Mushy-Working — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$80

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

49.3%

Resolved

746

Trades

1,610

lifetime

Volume

$4.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-11

last 10-24 23:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Other

59% 22% -$28

Crypto

37% 32% -$19

Politics

3% 13% -$31

Sports

1% 43% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+14	$1	8¢	$1	$0	10-24 23:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1 212	10	$211	534	295	+240	No	-$5	03-27 11:49
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	11	$208	177	152	+25	No	-$3	03-31 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 15:30 UTC	5	$200	175	172	+3	Up	+$22	03-28 15:33
will mrbeast hit 474 million subscribers by march 31 977 964	7	$172	148	144	+4	Yes	-$6	03-28 23:35
will mrbeasts next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 3	4	$110	123	123	+0	No	+$99	03-10 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 04:45 UTC	3	$109	111	104	+8	Up	+$104	04-15 04:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 20:40 UTC	4	$108	149	2	+147	Down	+$33	03-28 20:44
will mrbeasts next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3	5	$107	210	210	+0	Yes	+$103	03-10 11:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 17:35 UTC	1	$101	10,100	0	+10,100	Up	-$101	04-03 17:40
will mrbeasts next video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 4	4	$95	181	181	+0	Yes	+$19	03-25 13:38
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	21	$78	133	133	+0	No	+$8	04-05 12:31
will mrbeasts next video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 4	4	$75	110	110	+0	No	+$7	03-25 11:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 16:00 UTC	3	$65	103	103	+0	Up	+$61	03-28 16:04
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	7	$61	55	55	+0	Yes	+$7	06-19 02:40
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	2	$59	35	35	+0	Yes	-$1	06-17 04:46
another us government shutdown by february 14	6	$54	83	76	+7	No	+$41	02-14 00:18
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 122	3	$45	64	43	+21	No	-$9	03-12 19:36
will mrbeasts next video get less than 75 million views on day 5	5	$44	1,000	948	+52	No	+$42	03-26 04:31
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	5	$43	26	26	+0	Yes	+$7	06-17 02:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 15:55 UTC	3	$41	85	0	+85	Up	+$4	03-28 15:57
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	17	$37	130	107	+22	Yes	+$13	04-05 13:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 16:10 UTC	4	$35	49	13	+36	Down	-$9	03-28 16:14
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	13	$33	243	37	+206	No	+$2	04-05 09:56
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	3	$31	23	23	+0	Yes	+$11	07-01 02:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 15:45 UTC	5	$29	31	15	+16	Down	-$1	03-28 15:49
will mrbeasts next video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 6	7	$29	129	62	+67	No	+$5	03-27 11:46
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	12	$27	1,017	489	+529	No	+$7	04-05 09:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 15:35 UTC	5	$27	27	13	+14	Down	-$1	03-28 15:39
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	5	$26	17	17	+0	Yes	+$8	06-25 02:33
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 287	9	$25	297	126	+171	No	+$3	03-28 02:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 23:25:23	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0x787a1e…
10-24 23:22:30	Northern Colorado vs. UC Davis	Northern Colorado	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb15813…
10-24 23:18:05	Bengals vs. Ravens	Ravens	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x34e7c4…
10-24 23:17:38	Steelers vs. Saints	Steelers	BUY	2	61¢	$2	0x99b663…
10-22 07:50:24	Will Persebaya Surabaya win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa75d9b…
10-22 07:50:14	Will Persib Bandung win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe45b1f…
10-22 07:49:47	Will Persik Kediri win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa0f592…
10-22 06:57:59	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	409	0¢	$1	0x9f7c3a…
10-22 06:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x898d60…
10-22 05:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x7e7ce6…
10-22 05:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb77a5a…
10-22 05:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa909ca…
08-21 05:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x04fc27…
08-21 05:11:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7ea183…
08-21 05:05:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xa27024…
08-21 05:05:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x428fcd…
08-21 05:04:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf01a76…
08-21 04:59:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbd8a5e…
08-21 04:46:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9975a8…
08-21 04:46:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0x36432c…
08-21 04:45:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x20dd81…
08-21 04:44:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf2c725…
08-20 03:17:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x58b778…
08-20 02:14:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x66af3a…
08-20 02:12:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 02:10 UTC	Up	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0xa39ccb…
08-20 02:10:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x30a43b…
08-20 02:07:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6f4505…
07-19 19:58:43	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xdaa63e…
07-19 19:51:31	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x35eca9…
07-19 19:49:31	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x97210d…
07-18 13:55:45	Exact Score: France 0 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x2cb7e8…
07-18 13:55:15	Exact Score: France 1 - 0 England?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4e68de…
07-16 04:48:53	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0xc1531c…
07-16 04:48:26	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$3	0xf4c272…
07-16 04:48:01	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	143	2¢	$3	0xb4ac1f…
07-16 04:42:08	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xaebd83…
07-16 04:40:40	Exact Score: France 0 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0x1fb0dc…
07-16 04:40:19	Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x3497a9…
07-14 20:41:35	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	SELL	44	1¢	$1	0xbdead5…
07-14 20:41:23	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$1	0x717511…
07-14 20:40:46	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xdf01d5…
07-14 20:24:11	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x1ee052…
07-14 20:21:08	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x5d1e18…
07-14 20:19:13	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x639451…
07-08 23:56:02	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xf41a61…
07-08 23:55:52	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xdd9b7f…
07-08 23:55:13	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x8fb961…
07-07 16:27:40	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0xebed57…
07-07 16:27:10	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0x42c854…
07-07 14:58:10	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0x1d6521…
07-07 14:58:05	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xbf2f8b…
07-07 12:35:50	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xf19f98…
07-07 06:58:50	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xed3fcc…
07-07 06:55:43	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xe210f9…
07-07 06:55:35	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xdb940d…
07-07 06:53:37	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	143	2¢	$3	0xf4b61a…
07-07 06:53:25	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0x3e9db1…
07-07 06:53:16	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x32b5ee…
07-07 01:10:19	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x4871e5…
07-06 22:11:35	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	16	23¢	$4	0x7602dd…
07-06 19:05:31	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x737270…
07-06 16:14:41	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x831de0…
07-06 16:14:32	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x52afc2…
07-06 16:11:35	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x20d21d…
07-06 16:11:22	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x76838d…
07-06 16:11:07	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x926305…
07-06 16:10:44	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x7ba7d8…
07-06 16:10:13	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc85884…
07-06 14:38:35	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x5fe85f…
07-06 01:54:17	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xac3ebc…
07-06 01:54:04	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x123306…
07-05 07:38:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x160873…
07-04 13:58:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x165bc4…
07-04 13:45:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x11a925…
07-04 13:44:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 13:40 UTC	Up	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0xa6750c…
07-04 13:43:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7944a3…
07-04 13:36:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 13:35 UTC	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xb23098…
07-04 13:35:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x5bbae8…
07-04 13:30:46	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2bd543…
07-04 13:21:02	Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe62b61…
07-04 13:20:50	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc41d5e…
07-04 13:17:25	Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xd1a727…
07-04 13:17:19	Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xf56b8f…
07-04 02:31:59	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9ed951…
07-04 01:50:05	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x59f3f8…
07-04 01:49:20	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x02c716…
07-04 01:45:10	Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x896522…
07-04 01:23:05	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x794781…
07-04 01:22:52	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc20af9…
07-04 01:22:25	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x6f51a9…
07-04 01:22:10	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xa89c6f…
07-04 01:19:31	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0xe7f3ce…
07-04 01:18:22	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 team to advance	Ghana	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xf323d7…
07-04 01:18:11	Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x5c3d9a…
07-04 01:14:25	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x619f1c…
07-04 01:14:01	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	SELL	13	33¢	$4	0x9b57ab…
07-04 01:13:55	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 spread home 1pt5	United States	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x4b95b3…
07-04 01:04:07	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 spread away 1pt5	Norway	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0xd6c71d…
07-04 01:02:53	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0x34f9de…
07-03 03:18:10	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xebaa70…