	-$26	10-23 20:59
Jiujiang: En-Shuo Liang vs Taylah Preston	5	$2.3K	1,472	1,472	-0	En-Shuo Liang	+$603	05-06 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	238	$2.3K	4,504	0	+4,504	Down	-$16	10-09 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	175	$2.2K	4,424	0	+4,424	Down	-$36	10-12 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	282	$2.2K	4,426	0	+4,426	Down	-$16	10-09 01:59
wta persson akugue 2026 06 04	2	$2.2K	1,265	1,265	+0	Noma Noha Akugue	+$342	06-04 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	252	$2.2K	4,412	0	+4,412	Up	+$33	10-12 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	187	$2.1K	4,141	0	+4,141	Down	-$47	10-10 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	178	$2.0K	4,082	0	+4,082	Up	-$1	10-13 02:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:30 UTC	200	$2.0K	3,898	0	+3,898	Up	-$36	10-14 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	205	$1.9K	3,689	0	+3,689	Down	-$20	10-10 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	197	$1.8K	3,674	0	+3,674	Down	-$19	10-09 23:59
Cervia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Max Alcala Gurri	2	$1.8K	1,055	1,055	+0	Max Alcala Gurri	+$358	05-22 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	184	$1.7K	3,432	0	+3,432	Up	-$43	10-09 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	163	$1.7K	3,438	0	+3,438	Down	-$13	10-09 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	186	$1.7K	3,299	0	+3,299	Down	-$7	10-08 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	185	$1.6K	3,124	0	+3,124	Up	-$13	10-09 01:26
itf payne gonzale 2026 06 04	8	$1.5K	922	922	+0	Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez	+$295	06-04 19:52
Valencia vs. Real Madrid	2	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	Real Madrid	+$470	05-22 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	268	$1.4K	2,866	0	+2,866	Down	-$1	10-24 13:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 09:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xfcf6ae…
10-27 09:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xddeeab…
10-27 09:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xf59041…
10-27 09:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0x93bd45…
10-27 09:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0xfc5151…
10-27 09:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	38¢	$8	0x1282b4…
10-27 09:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xdfab89…
10-27 09:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xd8722a…
10-27 09:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x9aaf7d…
10-27 09:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0x9637f8…
10-27 09:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0xd1eab6…
10-27 09:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0x29b6c3…
10-27 09:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xb1a012…
10-27 09:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x989126…
10-27 09:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xa3bb70…
10-27 09:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0x332678…
10-27 09:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0xda546d…
10-27 09:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	94¢	$23	0x3951a2…
10-27 09:27:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x93998a…
10-27 09:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x552d09…
10-27 09:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x377ce3…
10-27 09:27:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xe39d08…
10-27 09:27:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x14f067…
10-27 09:26:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x548155…
10-27 09:26:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xeca40f…
10-27 09:26:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xa9d74e…
10-27 09:26:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x8b666e…
10-27 09:26:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x533ab5…
10-27 09:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	82¢	$10	0x903a63…
10-27 09:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x0e58de…
10-27 09:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xd457cd…
10-27 09:25:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	72¢	$10	0xf9b5de…
10-27 09:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe530ac…
10-27 09:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x545d28…
10-27 09:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x53f172…
10-27 09:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0x476f0d…
10-27 09:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	72¢	$10	0x5f8709…
10-27 09:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	72¢	$8	0x439c02…
10-27 09:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	30¢	$5	0x010235…
10-27 09:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xbdebbf…
10-27 09:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x636a63…
10-27 09:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x33957b…
10-27 09:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0x2bd708…
10-27 09:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x9ac0aa…
10-27 09:22:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xa22fc9…
10-27 09:22:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xc20b2f…
10-27 09:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0x693797…
10-27 09:22:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xd606cc…
10-27 09:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xa6d479…
10-27 09:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x96b555…
10-27 09:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$1	0x455706…
10-27 09:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x187c0c…
10-27 09:22:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	65¢	$9	0x2a989d…
10-27 09:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0xada7eb…
10-27 09:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0xb6935a…
10-27 09:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x473515…
10-27 09:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0x83d2ae…
10-27 09:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x4efb4e…
10-27 09:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x0d1a16…
10-27 09:18:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1ff2cd…
10-27 09:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x054f85…
10-27 09:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x7a0676…
10-27 09:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	24	81¢	$20	0x339abf…
10-27 09:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8ef469…
10-27 09:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x664c54…
10-27 09:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x4b2fcd…
10-27 09:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa10371…
10-27 09:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd93676…
10-27 09:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xb8c36f…
10-27 09:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x1da3cb…
10-27 09:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xb9aa25…
10-27 09:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0xefbc99…
10-27 09:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	73¢	$18	0x89ca2e…
10-27 09:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xc0fe44…
10-27 09:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x4bc8c3…
10-27 09:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x2f25f6…
10-27 09:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0xe8165e…
10-27 09:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x9f2230…
10-27 09:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x831a0e…
10-27 09:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x9cdc3b…
10-27 09:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x845d70…
10-27 09:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x45c606…
10-27 09:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb65a72…
10-27 09:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x4c90ab…
10-27 09:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x9826b0…
10-27 09:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xaf2055…
10-27 09:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0x35957f…
10-27 09:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x5d5921…
10-27 09:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x3cf726…
10-27 09:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x79090c…
10-27 09:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x526295…
10-27 09:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x26f57e…
10-27 09:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x5e098e…
10-27 09:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xd813e5…
10-27 09:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xf1a8ff…
10-27 09:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x1f5801…
10-27 09:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xb199b6…
10-27 09:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x5fc0eb…
10-27 09:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x5c1be2…
10-27 09:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0xa21ca4…