Untrue-Plight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.6%

Resolved

Trades

102

lifetime

Volume

$968

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-20 11:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% $-9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$63	43	43	+0	open	—	05-14 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	5	$56	36	36	+0	open	—	05-14 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$56	35	35	+0	open	—	05-14 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$51	32	32	+0	open	—	05-14 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$51	32	32	+0	open	—	05-14 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$47	27	27	+0	open	—	05-14 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$43	31	31	+0	open	—	05-14 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$36	21	21	+0	open	—	05-14 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	05-14 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$34	43	43	+0	open	—	05-18 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$28	22	11	+11	open	—	05-19 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	05-14 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	7	$22	75	0	+75	open	—	05-18 13:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-19 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$21	27	27	+0	open	—	05-14 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$18	11	11	+0	open	—	05-19 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$18	12	12	+0	open	—	05-19 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	05-19 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	3	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$13	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	05-19 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-14 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$12	12	12	+0	Up	$-0	05-10 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$12	12	12	+0	Up	$-0	05-10 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	3	$11	24	0	+24	Up	+$1	05-10 11:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	$-3	05-08 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$11	23	0	+23	Down	+$0	05-10 12:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$11	23	0	+23	Up	+$0	05-10 12:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 11:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	67	4¢	$3	0x1d7e32…
05-19 14:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x9e449b…
05-19 13:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x04d664…
05-19 13:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	12	62¢	$7	0xfdc5e9…
05-19 13:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	88¢	$10	0xefe415…
05-19 13:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x388041…
05-19 13:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	50¢	$6	0x7738ea…
05-19 13:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xec2d01…
05-19 13:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x5da7d9…
05-19 13:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xbfc63d…
05-19 12:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xcf7927…
05-19 12:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x241d12…
05-19 12:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x7c3014…
05-19 12:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x2be894…
05-19 12:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0x892bae…
05-19 12:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x12601a…
05-19 12:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xffab90…
05-19 12:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xecd90d…
05-19 12:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$11	0x709001…
05-19 12:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	71¢	$8	0xe37df0…
05-19 12:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0xa52252…
05-19 12:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xdfbb4d…
05-18 13:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd2aefb…
05-18 13:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x58c1ec…
05-18 13:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x1ceabd…
05-18 13:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x367439…
05-18 13:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe8fbdb…
05-18 13:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0xe453e1…
05-18 13:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xb1af96…
05-18 13:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xa5e924…
05-18 12:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	43	45¢	$19	0x583a04…
05-18 12:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0x246b79…
05-14 15:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x082368…
05-14 15:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xf72982…
05-14 15:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xcf252c…
05-14 15:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	31	73¢	$22	0x1c3dc7…
05-14 15:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xdf54d8…
05-14 15:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0x90b007…
05-14 15:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	27	76¢	$20	0x12954e…
05-14 15:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x95c3b0…
05-14 15:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x943fc5…
05-14 15:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0x6baba2…
05-14 15:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0xe866d5…
05-14 15:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x9dd2f7…
05-14 15:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x6d5976…
05-14 15:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0x6a5662…
05-14 15:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	43	48¢	$20	0xd8e008…
05-14 14:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0xb40282…
05-14 14:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x581ada…
05-14 14:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0xa4d149…
05-14 14:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	31	59¢	$18	0xc1e72a…
05-14 14:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x9bf67f…
05-14 14:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3af75e…
05-14 14:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x059d3b…
05-14 14:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x3fc16b…
05-14 14:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	35	60¢	$21	0x0756ae…
05-14 14:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0xda5412…
05-14 14:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	66¢	$6	0x9ed302…
05-14 14:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x5f1450…
05-14 14:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x84e636…
05-14 14:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xd441f7…
05-14 14:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xa9c4b6…
05-14 14:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	72¢	$15	0x4337be…
05-14 14:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x04dbf4…
05-14 14:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xb3176a…
05-14 14:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x04fd23…
05-14 14:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x9f218d…
05-14 14:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xa0c9a0…
05-14 14:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x8b21d7…
05-10 15:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	31¢	$4	0x40cb37…
05-10 15:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x94ed7d…
05-10 15:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0xf5b78d…
05-10 15:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x55c401…
05-10 15:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	43¢	$4	0xc41082…
05-10 15:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xec3f29…
05-10 14:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0xaa06cb…
05-10 14:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x02642a…
05-10 14:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0xf2ff69…
05-10 14:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x0564d9…
05-10 14:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0xb4f3b4…
05-10 14:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x43c8cf…
05-10 14:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x79c2dd…
05-10 13:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0x762a73…
05-10 13:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xae2d41…
05-10 13:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x0382bb…
05-10 13:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x32f45a…
05-10 12:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0xa0840b…
05-10 12:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x0933db…
05-10 12:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0x9dcadb…
05-10 12:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x7603f8…
05-10 12:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0xbf1ae9…
05-10 12:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x9e865a…
05-10 12:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x8817f8…
05-10 12:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x119217…
05-10 11:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xde1a7d…
05-10 11:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$4	0x2f1c13…
05-10 11:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xd1ce34…
05-10 11:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	42¢	$4	0x9ffbc3…
05-10 11:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xc9ea7e…
05-08 18:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x8c4ffb…