Squiggly-Genius — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$223

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.5%

Resolved

2,217

Trades

3,128

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 11-07 07:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 102 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 51% -$223

Other

2% 70% +$3

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 09:45 UTC	6	$150	102	100	+2	Up	+$32	02-11 10:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 08:45 UTC	2	$106	104	103	+2	Up	+$8	02-13 08:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 11:45 UTC	2	$99	64	63	+1	Up	+$20	02-11 11:53
ethereum up or down february 10 8am et	3	$88	80	80	+0	Up	+$40	02-10 13:32
xrp up or down february 14 10pm et	11	$87	60	60	+0	Down	+$21	02-15 03:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 11:00 UTC	6	$82	59	58	+1	Up	+$13	02-11 11:07
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 11:15 UTC	4	$79	68	67	+1	Up	+$10	02-11 11:18
craus ade per 2026 01 11	8	$74	160	155	+5	Perth Scorchers	+$6	01-11 10:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 02:00 UTC	2	$69	52	51	+1	Down	+$9	02-16 02:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 10:00 UTC	1	$60	66	0	+66	Down	+$6	02-11 10:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 10:50 UTC	4	$57	89	64	+25	Up	+$4	02-12 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$56	56	0	+56	Down	+$1	11-05 15:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 10:00 UTC	3	$55	48	47	+1	Down	+$15	02-12 10:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 07:15 UTC	2	$54	41	40	+1	Down	+$14	02-13 07:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 08:55 UTC	3	$54	39	39	+1	Up	+$15	02-12 08:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 08:15 UTC	2	$53	37	37	+1	Down	+$13	02-12 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$52	52	0	+52	Down	+$1	11-05 02:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 05:15 UTC	1	$50	106	0	+106	Up	-$50	02-13 05:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 09:25 UTC	10	$49	40	40	+0	Up	+$12	02-12 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$49	53	0	+53	Down	+$4	11-05 01:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 02:55 UTC	3	$48	39	37	+2	Down	+$8	02-13 02:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 11:10 UTC	3	$48	37	36	+1	Down	+$9	02-12 11:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 09:20 UTC	4	$47	35	35	+0	Up	+$13	02-12 09:22
bitcoin up or down february 13 6am et	7	$45	39	39	+0	Up	+$15	02-13 11:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 10:30 UTC	6	$45	36	34	+2	Up	+$7	02-12 10:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 14:30 UTC	2	$45	39	38	+1	Down	+$5	02-11 14:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 13:15 UTC	4	$45	40	40	+0	Up	+$21	02-11 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$44	52	0	+52	Down	+$8	11-04 14:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 10:10 UTC	6	$44	40	40	+0	Up	+$6	02-12 10:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 01:30 UTC	6	$43	30	30	+0	Up	+$12	02-12 01:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 07:59:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa3f973…
11-07 06:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x4d6c3e…
11-07 04:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xe99682…
11-07 04:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	49	84¢	$41	0x82a7f4…
11-07 03:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xa52d41…
11-07 03:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x68b64c…
11-07 03:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x6d6eaf…
11-07 02:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	41	96¢	$40	0x8b9ece…
11-07 00:28:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xf6b004…
11-07 00:28:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x479874…
11-06 13:12:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x6e2526…
11-06 10:28:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0xf25687…
11-06 10:28:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0x332e5a…
11-06 03:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0x4ceffc…
11-06 02:28:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x3c9192…
11-06 02:28:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x342fa8…
11-05 15:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0xd21313…
11-05 15:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x3b9fdb…
11-05 13:57:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xef1f26…
11-05 09:28:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	86¢	$16	0x805d9d…
11-05 05:28:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	90¢	$16	0xde4cd0…
11-05 05:28:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x0c9cf1…
11-05 02:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x4aa9fa…
11-05 02:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0xac3ece…
11-05 01:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x1a9b76…
11-05 01:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	37	92¢	$34	0x3ca9e3…
11-04 14:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	85¢	$13	0xfc726a…
11-04 14:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	85¢	$31	0x8b76bf…
11-04 13:58:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	88¢	$10	0x7131d4…
11-04 13:58:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x024eba…
11-04 13:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0xa976fd…
11-04 12:43:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x2f0620…
11-04 12:43:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x2d6410…
11-04 09:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	89¢	$26	0x54f9eb…
11-04 03:56:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x18d3f7…
11-04 03:43:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x80a0d1…
11-04 03:43:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x734779…
11-04 02:26:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0xd20f14…
11-04 01:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	86¢	$23	0x327cb8…
11-03 14:12:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa0d883…
11-03 14:12:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x257bf8…
11-03 12:43:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x7df42f…
11-03 12:43:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x3f5d62…
11-03 11:28:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x89b05c…
11-03 11:28:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd28eeb…
11-03 07:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xca60bb…
11-03 02:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0x5c47d6…
11-03 02:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x55ea16…
11-03 00:43:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xc2dda7…
11-03 00:43:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x296aa3…
11-02 19:12:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x57c3e6…
11-02 14:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0xe5984c…
11-02 07:28:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x3324b8…
11-02 05:10:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xc6d5e5…
11-02 04:27:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x504dfa…
11-02 03:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$21	0x001e48…
11-02 03:43:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x6d51a6…
11-02 02:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0x7c5aeb…
11-02 02:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	88¢	$17	0xda4c85…
11-01 09:55:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0x76e07e…
11-01 09:10:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-01 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0x7cc200…
11-01 02:13:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x9d6302…
11-01 00:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0x8ceac6…
10-31 10:57:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x02c590…
10-31 10:11:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0x3413a3…
10-30 13:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0x8a5ffd…
10-30 12:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0xbd4d6b…
10-30 12:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x67b22d…
10-30 09:55:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$2	0xb26729…
10-30 08:26:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xbe5b5d…
10-30 07:27:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0x532509…
10-30 04:13:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x379c7b…
10-30 01:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf2771e…
10-30 01:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe6b25b…
10-30 01:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x0f69b7…
10-30 00:11:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x7239d7…
10-29 12:11:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0x5bfc1d…
10-29 11:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x307e82…
10-29 11:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xdfa455…
10-29 09:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	81¢	$14	0x0c1f0a…
10-29 06:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x0d1982…
10-29 06:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x7b0fbc…
10-29 06:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x4c39c6…
10-29 00:13:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x97f252…
10-28 15:58:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xc15391…
10-28 13:56:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xa2a4f6…
10-28 12:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xeb209e…
10-28 12:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xcdc907…
10-28 11:55:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x45542e…
10-28 10:44:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xde8191…
10-28 09:12:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x355fcc…
10-28 07:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$8	0x22e9a2…
10-28 07:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x192073…
10-28 04:56:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$2	0x6e34f4…
10-28 04:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x09012a…
10-28 04:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x6b0ffe…
10-28 02:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0x5de9fc…
10-28 02:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x8cf5f4…
10-28 02:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x57f1d6…
10-28 02:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x0b0643…