Lonely-Sprag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.7%

Resolved

106

Trades

8,068

lifetime

Volume

$42.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 05-07 15:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 78% $-0

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 160 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1768550400	4	$1.0K	918	911	+8	open	—	01-16 08:14
btc updown 15m 1768549500	2	$914	490	489	+1	open	—	01-16 07:54
btc updown 15m 1768543200	4	$884	740	734	+6	open	—	01-16 06:14
btc updown 15m 1768548600	2	$863	471	469	+1	open	—	01-16 07:40
btc updown 15m 1768552200	2	$773	429	427	+2	open	—	01-16 08:43
btc updown 15m 1768624200	3	$761	709	389	+320	open	—	01-17 04:35
btc updown 15m 1768545900	2	$746	410	409	+2	open	—	01-16 06:59
btc updown 15m 1768551300	2	$731	389	388	+1	open	—	01-16 08:29
btc updown 15m 1768545000	2	$693	368	367	+0	open	—	01-16 06:43
btc updown 15m 1768556700	4	$693	543	537	+5	open	—	01-16 09:58
btc updown 15m 1768544100	2	$680	383	380	+2	open	—	01-16 06:29
btc updown 15m 1768541400	3	$621	335	334	+1	open	—	01-16 05:40
btc updown 15m 1768562100	2	$539	297	296	+1	open	—	01-16 11:29
btc updown 15m 1768555800	2	$536	311	309	+2	open	—	01-16 09:42
btc updown 15m 1768554000	2	$534	309	307	+2	open	—	01-16 09:13
btc updown 15m 1768559400	2	$525	287	286	+1	open	—	01-16 10:41
btc updown 15m 1768557600	2	$506	275	274	+0	open	—	01-16 10:12
btc updown 15m 1768477500	4	$472	310	307	+3	open	—	01-15 11:56
btc updown 15m 1768478400	4	$433	307	303	+4	open	—	01-15 12:11
btc updown 15m 1768547700	2	$420	227	227	+1	open	—	01-16 07:27
btc updown 15m 1768553100	1	$390	481	0	+481	open	—	01-16 08:52
btc updown 15m 1768554900	2	$372	322	320	+2	open	—	01-16 09:29
btc updown 15m 1768546800	1	$370	440	0	+440	open	—	01-16 07:11
btc updown 15m 1768561200	2	$359	272	271	+0	open	—	01-16 11:14
btc updown 15m 1768560300	1	$281	0	290	-290	open	—	01-16 10:57
btc updown 15m 1768623300	1	$250	300	0	+300	open	—	01-17 04:22
btc updown 15m 1768542300	2	$226	131	130	+1	open	—	01-16 05:59
btc updown 15m 1768479300	2	$222	127	126	+1	open	—	01-15 12:29
btc updown 15m 1768481100	3	$220	123	123	+1	open	—	01-15 12:57
btc updown 15m 1768482000	2	$217	123	123	+1	open	—	01-15 13:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 15:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x4c5423…
05-07 15:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa4f159…
05-07 14:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0xaea666…
05-07 14:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb1ec4c…
05-07 14:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfaf886…
05-07 14:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe0d012…
05-07 14:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x0ff568…
05-07 14:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x66b0dc…
05-07 14:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaa4493…
05-07 14:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0f6299…
05-07 13:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x89142e…
05-07 09:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc107f0…
05-07 09:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5f685a…
05-07 09:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf79ad9…
05-07 09:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x054a66…
05-07 09:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x31a210…
05-07 09:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x42de20…
05-07 08:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb13a2d…
05-07 08:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7f90fd…
05-07 08:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x32dcb5…
05-07 08:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2d4ec0…
05-07 08:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0xc0b6a4…
05-07 08:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x988784…
05-07 07:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xec79d4…
05-07 07:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x9be624…
05-07 07:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6b3db5…
05-07 07:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xf4c313…
05-07 07:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8ae675…
05-07 07:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4fde94…
05-07 07:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe90fae…
05-07 07:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xff7ace…
05-07 07:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd8b198…
05-07 06:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xb58516…
05-07 06:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x847c63…
05-07 06:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4606fc…
05-07 06:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5fc484…
05-07 06:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8b34e2…
05-07 06:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0b33fe…
05-07 06:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7af289…
05-07 05:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd0485e…
05-07 05:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x92040c…
05-07 05:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xeb13b6…
05-07 05:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe9b54a…
05-07 05:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x7bf70e…
05-07 05:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf79077…
05-07 05:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0c74e1…
05-07 05:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x54c33a…
05-07 04:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x14196b…
05-07 04:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x646896…
05-07 04:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe92253…
05-07 04:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x023d37…
05-07 04:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x27f902…
05-07 04:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd976a6…
05-07 04:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xe966c7…
05-07 04:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe49c3b…
05-07 03:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaffee0…
05-07 03:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4f4a0c…
05-07 03:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9b4f32…
05-07 03:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9e6b44…
05-07 03:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x20710e…
05-07 02:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x77196e…
05-07 02:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x31d171…
05-07 02:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb35ce3…
05-07 02:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc460aa…
05-07 02:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0b3fab…
05-07 02:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x14ab44…
05-07 01:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe5c94b…
05-07 01:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb70405…
05-07 01:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5c4f58…
05-07 01:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x79f8f6…
05-07 01:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0xc10616…
05-07 01:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9393ce…
05-07 01:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0bbb30…
05-07 01:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfb3f96…
05-07 00:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1af81b…
05-07 00:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9ae8ff…
05-07 00:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4da287…
05-07 00:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xfb6326…
05-06 23:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4e0b52…
05-06 23:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6cc31a…
05-06 23:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x25aead…
05-06 23:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb06353…
05-06 23:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc6a65e…
05-06 23:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd094d5…
05-06 23:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x139551…
05-06 23:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x84720a…
05-06 22:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x63c80d…
05-06 22:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf7590a…
05-06 22:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x462104…
05-06 22:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1e86e4…
05-06 22:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x592011…
05-06 22:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1c7a5b…
05-06 22:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x76f75c…
05-06 22:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1d8229…
05-06 21:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x281891…
05-06 21:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5cb8cc…
05-06 21:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x865478…
05-06 20:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0xf38106…
05-06 20:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe6c7ea…
05-06 20:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4051ba…