Mushy-Working — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,320

lifetime

Volume

$4.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 06-30 06:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

53% — —

Crypto

43% 32% $-10

Politics

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1 212	10	$211	534	295	+240	open	—	03-27 11:49
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	11	$208	177	152	+25	open	—	03-31 17:29
btc updown 5m 1774711800	5	$200	175	172	+3	open	—	03-28 15:33
will mrbeast hit 474 million subscribers by march 31 977 964	7	$172	148	144	+4	open	—	03-28 23:35
will mrbeasts next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 3	4	$110	123	123	+0	open	—	03-10 15:49
btc updown 5m 1776228300	3	$109	111	104	+8	open	—	04-15 04:50
btc updown 5m 1774730400	4	$108	149	2	+147	open	—	03-28 20:44
will mrbeasts next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3	5	$107	210	210	+0	open	—	03-10 11:18
btc updown 5m 1775237700	1	$101	10,100	0	+10,100	open	—	04-03 17:40
will mrbeasts next video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 4	4	$95	181	181	+0	open	—	03-25 13:38
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	21	$78	133	133	+0	open	—	04-05 12:31
will mrbeasts next video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 4	4	$75	110	110	+0	open	—	03-25 11:16
btc updown 5m 1774713600	3	$65	103	103	+0	open	—	03-28 16:04
another us government shutdown by february 14	6	$54	83	76	+7	open	—	02-14 00:18
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 122	3	$45	64	43	+21	open	—	03-12 19:36
will mrbeasts next video get less than 75 million views on day 5	5	$44	1,000	948	+52	open	—	03-26 04:31
btc updown 5m 1774713300	3	$41	85	0	+85	open	—	03-28 15:57
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	17	$37	130	107	+22	open	—	04-05 13:12
btc updown 5m 1774714200	4	$35	49	13	+36	open	—	03-28 16:14
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	13	$33	243	37	+206	open	—	04-05 09:56
btc updown 5m 1774712700	5	$29	31	15	+16	open	—	03-28 15:49
will mrbeasts next video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 6	7	$29	129	62	+67	open	—	03-27 11:46
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	12	$27	1,017	489	+529	open	—	04-05 09:58
btc updown 5m 1774712100	5	$27	27	13	+14	open	—	03-28 15:39
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 287	9	$25	297	126	+171	open	—	03-28 02:29
btc updown 5m 1775268900	2	$25	47	0	+47	open	—	04-04 02:16
btc updown 5m 1775266800	6	$24	26	25	+1	open	—	04-04 01:44
btc updown 5m 1774711200	4	$24	75	0	+75	open	—	03-28 15:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$23	100	100	+0	open	—	04-04 05:48
btc updown 5m 1775247300	2	$22	21	19	+1	open	—	04-03 20:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 06:29:46	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	SELL	24	40¢	$10	0x490ef7…
06-30 06:24:37	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x90dade…
06-30 06:24:08	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x06c47a…
06-27 01:12:35	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	Spain	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x0b798f…
06-26 13:43:03	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	France	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xfae74c…
06-26 13:29:58	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	France	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x1be5a5…
06-26 13:28:46	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xe483ae…
06-25 03:25:05	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	United States	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xb1357b…
06-25 03:11:56	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 spread away 3pt5	United States	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5291c6…
06-25 03:11:35	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	United States	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x94934e…
06-25 02:57:13	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	Germany	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6d3d06…
06-25 02:57:02	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	Germany	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd89972…
06-25 02:33:29	fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Mexico	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x438832…
06-25 02:33:22	will trump say dumocrat or dumbocrat or dumacrat during june 24 rally 20260616194255615	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xef4d03…
06-24 13:31:05	will trumps remarks not air 20260616194255626	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x434771…
06-24 13:28:49	will trump say ronaldo or messi or pele during june 24 rally 20260616194255619	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf90c85…
06-24 13:28:37	will trump say hottest during june 24 rally 20260616194255606	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe4c528…
06-24 13:27:41	will trump say dumocrat or dumbocrat or dumacrat during june 24 rally 20260616194255615	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x18c150…
06-24 03:02:29	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Switzerland	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x490957…
06-24 00:03:01	fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x42e03a…
06-22 16:59:34	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x6951a2…
06-20 04:26:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf5ff9f…
06-16 19:33:43	btc updown 5m 1781638200	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xa310c0…
06-16 19:11:04	btc updown 5m 1781637000	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc6027d…
06-16 19:10:26	btc updown 5m 1781637000	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x330dbc…
06-16 19:09:43	btc updown 5m 1781636700	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x227a0f…
06-09 20:46:27	btc updown 5m 1781037900	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb76269…
06-01 16:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe0b3f4…
06-01 16:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x8e4f96…
06-01 16:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xff468c…
06-01 16:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc99b0f…
05-09 16:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1184c7…
05-09 16:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc42ee3…
05-09 16:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xa20103…
05-09 16:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfb6873…
05-09 16:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xcdbc85…
05-09 16:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x83e307…
05-09 15:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x2c261d…
05-09 15:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x93e3dc…
05-09 15:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb836ad…
05-09 15:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x2962cf…
05-09 15:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x40a00f…
05-09 15:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf6303d…
05-09 15:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x99d41d…
05-09 15:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x0a781a…
05-09 15:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x9bfc13…
05-09 15:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xa9904b…
05-09 15:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x503e9f…
05-09 15:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x37d8dd…
05-09 15:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7c9486…
05-09 15:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x5b28f3…
05-09 15:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3e07d9…
05-09 15:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xbd641f…
05-09 14:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	33	9¢	$3	0x3ee14d…
05-09 14:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9c6f09…
05-09 14:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x4d199b…
05-09 14:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xdfdd6a…
05-09 14:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5015ed…
05-09 14:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x73bb98…
05-09 14:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0f0484…
05-09 14:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xe52eb9…
05-09 14:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x28e6d9…
05-09 13:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x8ac9d9…
05-09 13:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5b6340…
05-09 04:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x51b84c…
05-09 04:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8bdc69…
05-09 04:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8557b4…
05-09 04:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbefba3…
05-09 04:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4573d8…
05-05 23:27:32	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	23	6¢	$1	0x1d8941…
05-05 17:01:18	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x8a0915…
05-05 13:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf59feb…
05-05 13:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0xc94c4b…
05-05 13:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9606c5…
05-05 13:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x11fa6e…
05-05 12:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5cf946…
05-05 12:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5d27f2…
05-04 16:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe11e02…
05-04 16:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x556e64…
05-04 16:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x14b26f…
05-04 16:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x3251ef…
05-04 16:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x68d5b0…
05-04 16:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x152656…
05-04 16:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3b5f80…
05-03 08:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd69d79…
05-03 08:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x588c41…
05-03 08:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x807e6e…
04-28 21:20:56	Will MrBeast hit 119.5 billion views by April 30?	No	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x9ab2e6…
04-28 21:20:26	Will MrBeast hit 120 billion views by April 30?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x56ab40…
04-28 21:18:54	Will MrBeast hit 119.5 billion views by April 30?	No	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x62601c…
04-28 01:05:12	Will MrBeast hit 119.5 billion views by April 30?	No	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x84a75f…
04-25 18:14:12	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x9abcbb…
04-25 18:14:04	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?	Yes	BUY	261	0¢	$1	0x64b8fe…
04-25 18:00:58	Will "Michael" score at least 35 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x6bf074…
04-25 17:58:52	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x07b508…
04-25 17:57:06	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xa3f111…
04-25 16:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x78184f…
04-25 16:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4b0fe1…
04-25 16:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x32ef15…
04-25 16:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x188c48…