Sardonic-Nerve — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved

203

Trades

353

lifetime

Volume

$1.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$134

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 10-26 18:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Other

78% 54% -$1

Politics

22% 40% +$4

Crypto

0% 0% -$6

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No		+241	$129	55¢	$132	+$3	10-25 16:26
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes		+18	$5	9¢	$2	-$3	10-19 11:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	8	$129	241	0	+241	open	—	10-25 16:26
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$33	29	29	+0	No	+$23	03-26 05:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$30	21	21	+0	Yes	+$10	02-28 21:59
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$30	20	20	+0	No	+$10	03-24 18:02
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?	4	$30	36	18	+18	No	-$10	06-11 06:20
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$28	18	18	+0	Yes	+$8	04-05 07:08
will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 australian open	2	$27	23	23	+0	Yes	+$7	01-31 21:40
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	2	$26	20	20	+0	No	+$6	02-03 12:01
cde rcl tou 2026 04 21 rcl	2	$26	16	16	+0	Yes	+$6	04-21 20:59
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	2	$24	15	15	+0	Yes	+$6	07-09 22:03
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	2	$24	14	14	+0	Yes	+$4	04-28 20:25
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$23	13	13	+0	Yes	+$3	05-06 21:03
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 6?	4	$21	16	16	+0	Yes	+$3	06-06 17:17
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina	3	$20	18	18	+0	Elina Svitolina	+$10	05-14 22:27
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	3	$18	12	12	+0	No	+$4	02-02 10:57
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?	2	$17	12	12	+0	Yes	+$7	06-22 14:27
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	2	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	+$4	07-10 21:01
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 16?	2	$16	12	12	+0	Yes	+$6	06-16 16:10
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$16	11	11	+0	No	+$6	02-14 06:19
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 20?	2	$16	11	11	+0	Yes	+$6	06-20 16:50
will israel strike lebanon on february 6 2026	2	$16	11	11	+0	No	+$6	02-06 19:43
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?	2	$15	11	11	+0	Yes	+$5	06-18 15:43
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 15?	2	$15	12	12	+0	Yes	+$5	06-15 14:08
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?	2	$15	39	0	+39	No	-$15	06-18 11:11
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	2	$15	10	10	+0	FC Bayern München	+$5	05-23 20:12
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 4?	3	$15	12	12	+0	Yes	+$7	06-04 13:41
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15?	2	$14	10	10	+0	Yes	+$4	06-15 15:46
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 16?	2	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	+$4	06-16 14:40
wta stefani kasints 2026 03 02	2	$14	9	9	+0	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	+$4	03-03 05:43
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 9?	2	$13	9	9	+0	Yes	+$3	06-09 16:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 18:59:44	fl1 psg lyo 2026 10 25 ags desire doue 90102225	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x556055…
10-25 16:26:02	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	53	56¢	$30	0xf7ccf3…
10-22 18:14:14	Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. NEC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x65121a…
10-22 05:17:06	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc284b1…
10-21 21:01:18	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xa28bc3…
10-21 20:29:05	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x05222d…
10-21 19:07:27	ucl bru rcl 2026 10 21 ags nicolo tresoldi 90122486	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x7785f8…
10-21 19:04:45	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x9427fb…
10-21 19:04:26	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x733502…
10-21 19:04:00	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x453d7c…
10-21 04:34:57	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xbbaa6e…
10-20 20:40:32	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2dbac0…
10-20 20:36:48	Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x8439ff…
10-20 20:36:18	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xaad329…
10-20 20:31:41	Will PSV win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x05966b…
10-20 20:27:29	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xef55aa…
10-20 19:09:56	Désiré Doué: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x1af2d7…
10-20 19:08:26	Rayan Cherki: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xa677b1…
10-20 19:07:00	Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe32484…
10-20 19:06:17	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xee100b…
10-19 18:28:42	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x0c6c54…
10-19 11:19:47	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xac86f2…
10-18 17:31:47	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	97	52¢	$50	0xd37430…
10-02 17:55:29	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe4ca47…
07-24 13:34:51	wta tagger bejlek 2026 07 24	Sara Bejlek	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x9827f1…
07-14 18:16:35	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xd9b1e6…
07-14 18:15:16	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xdc4d58…
07-11 21:55:11	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x26cd5d…
07-11 21:54:46	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xea1617…
07-10 21:01:14	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x700612…
07-10 19:17:01	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x49dbe4…
07-09 22:03:47	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf733da…
07-09 20:57:17	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x419d08…
06-22 20:42:49	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 goals bradley barcola gte1	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3d3a4c…
06-22 20:42:11	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 goals michael olise gte1	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x019053…
06-22 19:03:47	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xfd618b…
06-22 14:29:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	11	67¢	$7	0xdc0252…
06-22 14:27:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x2cc0e4…
06-22 12:13:16	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xef806d…
06-22 12:12:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	12	21¢	$3	0xe1c50c…
06-22 08:29:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x5702cb…
06-22 07:57:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x4ebcac…
06-22 07:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc64764…
06-21 12:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xca8200…
06-20 16:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x1fae3d…
06-20 13:44:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	11	25¢	$3	0x0506ce…
06-20 10:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x68d685…
06-20 10:24:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x559e76…
06-19 10:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xb4e058…
06-18 15:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x409a41…
06-18 14:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 18?	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xd3bfe1…
06-18 11:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x1087d8…
06-18 10:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x6c4afb…
06-18 10:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbe1e17…
06-17 19:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x87f864…
06-17 10:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x90eed9…
06-16 16:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 16?	Yes	SELL	12	86¢	$11	0x3c8ebb…
06-16 14:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 16?	Yes	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x753b45…
06-16 11:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe68ba5…
06-16 11:29:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa91d27…
06-15 15:46:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xb1d06a…
06-15 14:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 15?	Yes	SELL	12	88¢	$10	0xf3213e…
06-15 10:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xaf88d3…
06-15 10:17:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x3996b4…
06-15 10:16:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9ebea9…
06-12 09:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x70dfa9…
06-12 08:48:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xbcba5a…
06-11 14:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 11?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$4	0x57721d…
06-11 06:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0ef038…
06-11 06:20:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x0e9147…
06-11 06:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?	Yes	SELL	18	54¢	$10	0x85e508…
06-11 06:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xebde05…
06-11 06:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x4a78d2…
06-10 09:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x62c30a…
06-09 20:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x180d2d…
06-09 16:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	9	98¢	$8	0xbb9586…
06-09 07:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x9f1906…
06-08 15:57:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0xdad5a7…
06-07 16:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 7?	Yes	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x80ae2e…
06-07 11:28:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xdc624f…
06-07 05:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xa977a5…
06-06 17:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 6?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xf4766b…
06-06 14:17:21	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	Yes	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x9e2708…
06-06 10:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc5da13…
06-06 07:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 6?	Yes	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x6ee927…
06-06 07:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xbfb9c4…
06-06 07:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 6?	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x984194…
06-05 15:43:49	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on June 5?	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x3af97c…
06-05 15:43:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x786212…
06-05 07:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on June 5?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x99b784…
06-05 05:44:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x364ac8…
06-05 05:43:07	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	Yes	SELL	6	59¢	$4	0x80dfc2…
06-04 13:41:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xfa2bcf…
06-04 13:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0xb87d55…
06-04 10:42:21	wta kostyuk andreev 2026 06 04	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x75c993…
06-03 20:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x8d513a…
06-03 16:02:22	Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Roland Garros Women's Singles?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x2f6c08…
06-03 15:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 3?	Yes	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x972f96…
06-03 05:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x20b453…
06-03 05:59:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 3?	Yes	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x2fd001…