Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$862

Unrealized P&L

-$46

Hit rate

69.6%

Resolved

318

Trades

664

lifetime

Volume

$18.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$142

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 10-31 17:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Other

39% 28% -$868

Politics

30% 27% -$266

Sports

21% 63% +$375

Crypto

7% 30% -$95

Pop-Culture

2% 25% -$10

Tech

1% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+800	$88	10¢	$80	-$8	10-31 17:46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes		+194	$100	32¢	$62	-$38	10-31 17:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?	2	$684	588	588	+0	No	+$204	09-08 21:39
nba orl dal 2026 04 03	4	$543	327	324	+3	Magic	+$82	04-04 02:28
cs2 prv mnte 2026 03 04	8	$535	2,552	502	+2,050	Monte	+$61	03-04 16:26
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	9	$458	2,348	2,348	+0	No	+$88	06-12 19:50
nba bos mia 2026 04 01	2	$448	281	278	+3	Celtics	+$91	04-02 00:50
will starmer say iran during the next prime ministers questions event	2	$395	205	205	+0	Yes	+$14	03-11 12:16
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	2	$378	254	254	+0	Yes	+$125	09-06 22:03
nba tor det 2026 03 31	3	$305	218	215	+3	Pistons	+$46	04-01 01:45
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	8	$277	821	821	+0	No	-$162	04-12 21:36
ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 btts	3	$275	206	206	+0	Yes	+$76	03-11 19:34
atp alcaraz rinderk 2026 03 09	2	$266	137	137	+0	Carlos Alcaraz	+$6	03-10 04:02
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	2	$258	131	131	+0	Yes	+$3	03-03 19:43
will trump say iran during meetings with chancellor merz	2	$245	128	128	+0	Yes	+$10	03-03 17:53
atp collari barrena 2026 03 09	2	$240	126	126	+0	Andrea Collarini	+$9	03-09 18:25
lal rea get 2026 03 02 get	2	$233	117	117	+0	Yes	+$1	03-02 22:10
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	2	$227	118	118	+0	No	+$5	03-02 22:00
nba den okc 2026 03 09	3	$227	190	140	+50	Thunder	+$39	03-10 02:04
will iran strike israel on march 10	8	$224	612	142	+470	Yes	+$2	03-14 00:24
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	2	$221	388	388	+0	open	—	09-15 15:08
uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 tur	3	$220	159	156	+2	Yes	+$64	03-31 20:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	8	$217	337	143	+194	open	—	10-31 17:49
nba min phi 2026 04 03	3	$213	164	162	+2	76ers	+$15	04-04 01:56
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 28	2	$212	111	111	+0	No	+$8	03-01 07:07
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	3	$206	190	190	+0	Yes	+$54	09-05 16:00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$204	146	146	+0	Yes	-$57	03-04 11:55
will mrbeasts next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3	2	$202	104	104	+0	Yes	+$2	03-10 14:56
will trump say oil during kentucky visit	3	$200	110	110	+0	Yes	-$2	03-11 19:10
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	2	$200	159	159	+0	Yes	+$0	06-13 17:29
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	2	$195	226	226	+0	No	-$5	10-25 14:25
will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	2	$188	147	147	+0	Yes	-$9	08-23 20:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 17:49:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0x7790ee…
10-31 17:46:28	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	11¢	$88	0x3dc6c9…
10-30 19:50:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xd0ebfc…
10-30 12:08:58	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	52	37¢	$19	0xfca8ea…
10-30 02:18:03	Canucks vs. Sharks	Sharks	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x724d52…
10-30 02:14:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	103	48¢	$50	0x4d4026…
10-29 17:43:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	122	42¢	$51	0x78bb04…
10-29 15:53:26	Brest: Clement Tabur vs Toby Samuel	Toby Samuel	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x11e036…
10-29 15:52:35	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	SELL	994	1¢	$6	0xf94f68…
10-29 12:27:32	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	994	1¢	$8	0x4886b1…
10-29 12:27:16	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	21	37¢	$8	0xd6744b…
10-29 12:06:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x2a0118…
10-29 02:51:17	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	20	58¢	$11	0x3e9789…
10-28 21:44:34	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	92	61¢	$56	0x5ff014…
10-28 21:44:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	115	49¢	$56	0x000e0b…
10-27 17:44:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	115	24¢	$28	0x3384fe…
10-27 17:44:09	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	75	36¢	$27	0xe07c23…
10-27 15:38:12	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	75	36¢	$27	0x53e05b…
10-25 23:31:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	388	7¢	$26	0x2689ae…
10-25 23:29:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	89	6¢	$6	0xb06b65…
10-25 23:28:42	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	1,167	0¢	$5	0x668a8d…
10-25 20:48:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	31	63¢	$20	0xb026c5…
10-25 20:37:05	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	345	3¢	$10	0xf59a10…
10-25 20:36:35	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	580	4¢	$23	0xae7607…
10-25 14:26:05	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	243	41¢	$99	0x07ea06…
10-25 14:25:48	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	226	42¢	$95	0xb08d57…
10-25 14:25:35	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x079ae1…
10-25 14:09:17	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc25a6f…
10-25 14:08:20	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	226	44¢	$100	0x750dd7…
10-21 12:32:23	Counter-Strike: PRIVATE vs fnatic (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs	fnatic	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x15d3b9…
10-21 12:31:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	106	3¢	$4	0x9de209…
10-19 16:27:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	106	28¢	$30	0xfb3ac1…
10-19 16:23:17	Paris curfew by October 21?	Yes	SELL	65	48¢	$31	0x571b84…
10-19 11:25:12	Paris curfew by October 21?	Yes	BUY	65	32¢	$21	0x66a921…
10-19 11:22:45	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	227	10¢	$22	0x83a282…
10-18 15:56:29	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	227	10¢	$23	0xee940a…
10-18 15:56:05	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	SELL	763	3¢	$23	0x5b0d2a…
10-16 18:16:53	us imports russian diesel by october 31	Yes	BUY	552	2¢	$10	0x0e5a22…
10-16 15:44:33	atp trungel passaro 2026 10 16	Francesco Passaro	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x148569…
10-16 15:43:25	us imports russian diesel by october 31	Yes	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0x4623fd…
10-16 15:41:10	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	1,074	1¢	$6	0xf5b2e8…
10-10 23:58:28	Pistons vs. Wizards	Pistons	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x956c33…
10-10 23:57:49	Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 15?	No	SELL	35	11¢	$4	0xdca217…
10-10 23:09:07	Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 15?	No	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0xa1b704…
10-10 23:08:31	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xb32349…
10-10 22:37:39	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x1de632…
10-10 22:28:27	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	107	47¢	$50	0xb4c512…
10-10 22:21:13	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	Yes	SELL	128	42¢	$54	0x176278…
10-10 22:02:37	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	Yes	BUY	58	46¢	$27	0xe4552e…
10-10 22:00:13	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	Yes	SELL	70	40¢	$28	0xf037a9…
10-10 19:58:31	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	Yes	BUY	140	34¢	$48	0xc4ec1e…
10-10 19:56:51	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	139	1¢	$2	0x9685cb…
10-10 15:15:03	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0x14dfc6…
10-10 15:14:36	Will FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	27	45¢	$12	0x67bedc…
10-10 15:09:25	Will FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x6854a1…
10-10 15:07:30	Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	35	42¢	$15	0x0f5801…
10-10 14:16:46	Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	35	20¢	$7	0xc80f36…
10-10 02:39:54	Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces	Las Vegas Aces	BUY	60	79¢	$48	0x53f298…
10-09 03:20:18	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x874cfe…
10-08 19:07:06	Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 90 and 119 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	No	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0x8b0e43…
10-07 22:25:01	Will Ronaldo post about Messi by October 7?	No	BUY	2,035	1¢	$17	0xccaa20…
10-07 18:23:18	Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 90 and 119 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	No	BUY	95	51¢	$48	0xe11236…
10-07 14:47:34	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier	Holger Rune	BUY	42	53¢	$22	0xa0af66…
09-25 00:07:50	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	9	60¢	$6	0x2511ca…
09-24 21:36:33	Will Elon Musk attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	265	19¢	$50	0x2363e8…
09-20 15:43:01	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd904d7…
09-20 14:04:57	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xea637a…
09-20 02:43:55	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc2b752…
09-20 02:42:51	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	274	1¢	$2	0xb5742c…
09-15 15:13:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	269	13¢	$35	0x87eb05…
09-15 15:08:34	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	388	22¢	$87	0xffb200…
09-10 20:39:33	Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc3159a…
09-09 10:56:42	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	388	35¢	$134	0x1a3171…
09-08 21:39:42	Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?	No	SELL	588	76¢	$444	0x08f658…
09-08 12:25:48	Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?	No	BUY	588	41¢	$240	0x6c8476…
09-07 22:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x93be88…
09-06 22:03:58	Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	Yes	SELL	254	99¢	$252	0xb19826…
09-06 03:25:34	lacy and marlon beat gaming challenge by september 7 2026 1159 pm et	Yes	BUY	254	50¢	$127	0x5a8fc6…
09-05 16:00:34	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	SELL	110	72¢	$79	0x98b5c8…
09-05 02:11:03	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	SELL	80	64¢	$51	0x11ee1c…
09-04 21:39:25	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	190	40¢	$76	0x6803d6…
09-04 20:39:07	will steve witkoff visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126051	No	SELL	202	4¢	$7	0x30c315…
09-04 20:38:43	atp bublik paul 2026 09 04	Tommy Paul	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x6e748f…
09-04 18:45:34	atp bublik paul 2026 09 04	Tommy Paul	BUY	69	52¢	$36	0xf57b6c…
09-04 18:00:00	wta pegula fernand 2026 09 04	Jessica Pegula	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x2d53ad…
09-04 16:36:39	wta pegula fernand 2026 09 04	Jessica Pegula	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xcf6fd7…
09-04 16:34:55	will steve witkoff visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126051	No	BUY	202	5¢	$10	0x7404df…
09-04 16:32:25	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	274	3¢	$8	0x0bae25…
08-27 16:39:16	Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 20 minutes long?	No	SELL	419	0¢	$1	0x028731…
08-26 11:33:30	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 25 minutes long	No	BUY	76	39¢	$29	0x6e4e4d…
08-26 11:31:45	Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 20 minutes long?	No	BUY	419	12¢	$50	0xbdee47…
08-23 20:04:39	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	147	61¢	$90	0x27b853…
08-21 11:19:33	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	147	67¢	$98	0xc1f8a9…
08-21 01:59:04	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	112	90¢	$100	0xa67eab…
08-20 23:16:30	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	112	67¢	$75	0x5f04e4…
08-20 11:21:04	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 31	No	SELL	556	13¢	$72	0x19ae72…
08-19 02:54:40	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 31	No	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x9d1ff2…
07-14 19:42:32	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	108	20¢	$22	0x7cd52e…
07-09 19:59:44	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	353	12¢	$42	0x5b48a1…
07-06 15:45:02	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	859	6¢	$55	0x5914f9…