Busy-Dumbwaiter — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$67

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

16,023 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$5.89K

$1.28M lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

$403

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 11:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 293 days

Categories

Other

92% 69% -$15,746

Sports

6% 67% -$126

Politics

2% 63% -$1,556

Crypto

0% 70% +$69

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$55

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes		+580	$410	70¢	$403	-$7	10-30 11:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	19	$5.4K	3,253	3,253	+0	No	-$98	08-31 15:51
nba mil phx 2026 03 21	32	$5.0K	3,130	3,130	+0	Bucks	+$13	03-22 04:30
Knicks vs. Spurs	27	$4.6K	2,710	2,710	+0	Knicks	+$207	06-14 03:36
atp trungel cecchin 2026 03 15	38	$4.6K	3,453	3,453	+0	Marco Trungelliti	-$340	03-15 11:10
wta ostapen paolini 2026 03 22	37	$4.3K	3,545	3,545	+0	Jelena Ostapenko	-$539	03-22 17:41
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	12	$4.0K	2,047	2,047	+0	Yes	+$88	08-29 15:32
atp baena busta 2026 03 22	26	$3.9K	2,129	2,129	+0	Pablo Carreno Busta	+$392	03-22 11:44
wta sherif uchijim 2026 02 28	22	$3.8K	2,887	2,887	+0	Moyuka Uchijima	-$520	02-28 13:18
Suzhou: Hanyu Guo vs Aliona Falei	10	$3.8K	3,305	3,305	+0	Aliona Falei	-$1,650	10-06 05:43
wta sabalen rybakin 2026 03 15	19	$3.7K	4,069	3,836	+233	Aryna Sabalenka	-$2,294	03-15 20:36
wta vekic swiatek 2026 10 04	20	$3.4K	2,429	2,429	+0	Iga Swiatek	+$1,297	10-05 05:51
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	9	$3.3K	5,615	5,615	-0	No	-$1,094	10-05 03:45
wta zidanse tormo 2026 03 25	27	$3.2K	1,920	1,920	+0	Tamara Zidansek	+$624	03-25 15:25
atp bellucc navone 2026 03 15	8	$3.1K	1,839	2,279	-440	Mariano Navone	+$722	03-15 18:29
nba bos okc 2026 03 12	32	$3.1K	1,700	1,700	+0	Thunder	+$218	03-13 04:05
wta chwalin zidanse 2026 03 23	14	$3.1K	1,898	1,898	+0	Tamara Zidansek	+$701	03-23 13:48
wta lukas pavlyuc 2026 03 24	10	$3.0K	2,044	2,044	+0	Tena Lukas	+$1,051	03-24 13:24
atp taverna ambrogi 2026 03 16	49	$2.9K	2,326	2,326	+0	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	-$306	03-18 19:09
wta korpats kasints 2026 07 21	16	$2.9K	2,210	2,210	+0	Tamara Korpatsch	+$40	07-21 15:49
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	51	$2.8K	2,441	2,441	+0	Yes	+$650	03-31 15:45
atp tu noguchi 2026 03 25	21	$2.8K	1,958	2,460	-502	Rio Noguchi	-$776	03-26 07:58
wta paolini boulter 2026 02 27	6	$2.8K	1,745	1,745	+0	Jasmine Paolini	-$165	02-28 07:27
atp majchrz tien 2026 03 21	7	$2.8K	1,518	1,518	+0	Kamil Majchrzak	+$276	03-21 16:56
atp gurri molcan 2026 03 18	29	$2.7K	1,927	1,927	+0	Alex Molcan	-$262	03-19 11:54
wta sawangk stoiana 2026 07 10	13	$2.6K	1,865	1,865	+0	Mananchaya Sawangkaew	-$323	07-10 17:49
atp dias bueno 2026 03 13	12	$2.6K	1,588	1,588	-0	Pedro Boscardin Dias	+$608	03-13 16:17
wta chwalin zidanse 2026 03 12	19	$2.5K	1,997	1,997	+0	Tamara Zidansek	-$739	03-12 10:59
atp kolar canas 2026 03 23	37	$2.5K	1,990	1,990	+0	Alejandro Moro Canas	-$333	03-23 15:29
atp daniel andrade 2026 03 18	11	$2.5K	1,590	1,590	+0	Taro Daniel	-$160	03-19 03:26
wta kuderme uchijim 2026 03 12	10	$2.5K	1,571	1,571	+0	Polina Kudermetova	+$616	03-12 10:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 11:35:34	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	71¢	$96	0x97e66e…
10-30 11:35:34	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	71¢	$32	0x08feaa…
10-30 11:33:49	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0xe1652e…
10-30 11:33:49	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	375	71¢	$265	0x740997…
10-30 08:09:42	New Zealand Breakers vs. Adelaide 36ers	Adelaide 36ers	SELL	258	91¢	$234	0x9be45a…
10-30 08:07:30	New Zealand Breakers vs. Adelaide 36ers	Adelaide 36ers	SELL	12	85¢	$11	0xc175da…
10-30 07:54:19	Guangzhou Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jil Teichmann	Jil Teichmann	BUY	72	40¢	$29	0xaae538…
10-30 07:53:40	Guangzhou Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jil Teichmann	Jil Teichmann	BUY	58	40¢	$23	0xc40a4d…
10-30 07:46:15	New Zealand Breakers vs. Adelaide 36ers	Adelaide 36ers	BUY	60	76¢	$46	0x39553c…
10-30 07:41:49	New Zealand Breakers vs. Adelaide 36ers	Adelaide 36ers	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0x19e804…
10-30 07:40:40	New Zealand Breakers vs. Adelaide 36ers	Adelaide 36ers	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0xb50616…
10-30 07:40:36	New Zealand Breakers vs. Adelaide 36ers	Adelaide 36ers	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x7c5ded…
10-30 07:35:22	New Zealand Breakers vs. Adelaide 36ers	Adelaide 36ers	BUY	150	78¢	$117	0x6f818e…
10-30 07:34:34	Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Harriet Dart	Harriet Dart	SELL	412	100¢	$411	0xcebd3b…
10-30 07:15:10	Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Harriet Dart	Harriet Dart	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x692091…
10-30 07:12:48	Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Harriet Dart	Harriet Dart	BUY	32	61¢	$20	0xfa154a…
10-30 07:12:48	Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Harriet Dart	Harriet Dart	BUY	31	61¢	$19	0xb1a2c6…
10-30 07:12:48	Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Harriet Dart	Harriet Dart	BUY	47	61¢	$29	0x1d2b3f…
10-30 07:10:24	Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Seong-Chan Hong	Terence Atmane	SELL	180	98¢	$176	0x50d333…
10-30 07:06:28	Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Harriet Dart	Harriet Dart	BUY	202	70¢	$141	0x2f79b9…
10-30 07:05:40	Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Harriet Dart	Paula Badosa	SELL	120	28¢	$34	0xdc4f93…
10-30 06:29:03	Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Seong-Chan Hong	Terence Atmane	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0xe1d443…
10-30 06:29:03	Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Seong-Chan Hong	Terence Atmane	BUY	155	82¢	$127	0x8ac3b6…
10-30 06:27:06	Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Harriet Dart	Paula Badosa	BUY	120	64¢	$77	0x590b41…
10-30 05:32:30	Seoul: Omar Jasika vs Yun-Seong Chung	Omar Jasika	SELL	206	84¢	$173	0xc1bee4…
10-30 05:32:30	Seoul: Omar Jasika vs Yun-Seong Chung	Omar Jasika	SELL	44	84¢	$37	0x0b2ae8…
10-30 05:22:10	Pan Pacific Open: Mia Pohankova vs Alycia Parks	Mia Pohankova	SELL	159	79¢	$126	0x9f768f…
10-30 05:14:07	Pan Pacific Open: Mia Pohankova vs Alycia Parks	Mia Pohankova	BUY	29	60¢	$18	0xf9b3aa…
10-30 04:43:16	Pan Pacific Open: Mia Pohankova vs Alycia Parks	Mia Pohankova	BUY	51	74¢	$37	0x88a852…
10-30 04:42:48	Pan Pacific Open: Mia Pohankova vs Alycia Parks	Mia Pohankova	BUY	79	74¢	$59	0xd41871…
10-30 04:42:09	Seoul: Omar Jasika vs Yun-Seong Chung	Omar Jasika	BUY	110	78¢	$86	0xe9827c…
10-30 04:40:00	Queretaro: Tamara Zidansek vs Alicia Herrero Linana	Tamara Zidansek	SELL	25	37¢	$9	0xa15b6d…
10-30 04:40:00	Queretaro: Tamara Zidansek vs Alicia Herrero Linana	Tamara Zidansek	SELL	15	37¢	$5	0x8eeca7…
10-30 04:39:57	Queretaro: Tamara Zidansek vs Alicia Herrero Linana	Tamara Zidansek	SELL	296	37¢	$109	0xbcdad7…
10-30 04:39:57	Queretaro: Tamara Zidansek vs Alicia Herrero Linana	Tamara Zidansek	SELL	24	37¢	$9	0x439ed0…
10-30 04:22:18	Seoul: Omar Jasika vs Yun-Seong Chung	Omar Jasika	BUY	140	79¢	$111	0xa32a65…
10-30 04:07:46	Queretaro: Tamara Zidansek vs Alicia Herrero Linana	Tamara Zidansek	BUY	130	65¢	$84	0x09861b…
10-30 04:06:37	Queretaro: Tamara Zidansek vs Alicia Herrero Linana	Tamara Zidansek	BUY	230	54¢	$124	0xef7b35…
10-30 04:05:57	Pan Pacific Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maya Joint	Kamilla Rakhimova	SELL	390	100¢	$390	0x21c11b…
10-30 03:30:16	Pan Pacific Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maya Joint	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0xa83d9c…
10-30 02:49:34	Pan Pacific Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maya Joint	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x6439fc…
10-30 02:47:54	Pan Pacific Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maya Joint	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	260	85¢	$221	0xe267a6…
10-30 02:47:10	Pan Pacific Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maya Joint	Maya Joint	SELL	140	18¢	$25	0xe325d1…
10-30 02:28:54	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Hawks	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0x6f5c1e…
10-30 02:24:13	Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	193	99¢	$191	0x013d52…
10-30 02:21:01	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	104	85¢	$88	0x3c2c0c…
10-30 02:12:03	Pan Pacific Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maya Joint	Maya Joint	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xeaa341…
10-30 02:11:33	Pan Pacific Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maya Joint	Maya Joint	BUY	120	73¢	$88	0x7500fb…
10-30 02:06:01	Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	110	82¢	$90	0x5b32ef…
10-30 02:04:24	Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa81feb…
10-30 02:04:19	Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0xf47da0…
10-30 02:04:19	Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	72	80¢	$58	0x9b1872…
10-30 01:58:52	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xc7e889…
10-30 01:58:52	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	SELL	22	20¢	$4	0xab3cb6…
10-30 01:58:52	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	SELL	38	20¢	$8	0x8299f1…
10-30 01:58:52	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	SELL	135	20¢	$27	0x660fad…
10-30 00:53:18	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0xe9701c…
10-29 17:22:49	Courmayeur: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Ayla Aksu	Ayla Aksu	SELL	210	95¢	$199	0x586f0f…
10-29 17:19:19	Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	SELL	108	100¢	$107	0x6705e8…
10-29 17:14:26	Curitiba (Doubles): Gonzalez/Vergara vs Candiotto/Papamichail	Candiotto/Papamichail	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x170c42…
10-29 16:59:14	Courmayeur: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Ayla Aksu	Ayla Aksu	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xd8c29b…
10-29 16:56:52	Curitiba: Julia Riera vs Yasmine Kabbaj	Julia Riera	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x2c8542…
10-29 16:56:28	Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	108	89¢	$96	0xe52eec…
10-29 16:56:28	Courmayeur: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Ayla Aksu	Ayla Aksu	BUY	110	77¢	$85	0xbd78c8…
10-29 16:54:23	Curitiba (Doubles): Gonzalez/Vergara vs Candiotto/Papamichail	Candiotto/Papamichail	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0xbdca14…
10-29 16:12:13	Curitiba (Doubles): Gonzalez/Vergara vs Candiotto/Papamichail	Candiotto/Papamichail	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x24be07…
10-29 16:12:11	Curitiba (Doubles): Gonzalez/Vergara vs Candiotto/Papamichail	Candiotto/Papamichail	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x8d0ef1…
10-29 15:25:13	Curitiba: Julia Riera vs Yasmine Kabbaj	Julia Riera	BUY	120	73¢	$88	0xae5806…
10-29 15:12:41	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x9faa11…
10-29 15:12:41	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	128	99¢	$127	0x7d943c…
10-29 15:08:32	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xaf7d43…
10-29 14:50:41	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	120	62¢	$74	0x6f0b19…
10-29 14:44:28	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xd2254d…
10-29 14:44:28	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	178	20¢	$36	0x7061e1…
10-29 14:44:26	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0x3ea8f7…
10-29 14:31:10	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x5accea…
10-29 13:53:22	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	150	73¢	$110	0x1af9a3…
10-29 05:48:08	Pan Pacific Open (Doubles): Perez/Schuurs vs Hunter/Joint	Hunter/Joint	SELL	428	94¢	$402	0xf022a5…
10-29 04:50:05	Pan Pacific Open (Doubles): Perez/Schuurs vs Hunter/Joint	Hunter/Joint	BUY	208	88¢	$183	0xe454ce…
10-29 04:31:49	Pan Pacific Open (Doubles): Perez/Schuurs vs Hunter/Joint	Hunter/Joint	BUY	220	71¢	$156	0xe7b0f2…
10-28 14:17:13	Swiss Indoors Basel: Remy Bertola vs Denis Shapovalov	Denis Shapovalov	SELL	190	100¢	$190	0x6b4b25…
10-28 13:38:34	Swiss Indoors Basel: Remy Bertola vs Denis Shapovalov	Denis Shapovalov	BUY	190	89¢	$169	0x1f108a…
10-28 11:25:11	Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Talia Gibson	Alexandra Eala	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x81e4dc…
10-28 11:24:47	Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Talia Gibson	Alexandra Eala	BUY	140	82¢	$115	0xc32a32…
10-28 07:43:58	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	4¢	$2	0x011291…
10-28 07:43:49	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	4¢	$3	0x39aa2f…
10-28 07:43:29	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	4¢	$3	0x124110…
10-28 07:39:58	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xb717f8…
10-28 07:35:13	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x8b4a31…
10-28 07:35:13	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0x7b2dbc…
10-28 07:34:40	M15 Singapore: Lorenzo Lorusso vs Daisuke Sumizawa	Lorenzo Lorusso	SELL	129	10¢	$12	0x066ac7…
10-28 07:20:32	M15 Singapore: Lorenzo Lorusso vs Daisuke Sumizawa	Lorenzo Lorusso	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x74f17b…
10-28 07:17:29	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	41¢	$9	0xc4fcf2…
10-28 07:17:29	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	41¢	$57	0x84a33a…
10-28 07:04:56	Guangzhou Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Lanlana Tararudee	Lanlana Tararudee	SELL	110	3¢	$3	0x1c49a8…
10-28 07:02:59	Guangzhou Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Lanlana Tararudee	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	90	25¢	$23	0x279f07…
10-28 07:02:58	Guangzhou Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Lanlana Tararudee	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5a250a…
10-28 06:53:19	M15 Singapore: Lorenzo Lorusso vs Daisuke Sumizawa	Lorenzo Lorusso	BUY	120	60¢	$72	0x90aff5…
10-28 06:45:08	Guangzhou Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Lanlana Tararudee	Katerina Siniakova	SELL	169	99¢	$167	0x5baff8…
10-28 06:15:23	Guangzhou Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Lanlana Tararudee	Katerina Siniakova	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x3ed50c…