Stimulating-Moonlight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$60

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

66.2%

Resolved

Trades

168

lifetime

Volume

$4.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 07-02 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 50% $-57

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+117	$14	11¢	$12	$-2	07-02 16:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1782866400	5	$546	510	325	+185	open	—	07-01 00:44
btc updown 5m 1782866100	4	$419	280	280	+0	open	—	07-01 00:36
btc updown 5m 1782867300	4	$416	277	277	+0	open	—	07-01 00:57
btc updown 5m 1782867000	4	$413	299	299	+0	open	—	07-01 00:51
btc updown 5m 1782865800	2	$250	179	179	+0	open	—	07-01 00:30
btc updown 5m 1782868500	2	$237	139	139	+0	open	—	07-01 01:20
btc updown 5m 1782867900	2	$235	161	161	+0	open	—	07-01 01:05
btc updown 5m 1782868800	3	$207	222	222	+0	open	—	07-01 01:23
btc updown 5m 1782899400	3	$151	186	45	+141	open	—	07-01 09:51
btc updown 5m 1782866700	1	$100	201	0	+201	open	—	07-01 00:45
btc updown 5m 1782868200	1	$100	204	0	+204	open	—	07-01 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$90	51	51	+0	Up	+$6	05-06 21:39
btc updown 5m 1782909000	5	$77	53	36	+17	open	—	07-01 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$70	108	108	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 21:49
btc updown 5m 1781654100	2	$67	42	42	+0	open	—	06-17 00:00
btc updown 5m 1782865500	2	$64	56	56	+0	open	—	07-01 00:25
btc updown 5m 1781648700	3	$63	33	33	+0	open	—	06-16 22:30
btc updown 5m 1781651400	2	$61	36	36	+0	open	—	06-16 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$61	43	43	+0	Down	+$13	05-06 21:43
btc updown 5m 1781652000	2	$59	35	35	+0	open	—	06-16 23:25
btc updown 5m 1782865200	2	$58	37	37	+0	open	—	07-01 00:22
btc updown 5m 1781650800	2	$54	29	29	+0	open	—	06-16 23:05
btc updown 5m 1781653500	2	$54	29	29	+0	open	—	06-16 23:50
eth updown 5m 1782837300	2	$53	49	44	+5	open	—	06-30 16:38
btc updown 5m 1781647800	2	$52	27	27	+0	open	—	06-16 22:15
eth updown 5m 1782838200	2	$52	27	27	+0	open	—	06-30 16:55
eth updown 5m 1782846900	1	$50	116	0	+116	open	—	06-30 19:17
btc updown 5m 1781656500	2	$50	80	0	+80	open	—	06-17 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	5	$36	29	22	+7	Down	$-4	05-07 07:52
btc updown 5m 1782908700	3	$35	37	0	+37	open	—	07-01 12:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 16:00:23	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	12¢	$14	0xe5c132…
07-02 12:22:40	btc updown 5m 1782994800	Up	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0x6acbd4…
07-02 12:22:22	btc updown 5m 1782994800	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xba2f19…
07-02 12:22:22	btc updown 5m 1782994800	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x6536cf…
07-01 12:36:13	btc updown 5m 1782909300	Up	SELL	27	53¢	$14	0xd56aa4…
07-01 12:36:08	btc updown 5m 1782909300	Up	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xc296c7…
07-01 12:34:32	btc updown 5m 1782909000	Down	SELL	18	98¢	$17	0xe312df…
07-01 12:34:02	btc updown 5m 1782909000	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xa6254c…
07-01 12:32:52	btc updown 5m 1782909000	Down	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x3f2fb5…
07-01 12:31:04	btc updown 5m 1782909000	Down	SELL	18	84¢	$15	0x758ce7…
07-01 12:30:55	btc updown 5m 1782909000	Down	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xa2c8f8…
07-01 12:29:58	btc updown 5m 1782908700	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd823c2…
07-01 12:29:58	btc updown 5m 1782908700	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x850367…
07-01 12:29:50	btc updown 5m 1782908700	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x598429…
07-01 09:51:41	btc updown 5m 1782899400	Up	SELL	45	58¢	$26	0x3cd1eb…
07-01 09:51:14	btc updown 5m 1782899400	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xb8ffd5…
07-01 09:50:37	btc updown 5m 1782899400	Down	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xea0963…
07-01 01:23:52	btc updown 5m 1782868800	Down	SELL	111	46¢	$51	0x36a7cb…
07-01 01:21:56	btc updown 5m 1782868800	Down	SELL	111	50¢	$55	0xec11df…
07-01 01:21:14	btc updown 5m 1782868800	Down	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x1e1e36…
07-01 01:20:46	btc updown 5m 1782868500	Up	SELL	139	99¢	$137	0x7fb9e7…
07-01 01:16:05	btc updown 5m 1782868500	Up	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x619031…
07-01 01:10:19	btc updown 5m 1782868200	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x4a81d5…
07-01 01:05:25	btc updown 5m 1782867900	Down	SELL	161	84¢	$135	0x0b40db…
07-01 01:05:14	btc updown 5m 1782867900	Down	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xb23efe…
07-01 00:57:08	btc updown 5m 1782867300	Up	SELL	128	84¢	$108	0x8c7c47…
07-01 00:56:08	btc updown 5m 1782867300	Up	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x61c561…
07-01 00:55:37	btc updown 5m 1782867300	Up	SELL	149	73¢	$109	0x21e384…
07-01 00:55:25	btc updown 5m 1782867300	Up	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xc0e197…
07-01 00:51:50	btc updown 5m 1782867000	Up	SELL	127	79¢	$100	0xbb3044…
07-01 00:51:41	btc updown 5m 1782867000	Up	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xbc5eb3…
07-01 00:51:02	btc updown 5m 1782867000	Up	SELL	172	66¢	$113	0x686cfb…
07-01 00:50:22	btc updown 5m 1782867000	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x9f9d9e…
07-01 00:45:16	btc updown 5m 1782866700	Down	BUY	201	50¢	$100	0x487a23…
07-01 00:44:04	btc updown 5m 1782866400	Up	SELL	137	91¢	$125	0xa66847…
07-01 00:43:40	btc updown 5m 1782866400	Up	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x92546d…
07-01 00:42:26	btc updown 5m 1782866400	Up	SELL	189	64¢	$121	0xfdc042…
07-01 00:41:53	btc updown 5m 1782866400	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x898c73…
07-01 00:40:35	btc updown 5m 1782866400	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x608b4f…
07-01 00:36:23	btc updown 5m 1782866100	Down	SELL	127	78¢	$99	0xfc2e24…
07-01 00:36:11	btc updown 5m 1782866100	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xd4a4e2…
07-01 00:35:53	btc updown 5m 1782866100	Down	SELL	154	78¢	$120	0x8be295…
07-01 00:35:17	btc updown 5m 1782866100	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xb255c4…
07-01 00:30:55	btc updown 5m 1782865800	Up	SELL	179	84¢	$150	0x9f77e4…
07-01 00:30:13	btc updown 5m 1782865800	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x9725de…
07-01 00:25:56	btc updown 5m 1782865500	Down	SELL	56	71¢	$39	0x13280b…
07-01 00:25:23	btc updown 5m 1782865500	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x8d0172…
07-01 00:22:01	btc updown 5m 1782865200	Down	SELL	37	89¢	$33	0x0de1bd…
07-01 00:21:49	btc updown 5m 1782865200	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xe79da7…
06-30 19:17:25	eth updown 5m 1782846900	Up	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x86babb…
06-30 17:00:13	eth updown 5m 1782838500	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0xe527f1…
06-30 16:57:11	eth updown 5m 1782838500	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x9f0561…
06-30 16:55:17	eth updown 5m 1782838200	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xa19a67…
06-30 16:54:02	eth updown 5m 1782838200	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xd23d38…
06-30 16:38:49	eth updown 5m 1782837300	Up	SELL	44	65¢	$28	0xa39afd…
06-30 16:38:41	eth updown 5m 1782837300	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xd50e2a…
06-30 16:33:43	eth updown 5m 1782837000	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x55edd0…
06-30 16:29:11	eth updown 5m 1782836700	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x322671…
06-30 16:21:47	eth updown 5m 1782836400	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x3756bc…
06-30 16:18:34	eth updown 5m 1782836100	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xbaaa31…
06-30 16:18:02	sol updown 5m 1782836100	Down	SELL	19	20¢	$4	0x01724a…
06-30 16:17:59	sol updown 5m 1782836100	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x89d7ed…
06-30 16:15:59	btc updown 5m 1782836100	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xe3a9de…
06-30 16:11:20	btc updown 5m 1782835800	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xabdcb7…
06-17 07:01:01	btc updown 5m 1781679600	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa64da2…
06-17 06:31:19	btc updown 5m 1781677800	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x50a102…
06-17 00:49:08	btc updown 5m 1781657100	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x0e708a…
06-17 00:39:07	btc updown 5m 1781656500	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x6f4b3a…
06-17 00:37:11	btc updown 5m 1781656500	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x6a8a38…
06-17 00:00:19	btc updown 5m 1781654100	Up	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x376426…
06-16 23:59:26	btc updown 5m 1781654100	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x094df4…
06-16 23:50:23	btc updown 5m 1781653500	Down	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x2f68fa…
06-16 23:48:28	btc updown 5m 1781653500	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xd18e0a…
06-16 23:42:55	btc updown 5m 1781653200	Up	BUY	312	8¢	$25	0x010785…
06-16 23:37:44	btc updown 5m 1781652900	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xb023ca…
06-16 23:25:10	btc updown 5m 1781652000	Down	SELL	35	99¢	$34	0xfaa68d…
06-16 23:22:25	btc updown 5m 1781652000	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x8ed272…
06-16 23:15:23	btc updown 5m 1781651400	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xc1034e…
06-16 23:14:01	btc updown 5m 1781651400	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x56481c…
06-16 23:05:25	btc updown 5m 1781650800	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x79c687…
06-16 23:01:01	btc updown 5m 1781650800	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xf5aa7e…
06-16 22:45:20	btc updown 5m 1781649600	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0xe0108c…
06-16 22:40:35	btc updown 5m 1781649600	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x51897c…
06-16 22:35:46	btc updown 5m 1781649300	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x815945…
06-16 22:35:28	btc updown 5m 1781649000	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x631876…
06-16 22:31:07	btc updown 5m 1781649000	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x465799…
06-16 22:30:11	btc updown 5m 1781648700	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x6ebf3f…
06-16 22:29:08	btc updown 5m 1781648700	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x14d223…
06-16 22:25:53	btc updown 5m 1781648700	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x587aa7…
06-16 22:20:16	btc updown 5m 1781648100	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xbb7de0…
06-16 22:18:22	btc updown 5m 1781648100	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x290248…
06-16 22:15:22	btc updown 5m 1781647800	Up	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xbd0f87…
06-16 22:11:25	btc updown 5m 1781647800	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x42459a…
05-07 09:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1f5c4b…
05-07 09:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x54d191…
05-07 09:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x97cd00…
05-07 09:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcc1923…
05-07 09:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x14959d…
05-07 09:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb3fef6…
05-07 08:51:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xca9cd4…