Truthful-Pew — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$21.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$435

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 06-06 15:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

45% 0% —

Politics

43% 100% +$8

Sports

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	4	$4.4K	2,257	2,257	+0	No	+$3	03-19 00:24
f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	3	$2.4K	1,237	1,237	+0	open	—	03-18 11:24
will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	3	$2.3K	1,209	1,209	+0	open	—	03-18 05:24
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	4	$2.3K	1,233	1,232	+1	No	+$5	03-18 13:26
will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	5	$2.3K	1,287	1,287	+0	open	—	03-18 23:39
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	2	$2.3K	1,236	1,236	+0	open	—	03-18 21:57
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$2.3K	1,176	1,176	+0	No	+$0	03-18 22:31
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	6	$2.2K	1,142	1,142	+0	open	—	03-18 21:26
will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	2	$231	123	123	+0	open	—	03-18 10:03
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$206	1,562	1,562	+0	open	—	03-18 21:45
will venezuela win the 2026 world baseball classic	1	$107	152	0	+152	open	—	03-17 14:54
will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	4	$72	593	589	+4	open	—	03-19 00:41
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 spread away 1pt5	1	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	03-17 16:01
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	3	$27	445	445	+0	open	—	03-18 12:09
ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 lev	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	03-17 15:43
Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 4.5	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	06-06 15:08
itsb spe emp 2026 03 17 spread away 1pt5	1	$16	18	0	+18	open	—	03-17 15:36
Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	05-31 13:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 15:08:36	Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x81afb7…
05-31 13:45:54	Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)	Cruzeiro EC	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x84805d…
03-19 00:41:53	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	No	SELL	589	6¢	$37	0x68479c…
03-19 00:33:05	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	No	BUY	68	6¢	$4	0xe8ee04…
03-19 00:33:05	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	No	BUY	264	6¢	$16	0xa01489…
03-19 00:33:05	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	No	BUY	261	6¢	$16	0x51096f…
03-19 00:24:25	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	1,145	98¢	$1,118	0x0c1dfc…
03-19 00:17:23	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	1,145	97¢	$1,115	0x6e28c3…
03-18 23:54:41	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	1,112	98¢	$1,084	0xd442bc…
03-18 23:45:23	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	1,112	97¢	$1,083	0x52f905…
03-18 23:39:39	will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	503	90¢	$455	0xea365d…
03-18 23:39:39	will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	784	90¢	$710	0xddf781…
03-18 23:29:57	will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x65f69b…
03-18 23:29:55	will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	865	90¢	$781	0xe6c253…
03-18 23:29:55	will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	401	90¢	$362	0x13b2ce…
03-18 22:31:23	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	753	97¢	$729	0xc5ca09…
03-18 22:31:23	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	423	97¢	$409	0xa3004a…
03-18 22:23:45	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	1,176	97¢	$1,138	0xbdd33d…
03-18 21:57:11	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	1,236	94¢	$1,159	0x102906…
03-18 21:51:37	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	1,236	93¢	$1,154	0x929324…
03-18 21:45:29	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	39	7¢	$3	0x603e3b…
03-18 21:45:29	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,523	7¢	$101	0x452e63…
03-18 21:36:13	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	571	7¢	$38	0xa56758…
03-18 21:36:13	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	991	7¢	$65	0x69d363…
03-18 21:26:13	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	SELL	116	98¢	$113	0xdf9ee2…
03-18 21:26:13	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	SELL	405	98¢	$396	0x5edea5…
03-18 21:26:13	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	SELL	621	98¢	$607	0x0055c1…
03-18 21:20:19	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	BUY	592	98¢	$577	0xe8d1ba…
03-18 21:20:19	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	98¢	$141	0x3aff49…
03-18 21:20:19	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	BUY	405	98¢	$395	0x274e66…
03-18 13:26:19	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	SELL	1,171	95¢	$1,108	0xc6b5a9…
03-18 13:26:19	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	SELL	61	95¢	$58	0x1124a1…
03-18 13:17:53	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	BUY	377	94¢	$355	0x864a3d…
03-18 13:17:53	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	BUY	856	94¢	$806	0x341e70…
03-18 12:09:35	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	SELL	445	3¢	$13	0x9cbd86…
03-18 12:00:37	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	BUY	371	3¢	$12	0xbfca33…
03-18 12:00:19	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0xd0874a…
03-18 11:24:47	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	No	SELL	1,237	97¢	$1,200	0x1a0920…
03-18 10:03:41	will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	SELL	123	94¢	$116	0xc897f0…
03-18 09:57:37	will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	BUY	123	94¢	$115	0x7d0a27…
03-18 06:56:31	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	No	BUY	694	96¢	$663	0x1321f1…
03-18 06:56:31	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	No	BUY	543	96¢	$519	0x088720…
03-18 05:24:31	will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	SELL	1,209	97¢	$1,169	0xdadd2a…
03-18 05:17:45	will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	BUY	218	97¢	$211	0xc77a54…
03-18 05:17:45	will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	BUY	991	97¢	$958	0x2fd7ef…
03-17 16:01:09	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 spread away 1pt5	Manchester City FC	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x841392…
03-17 15:43:37	ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 lev	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x6b9fe2…
03-17 15:36:25	itsb spe emp 2026 03 17 spread away 1pt5	Spezia Calcio	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0xab90b8…
03-17 14:54:17	will venezuela win the 2026 world baseball classic	No	BUY	152	70¢	$107	0x1b2e84…