Elated-Parade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.19K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.6%

Resolved

343

Trades

754

lifetime

Volume

$94.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$126

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 09-01 20:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Other

87% 55% -$1,720

Crypto

10% 42% +$1,133

Politics

3% 20% -$270

Sports

1% 20% -$332

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	9	$3.5K	2,471	2,471	+0	Yes	+$665	08-21 16:04
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner	4	$3.2K	1,638	1,638	+0	Nongshim Red Force	+$114	08-23 11:45
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	8	$3.0K	1,919	1,919	+0	Yes	+$440	08-28 16:08
cs2 blackp unity 2026 08 22	7	$2.8K	1,465	1,465	+0	UNiTY esports	+$133	08-22 20:09
wta bejlek keys 2026 08 21 set handicap away 1pt5	3	$2.7K	1,446	1,446	+0	Bejlek	+$150	08-21 19:54
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winner	8	$2.0K	1,765	1,765	+0	RED Canids	+$49	08-23 17:04
atp johnso garin 2026 08 24	3	$1.9K	1,569	1,569	+0	Cristian Garin	+$466	08-24 20:14
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	14	$1.9K	1,233	1,233	+0	Yes	+$169	08-24 05:09
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	4	$1.6K	895	895	+0	No	+$89	08-22 12:17
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	3	$1.5K	2,051	2,051	+0	open	—	08-21 03:51
CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5	4	$1.5K	1,161	1,161	+0	Under	+$244	08-24 19:28
val gm ep1 2026 08 09 game2	3	$1.5K	821	821	+0	Enterprise Esports	+$139	08-09 19:50
Girona FC vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5	2	$1.5K	2,028	0	+2,028	Over	-$1,479	08-29 20:47
wta masarov shymano 2026 08 24	3	$1.3K	1,716	1,227	+489	Iryna Shymanovich	-$684	08-24 17:19
lol dk gen 2026 08 22	4	$1.2K	627	627	+0	Dplus KIA	+$76	08-22 10:31
atp baez mrva 2026 06 05	5	$1.1K	632	632	+0	Sebastian Baez	+$42	06-05 16:23
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?	2	$1.0K	526	526	+0	Yes	+$26	08-22 21:30
lol edg jdg 2026 08 23	2	$1.0K	526	526	+0	JD Gaming	+$26	08-23 11:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 14:05 UTC	2	$1.0K	519	519	+0	Up	+$13	08-20 14:09
cs2 b8 ts7 2026 08 20 game2	3	$991	546	546	+0	Spirit	+$101	08-20 15:31
lol fnc kc 2026 08 09 game2	2	$961	514	514	+0	Karmine Corp	+$66	08-09 18:29
lol dsg dig 2026 08 22 game1	5	$953	573	573	+0	Disguised	+$53	08-22 22:39
lol g2 fnc 2026 08 16 game2	2	$948	1,175	1,175	+0	Fnatic	-$752	08-16 18:28
dota2 re navi 2026 08 10 game1	3	$836	441	441	+0	Natus Vincere	+$45	08-10 20:05
atp mrva basile 2026 08 10	2	$779	677	677	+0	Maxim Mrva	+$102	08-10 21:01
atp montes boitan 2026 08 25	2	$768	478	478	+0	Inaki Montes	+$188	08-25 17:30
cs2 navi pain 2026 08 28 game2	5	$766	532	532	+0	Natus Vincere	+$92	08-28 16:30
bitcoin above 68k on august 19 2026	9	$740	1,162	1,162	+0	Yes	+$722	08-19 15:29
atp gombos feldbau 2026 07 31	4	$728	477	477	+0	Norbert Gombos	+$225	07-31 15:53
dota2 dynast1 fts 2026 08 24 game2	2	$676	380	380	+0	DYNASTY	+$83	08-24 21:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 20:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	78	56¢	$44	0x66a025…
09-01 20:08:25	Will 80 to 99 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	83¢	$45	0x65c5b5…
09-01 19:51:24	Set 1 Winner: Sweeny vs Moutet	Moutet	BUY	148	40¢	$60	0xcad5d5…
09-01 19:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x49ae2d…
09-01 19:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	57	10¢	$6	0x4f8128…
09-01 19:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	56	50¢	$28	0x14e683…
09-01 19:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	57	51¢	$29	0x917c3b…
09-01 19:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xf0962e…
09-01 19:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x1aaa7c…
09-01 19:21:36	US Open ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Flavio Cobolli	Francisco Comesana	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xff7e99…
09-01 19:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 1?	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0x9527a9…
09-01 19:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 1?	Yes	SELL	36	7¢	$3	0x021230…
09-01 19:20:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 1?	Yes	SELL	22	14¢	$3	0xf1a26e…
09-01 19:19:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 1?	Yes	SELL	9	72¢	$6	0x1daae2…
09-01 16:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xf2eccd…
09-01 16:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x933bfe…
09-01 16:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x490d8b…
09-01 16:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xa91376…
09-01 16:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0x840833…
09-01 15:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x154ca4…
09-01 15:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	26	16¢	$4	0xbad633…
09-01 15:54:31	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x44d449…
09-01 15:41:19	Porto: Tiago Cacao vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	SELL	113	82¢	$93	0x9758fe…
09-01 15:28:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0x892133…
09-01 15:28:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x3e8a82…
09-01 15:20:54	Porto: Tiago Cacao vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	113	80¢	$90	0x2b762e…
09-01 15:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x4b472c…
09-01 15:00:48	Will 80 to 99 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	93¢	$51	0x8f7b76…
09-01 14:57:10	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	Yes	BUY	54	7¢	$4	0xe6b421…
08-29 20:47:25	Girona FC vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1,863	73¢	$1,360	0x02265f…
08-29 20:46:51	Girona FC vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	165	72¢	$119	0xa193ce…
08-29 20:39:34	Girona FC vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	159	61¢	$97	0x7d401c…
08-29 20:19:31	Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)	UD Las Palmas	SELL	192	54¢	$104	0x63c1df…
08-29 20:05:57	Girona FC vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	347	70¢	$243	0x5b9644…
08-29 20:04:49	Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)	UD Las Palmas	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xa0a2e2…
08-29 20:03:18	Girona FC vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	357	42¢	$150	0x6e25d8…
08-29 19:51:15	Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0xcd80e9…
08-29 19:49:28	lol navi gx 2026 08 29	Natus Vincere	SELL	248	100¢	$248	0xf4506e…
08-29 19:42:51	lol navi gx 2026 08 29	Natus Vincere	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x088b51…
08-29 19:42:06	lol navi gx 2026 08 29	Natus Vincere	BUY	243	59¢	$143	0xfe45ba…
08-29 19:06:46	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	346	100¢	$345	0x3bf3b1…
08-29 18:04:19	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	346	57¢	$197	0x95e968…
08-29 17:42:12	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	94	49¢	$46	0xd84d59…
08-29 17:41:45	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	296	49¢	$145	0x8614e4…
08-28 19:27:24	CD Tenerife vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: Real Sporting de Gijón O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	485	53¢	$257	0x252917…
08-28 19:18:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x055dd1…
08-28 19:14:15	lol vit fnc 2026 08 28	Team Vitality	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0x6e1765…
08-28 18:46:27	lol vit fnc 2026 08 28	Team Vitality	BUY	160	67¢	$108	0x2d8e5a…
08-28 17:11:31	atp piros oconnel 2026 08 27	Zsombor Piros	SELL	464	99¢	$459	0x2ab05d…
08-28 17:05:21	atp piros oconnel 2026 08 27	Zsombor Piros	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x212e83…
08-28 16:56:49	atp piros oconnel 2026 08 27	Zsombor Piros	BUY	156	48¢	$74	0xf091de…
08-28 16:56:31	atp piros oconnel 2026 08 27	Zsombor Piros	BUY	236	41¢	$96	0x8a55c0…
08-28 16:51:21	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,017	0¢	$3	0x3a805f…
08-28 16:48:03	Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	406	47¢	$192	0xc4e3a6…
08-28 16:30:27	cs2 navi pain 2026 08 28 game2	Natus Vincere	SELL	334	100¢	$334	0x6b6415…
08-28 16:14:28	cs2 navi pain 2026 08 28 game2	Natus Vincere	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xb262c3…
08-28 16:13:03	cs2 navi pain 2026 08 28 game2	Natus Vincere	BUY	289	54¢	$156	0x175fd4…
08-28 16:12:34	cs2 navi pain 2026 08 28 game2	paiN	SELL	197	48¢	$95	0xcb542a…
08-28 16:08:49	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	229	99¢	$227	0x138647…
08-28 16:08:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,351	99¢	$1,338	0x9a389d…
08-28 16:07:39	cs2 navi pain 2026 08 28 game2	paiN	BUY	197	79¢	$156	0xe83115…
08-28 15:11:10	Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	301	53¢	$160	0xd2582f…
08-28 04:03:15	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,580	75¢	$1,178	0xad05d1…
08-27 21:05:27	FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x85a564…
08-27 20:47:03	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	4¢	$4	0xd92e76…
08-27 20:45:24	FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	300	83¢	$249	0x185a55…
08-27 20:42:10	Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	128	47¢	$60	0x3e5a05…
08-27 17:09:04	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	11¢	$15	0x4549ef…
08-27 16:42:43	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner	Legacy	SELL	228	100¢	$228	0x600560…
08-27 15:49:48	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner	Legacy	BUY	228	81¢	$185	0x625981…
08-27 15:23:07	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	13¢	$15	0xe0e474…
08-27 15:21:06	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	13¢	$15	0xad7747…
08-27 14:48:21	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	538	22¢	$120	0x41deb0…
08-27 14:46:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xbae77f…
08-27 14:44:48	ethereum above 2540 on august 27 2026 11am et	Yes	BUY	113	8¢	$9	0x03f3ee…
08-27 14:42:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	167	2¢	$3	0x7082a2…
08-27 14:39:37	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	52¢	$18	0xedba96…
08-27 14:38:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0x2352c6…
08-27 14:38:16	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	262	52¢	$136	0x19a552…
08-27 14:36:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xfb685c…
08-27 14:36:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	152	2¢	$3	0x50d3cc…
08-27 14:36:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	156	2¢	$3	0x2e797a…
08-27 14:34:15	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	53¢	$21	0xdd7bca…
08-27 13:53:57	Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	580	44¢	$255	0x2eda69…
08-27 12:39:22	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	286	22¢	$63	0xecfdcd…
08-26 22:23:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xe51eef…
08-26 22:22:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	338	36¢	$123	0xe4829d…
08-26 19:01:58	Counter-Strike: ALKA vs pugdesonesto (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Group Stage	pugdesonesto	BUY	56	35¢	$20	0x24cdf0…
08-26 19:01:03	wta papamic gorgodz 2026 08 26	Despina Papamichail	BUY	271	28¢	$77	0xc5013e…
08-26 18:59:06	wta papamic gorgodz 2026 08 26	Despina Papamichail	BUY	250	24¢	$60	0xbc0f75…
08-26 18:58:01	wta papamic gorgodz 2026 08 26	Despina Papamichail	BUY	116	30¢	$35	0xcdcdb8…
08-26 18:47:45	Counter-Strike: ALKA vs pugdesonesto (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Group Stage	pugdesonesto	BUY	334	57¢	$190	0x88fdd7…
08-26 17:45:31	atp ymer garin 2026 08 26 first set winner Ymer vs Garin	Garin	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xbdddd7…
08-26 17:35:52	atp skatov dimitro 2026 08 26 first set winner Skatov vs Dimitrov	Skatov	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x0ba446…
08-26 17:26:30	atp ymer garin 2026 08 26 first set winner Ymer vs Garin	Garin	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x2bbb1b…
08-26 16:13:04	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 Winner	M80	SELL	383	100¢	$382	0xfe54fb…
08-26 15:56:27	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 Winner	M80	BUY	286	68¢	$194	0x1cf8d9…
08-26 15:55:10	Map Handicap: ALKA (-1.5) vs pugdesonesto (+1.5)	ALKA	BUY	233	64¢	$150	0xa26551…
08-26 15:48:28	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 Winner	M80	BUY	97	34¢	$33	0x537053…
08-26 15:40:01	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	391	99¢	$385	0x9fdf5a…