Menacing-Ebook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$75

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.4%

Resolved

Trades

132

lifetime

Volume

$210

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-04 00:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 29% $-75

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$5	31	+31	Down	$-5	05-06 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	7	$5	83	+83	Down	$-5	05-06 20:49
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Up	+$2	05-06 20:09
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	+$1	05-06 20:04
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	+$1	05-06 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-06 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$4	71	+71	Down	$-4	05-06 20:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$4	42	+42	Down	$-4	05-06 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$3	62	+62	Down	$-3	05-06 20:45
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	05-06 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$3	30	+30	Up	$-3	05-13 22:49
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$3	19	+19	Up	$-3	05-08 13:24
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$3	38	+38	Up	$-3	05-13 22:49
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$3	19	+19	Up	$-3	05-13 23:24
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$3	19	+19	Down	$-3	05-13 23:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Down	+$3	05-13 23:49
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	5	$3	30	+30	Down	$-3	05-08 13:44
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$3	8	+8	Up	$-3	05-13 23:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$3	9	+9	Down	$-3	05-08 13:24
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$3	10	+10	Up	$-3	05-13 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Up	+$3	05-12 22:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	3	$3	27	+27	Down	$-3	05-13 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	+$2	05-06 17:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Up	$-3	05-14 00:49
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Up	$-3	05-13 23:29
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	+$2	05-06 18:14
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$3	8	+8	Down	$-3	05-14 00:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Down	$-3	05-08 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$3	8	+8	Up	$-3	05-08 13:49
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$3	14	+14	Down	$-3	05-13 23:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 00:09:52	btc updown 5m 1780531500	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x36cec5…
06-03 18:34:52	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xedb2a4…
06-03 16:34:54	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x96f965…
06-03 16:34:52	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x52aa10…
06-03 13:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x517567…
06-03 06:59:54	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xa0c798…
06-03 05:19:55	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x70cb46…
06-03 05:19:55	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x264563…
06-03 05:19:53	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x86f66f…
06-02 23:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x89c0d5…
06-02 20:39:54	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x93576c…
06-02 17:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0xe99b84…
06-02 09:59:54	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	12¢	$0	0xb53a4e…
06-02 09:09:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xcb66da…
06-02 00:04:52	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xd3a080…
06-01 22:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x051f21…
06-01 03:09:53	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x1a47ee…
06-01 02:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x1529f0…
06-01 02:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xf07339…
05-31 02:34:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x23c6b5…
05-30 09:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x6f0372…
05-30 09:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x39bb68…
05-30 09:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x10638d…
05-30 09:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x040cee…
05-29 09:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	12¢	$2	0xa65ac5…
05-26 06:24:54	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x605a28…
05-25 19:19:56	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xeda7cc…
05-14 00:49:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x0b8d00…
05-14 00:19:53	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xb45bcf…
05-14 00:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x52fb0b…
05-13 23:49:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xadf109…
05-13 23:44:55	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x3fed5a…
05-13 23:39:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xba58c9…
05-13 23:39:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x87c99b…
05-13 23:39:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x6aefa3…
05-13 23:29:53	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x44ec09…
05-13 23:29:53	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0x393ed9…
05-13 23:24:54	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x5774a4…
05-13 23:24:52	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xcbd5a6…
05-13 23:19:53	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xc4ec6a…
05-13 23:14:56	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xd6a4d7…
05-13 23:14:54	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x377d43…
05-13 22:49:54	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	32	8¢	$3	0x72914e…
05-13 22:49:54	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x71e83c…
05-13 22:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x3963ae…
05-13 12:54:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x9d5f97…
05-13 12:54:54	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4dc98f…
05-13 12:54:54	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x47ffc2…
05-13 12:54:52	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x83ee0a…
05-12 22:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xb1ccfd…
05-08 13:54:53	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0x0ce64b…
05-08 13:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x1e396c…
05-08 13:44:54	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x4dc9af…
05-08 13:44:54	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x14ad3a…
05-08 13:44:54	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x04f5ea…
05-08 13:44:52	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xb99324…
05-08 13:44:52	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x70aa52…
05-08 13:44:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x65eca6…
05-08 13:24:54	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x9657d2…
05-08 13:24:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0x850c3d…
05-08 13:24:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x7f50dd…
05-08 13:24:52	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x7ade64…
05-08 13:04:54	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x63858d…
05-08 13:04:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x62e216…
05-08 00:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x04ee95…
05-08 00:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xc8ef96…
05-07 23:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xcaa7a0…
05-07 22:59:54	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xec41fb…
05-07 22:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xaa1969…
05-07 22:09:53	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5e9b3f…
05-07 21:34:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x4283a2…
05-07 20:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xa17f21…
05-07 20:29:56	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xfaee9b…
05-07 20:09:54	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xc41696…
05-07 20:09:54	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x7072a1…
05-07 18:19:54	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x19e105…
05-07 18:14:53	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xfc69b9…
05-07 18:09:54	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x60452d…
05-07 16:14:54	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x093970…
05-07 16:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xc205cf…
05-07 16:09:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x770c8c…
05-07 16:09:53	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x1ee1c4…
05-07 16:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x92db76…
05-07 15:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xa56001…
05-07 15:54:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x34140f…
05-07 15:54:53	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x17f463…
05-07 15:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xc10a97…
05-07 15:39:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0xa6f47f…
05-07 14:09:53	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x1e7442…
05-07 13:24:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x8fbb12…
05-07 12:59:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	6¢	$2	0x159dc6…
05-07 12:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xd7e6b5…
05-07 12:44:52	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x6de545…
05-07 12:34:54	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x70466f…
05-07 12:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x3130bf…
05-07 11:54:58	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xe28c49…
05-07 11:54:58	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xaae963…
05-07 11:54:58	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x933f8e…
05-07 11:54:53	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xb8db67…
05-07 11:44:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x6bceae…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	95	$10.9K	909	06-04 00:10
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	95	$9.87K	4,764	06-04 00:09
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	95	$7.49K	1,052	06-04 00:09
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	91	$3.08K	778	06-04 00:09
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	88	$26.5K	2,065	06-02 23:59
Weird-Peak 0x9f5f…a008	81	$10.7K	1,604	06-04 00:09
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	79	$32.0K	4,589	06-04 00:09
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	79	$9.92K	2,248	06-04 00:09