Jolly-Calico — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

281

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$3.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-30 09:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 220 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$4

Politics

6% 90% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 04:41
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 04:47
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 17:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-30 06:41
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-29 12:51
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:33
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-28 01:18
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 08:13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-26 08:58
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-25 09:57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 07:41
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 23 2026 25c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 22:34
highest temperature in busan on april 23 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:10
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 19corhigher	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	04-23 00:39
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 22 2026 24c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-22 15:59
highest temperature in wellington on april 22 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-22 07:54
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-21 15:44
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 07:15
highest temperature in nyc on april 20 2026 50 51f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-21 01:05
highest temperature in seoul on april 20 2026 15c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-20 09:21
highest temperature in chicago on april 19 2026 48 49f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-20 02:21
highest temperature in busan on april 19 2026 25c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 10:41
highest temperature in denver on april 18 2026 66forhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-19 00:43
highest temperature in wuhan on april 18 2026 29c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 11:15
highest temperature in san francisco on april 17 2026 68 69f	1	$22	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 01:32
highest temperature in manila on april 17 2026 36c	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-17 10:31
highest temperature in los angeles on april 16 2026 72 73f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-17 01:31
highest temperature in busan on april 16 2026 21c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 11:59
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 05:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:56:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on October 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9349a9…
10-29 08:47:47	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9c4753…
10-28 07:29:23	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xed8b58…
10-27 08:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x193173…
10-26 09:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc50afb…
10-24 10:15:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8739d…
10-22 10:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6074f…
10-20 04:51:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdcfb6b…
10-19 08:39:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x824541…
10-18 08:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b198b…
10-17 09:08:35	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a6a7f…
10-16 08:50:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f3513…
10-15 09:03:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47e84b…
10-14 09:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfbe41a…
10-13 08:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba226f…
10-12 08:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4924fe…
10-11 08:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61177a…
10-08 08:13:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31cb64…
10-07 13:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3787d5…
10-06 07:31:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40243c…
10-04 10:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50dadd…
10-03 05:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8f541…
10-02 07:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba6642…
10-01 08:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9590d…
09-30 12:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2bb4b1…
09-29 09:17:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcbd02e…
09-28 09:16:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa64e7b…
09-27 08:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3379ab…
09-25 08:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x14d47b…
09-24 08:13:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5764a1…
09-23 06:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x806fa5…
09-22 07:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc634ba…
09-21 08:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9cd393…
09-20 05:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50cf34…
09-19 07:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93d1f6…
09-18 01:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7eda3…
09-17 03:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e18f4…
09-16 07:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0de04…
09-15 08:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f8d49…
09-14 08:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e62a2…
09-12 10:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f65ba…
09-11 07:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d0843…
09-10 02:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae42d9…
09-09 09:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe38a10…
09-09 01:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x041d75…
09-08 02:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa267d3…
09-07 08:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e1184…
09-06 17:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef0eb3…
09-06 09:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf07c4b…
09-05 09:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x439d17…
09-04 09:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8d3e8…
09-03 09:39:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9232a7…
09-01 10:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4d153…
08-30 08:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeabfe1…
08-29 07:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc15cef…
08-28 07:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82a351…
08-27 07:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4c4ac…
08-26 08:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x629675…
08-25 08:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x050dd6…
08-24 09:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5950c0…
08-23 14:38:01	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeccfda…
08-22 07:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef66c4…
08-21 06:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6e99f8…
08-20 08:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24b23b…
08-19 08:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0aeb03…
08-18 06:09:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfed7c7…
08-17 07:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x463290…
08-16 11:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf4f6e…
08-15 09:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd45467…
08-14 06:35:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f3581…
08-13 07:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5222e6…
08-12 07:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf2d02…
08-11 03:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf98c15…
08-10 00:43:57	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec12e1…
08-09 01:14:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd23b5…
08-08 07:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x583ccf…
08-07 00:37:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33310f…
08-06 00:34:47	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f7189…
08-05 07:42:17	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8c336…
08-04 07:43:53	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb86b17…
08-03 01:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe051d6…
08-02 01:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x412b16…
08-01 06:47:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc003ee…
07-31 07:49:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f9fcd…
07-30 06:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe220a6…
07-29 06:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x654f0b…
07-28 06:11:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54bf0b…
07-27 07:52:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x768497…
07-26 06:23:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfbb200…
07-25 01:04:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcbe497…
07-24 09:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41712e…
07-23 02:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51e0e8…
07-22 01:43:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64c5fb…
07-20 23:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x405374…
07-20 02:17:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd78a83…
07-18 22:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe4efb…
07-18 00:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35fe9a…
07-17 06:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x143535…
07-15 21:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb96cd8…
07-15 06:25:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba6c2e…