Stimulating-Moonlight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$117

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved

142

Trades

349

lifetime

Volume

$6.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 08-31 13:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 57% -$312

Other

24% 53% +$198

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 00:40 UTC	5	$546	510	325	+185	Up	-$54	07-01 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 00:35 UTC	4	$419	280	280	+0	Down	+$19	07-01 00:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 00:55 UTC	4	$416	277	277	+0	Up	+$16	07-01 00:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 00:50 UTC	4	$413	299	299	+0	Up	+$13	07-01 00:51
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	3	$393	303	303	+0	Yes	+$213	06-30 19:03
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	2	$302	176	176	+0	Yes	+$49	07-07 18:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 00:30 UTC	2	$250	179	179	+0	Up	+$50	07-01 00:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 01:15 UTC	2	$237	139	139	+0	Up	+$38	07-01 01:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 01:05 UTC	2	$235	161	161	+0	Down	+$35	07-01 01:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 01:20 UTC	3	$207	222	222	+0	Down	+$7	07-01 01:23
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	3	$174	128	128	+0	Yes	+$82	07-07 02:02
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	1	$172	410	0	+410	No	-$172	07-07 18:30
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	2	$153	333	333	+0	No	-$7	07-07 21:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 09:50 UTC	3	$151	186	45	+141	Up	-$99	07-01 09:51
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	2	$145	105	105	+0	Yes	+$65	07-06 03:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 00:45 UTC	1	$100	201	0	+201	Up	-$100	07-01 00:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 01:10 UTC	1	$100	204	0	+204	Down	-$100	07-01 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$90	51	51	+0	Up	+$6	05-06 21:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 14:40 UTC	9	$84	90	78	+12	Down	+$20	08-22 14:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 12:30 UTC	5	$77	53	36	+17	Down	-$13	07-01 12:34
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	1	$71	132	0	+132	Switzerland	-$71	07-07 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$70	108	108	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 21:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:55 UTC	2	$67	42	42	+0	Up	+$17	06-17 00:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 00:25 UTC	2	$64	56	56	+0	Down	+$14	07-01 00:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 22:25 UTC	3	$63	33	33	+0	Up	+$3	06-16 22:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:10 UTC	2	$61	36	36	+0	Down	+$11	06-16 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$61	43	43	+0	Down	+$13	05-06 21:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:20 UTC	2	$59	35	35	+0	Down	+$9	06-16 23:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 00:20 UTC	2	$58	37	37	+0	Down	+$8	07-01 00:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:00 UTC	2	$54	29	29	+0	Up	+$4	06-16 23:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 13:23:09	cs2 g2 aur1 2026 08 31	Aurora Gaming	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x5fe104…
08-31 13:15:42	cs2 g2 aur1 2026 08 31	Aurora Gaming	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x7d3107…
08-31 13:08:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x5d6a5a…
08-31 13:08:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe0d880…
08-31 13:08:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5a4dd7…
08-31 13:08:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xd5393f…
08-31 13:08:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x6f0a97…
08-31 13:06:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:05 UTC	Up	SELL	9	72¢	$7	0x8b59e8…
08-31 13:05:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf55dde…
08-31 13:05:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1ef8e0…
08-31 13:05:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xbd52a9…
08-31 13:05:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2d14df…
08-31 13:05:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x93a553…
08-31 13:05:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd0abbb…
08-31 13:05:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x616f7f…
08-30 20:04:51	cs2 vit lgc 2026 08 30	Legacy	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x00958b…
08-30 19:59:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4160f4…
08-30 19:58:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6bd010…
08-30 19:58:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x05b62e…
08-30 19:57:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcf73fa…
08-30 19:26:33	cs2 vit lgc 2026 08 30	Legacy	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x109d31…
08-30 19:18:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6327ef…
08-30 19:18:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x65b332…
08-30 19:18:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$0	0xd65b2e…
08-30 19:18:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x50a6d9…
08-30 19:17:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x1f8730…
08-30 19:17:25	Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x93097b…
08-30 19:16:42	Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdab866…
08-30 17:56:12	Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe43079…
08-23 19:53:00	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xbdd34e…
08-23 16:31:37	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x9cc7b1…
08-23 16:30:06	Will IF Brommapojkarna win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc42b7f…
08-23 15:16:54	Will IF Brommapojkarna win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x993306…
08-23 15:11:34	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x64c7bc…
08-23 15:10:28	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbf6094…
08-23 15:07:21	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xcdba87…
08-23 15:07:16	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x5a825a…
08-23 15:07:13	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb907d8…
08-23 15:07:06	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2867ba…
08-23 15:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x8e79f8…
08-23 15:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbbaa03…
08-23 15:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	93¢	$3	0x0bb674…
08-23 15:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x201955…
08-23 15:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x1c240e…
08-23 15:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcfaabb…
08-23 15:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc7dc27…
08-23 15:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xe69b03…
08-23 15:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9166e2…
08-23 15:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x06ccfa…
08-23 15:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x73b5de…
08-23 15:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x16ed25…
08-23 15:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x9c58e0…
08-23 15:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x95df7b…
08-23 14:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0xba89e6…
08-23 14:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xefe040…
08-23 14:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xacffbb…
08-23 14:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd0e80b…
08-23 14:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x9bec5e…
08-23 14:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xf822cf…
08-23 14:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9b4059…
08-23 14:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd67a03…
08-23 14:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9206e0…
08-23 14:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf51db9…
08-23 14:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa63091…
08-23 14:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x31073e…
08-23 14:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd8ea6a…
08-23 14:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0b359d…
08-23 11:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x51ff3d…
08-23 11:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x08ea4c…
08-23 11:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x5a39c8…
08-23 11:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x0a0aa6…
08-23 11:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x17a24f…
08-23 11:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdd3a48…
08-23 11:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x17ed36…
08-23 11:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xddec0e…
08-23 11:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x779bcb…
08-23 11:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x8416f8…
08-23 11:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x45e762…
08-23 11:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6c03f0…
08-23 11:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc403f7…
08-23 11:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$3	0xb5e2fd…
08-23 11:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5959c1…
08-23 11:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xddbc68…
08-23 11:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x663725…
08-22 18:49:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe87d62…
08-22 18:49:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x45ab9e…
08-22 18:49:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x05e30c…
08-22 15:59:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xddf481…
08-22 15:59:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x96507b…
08-22 15:57:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xcf5bd7…
08-22 15:57:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 15:55 UTC	Up	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x1ca440…
08-22 15:56:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd134e6…
08-22 15:56:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xc2378a…
08-22 15:23:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xea3614…
08-22 15:23:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x437144…
08-22 15:22:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 15:20 UTC	Up	SELL	9	82¢	$7	0xee4473…
08-22 15:21:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd4ca8a…
08-22 15:20:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 15:15 UTC	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xbb5f11…
08-22 15:17:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 15:15 UTC	Up	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x9743ce…
08-22 15:16:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x86fa8a…