Sturdy-Failure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$480

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.0%

Resolved

14,292

Trades

18,055

lifetime

Volume

$263.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 10-21 14:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 88% -$479

Other

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 528 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:45 UTC	9	$712	749	+749	Down	+$37	08-20 12:47
bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 5am et	4	$637	708	+708	Up	+$71	08-07 09:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 06:25 UTC	8	$588	619	+619	Down	+$31	07-14 06:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 12:20 UTC	9	$559	588	+588	Down	+$29	07-18 12:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 00:30 UTC	1	$559	588	+588	Down	+$29	07-15 00:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 23:50 UTC	1	$559	588	+588	Up	+$29	07-12 23:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$531	559	+559	Up	+$28	07-14 11:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 00:15 UTC	2	$531	559	+559	Down	+$28	07-15 00:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:25 UTC	14	$530	558	+558	Up	+$28	08-20 08:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 03:30 UTC	1	$504	531	+531	Down	+$27	07-13 03:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	17	$495	521	+521	Up	+$26	07-18 12:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 23:05 UTC	1	$479	504	+504	Up	+$25	06-08 23:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 16:40 UTC	5	$479	504	+504	Down	+$25	08-17 16:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 22:05 UTC	1	$479	504	+504	Down	+$25	06-08 22:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 13:00 UTC	1	$479	504	+504	Down	+$25	06-07 13:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 00:30 UTC	3	$479	504	+504	Up	-$479	06-09 00:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:50 UTC	7	$479	504	+504	Down	+$25	06-07 17:52
bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 11pm et	3	$473	526	+526	Down	-$473	08-22 03:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 07:40 UTC	1	$470	504	+504	Down	+$34	06-07 07:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 18:15 UTC	1	$470	504	+504	Down	+$34	06-07 18:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 01:25 UTC	12	$464	489	+489	Down	+$24	08-20 01:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 14:50 UTC	1	$455	479	+479	Down	+$24	07-13 14:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 20:20 UTC	13	$450	473	+473	Down	+$24	07-15 20:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:05 UTC	1	$444	467	+467	Down	+$23	08-20 15:06
bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 8pm et	1	$440	488	+488	Down	+$49	08-04 00:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 22:50 UTC	1	$433	455	+455	Up	+$23	07-12 22:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 11:20 UTC	1	$426	449	+449	Up	+$22	06-07 11:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 00:40 UTC	1	$412	434	+434	Down	+$22	08-22 00:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 06:20 UTC	1	$411	433	+433	Down	+$22	07-16 06:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 14:25 UTC	1	$411	433	+433	Up	+$22	07-13 14:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 14:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc2885c…
10-21 14:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x830952…
10-21 14:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x644766…
10-21 14:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xaf23fa…
10-21 14:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x321987…
10-21 14:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2e196f…
10-21 13:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xbf2ff4…
10-21 13:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf1160c…
10-21 13:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xcd4b17…
10-21 09:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x451e17…
10-21 09:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x5317e5…
10-20 18:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xec2309…
09-11 13:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd28600…
09-11 13:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8727a2…
09-11 13:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xd3f9bf…
09-11 13:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x2b50bf…
09-11 13:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xaaa962…
09-11 13:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf0ced8…
09-11 13:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x29d9fd…
09-11 13:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9b8bd0…
09-11 13:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0x4dceb1…
09-11 13:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7489cf…
09-11 13:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xee06ae…
09-11 12:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x03a5d8…
09-11 12:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x479a1f…
09-11 12:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xd293b3…
09-11 12:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0x650eb1…
09-11 12:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xcdf7cd…
09-11 12:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x264341…
09-11 12:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x32ede6…
09-11 12:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xed8d93…
09-11 12:34:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-11 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x24810f…
09-11 12:33:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-11 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x5b13ce…
09-11 12:33:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-11 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xccb54f…
09-11 12:32:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-11 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xd89417…
09-11 12:32:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-11 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5a8cfc…
09-11 12:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x4c1547…
09-11 12:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xfa303f…
09-11 12:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xd6b403…
09-11 12:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xee30aa…
09-11 11:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x57b4df…
09-11 11:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xdf0f43…
09-11 11:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9bc0de…
09-11 11:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xc25e15…
09-11 11:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x736bf8…
09-11 11:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x0d5ac9…
09-11 11:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xb10913…
09-11 11:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x403efd…
09-11 11:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x089579…
09-11 11:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xbfa9e8…
09-11 11:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0c61e9…
09-11 11:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x8f62ab…
09-11 11:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x07cf02…
09-11 11:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa1079e…
09-11 11:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8181fc…
09-11 11:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x3511bd…
09-11 10:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x431806…
09-11 10:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe29299…
09-11 10:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x28301c…
09-11 10:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd306d8…
09-11 10:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x69bcf2…
09-11 09:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7664b0…
09-11 09:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x1a43eb…
09-11 09:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x9ffd94…
09-11 09:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf488d5…
09-10 23:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4f1280…
09-10 23:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf8e97a…
09-10 23:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5a51db…
09-10 23:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x5d6773…
09-10 23:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x611085…
09-10 23:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x1f4b84…
09-10 23:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe03080…
09-10 23:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x3283de…
09-10 22:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xda9a85…
09-10 22:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x32deb2…
09-10 22:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x698f12…
09-10 22:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x089536…
09-10 22:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0xd662a6…
09-10 22:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x76cdc4…
09-10 22:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x6b0c22…
09-10 22:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x5d153d…
09-10 22:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xfdf032…
09-10 22:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x928bac…
09-10 22:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xb79775…
09-10 22:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0ad0dc…
09-10 22:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x78a737…
09-10 22:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x904019…
09-10 22:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x181d90…
09-10 22:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2b2dc6…
09-10 22:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x56d455…
09-10 22:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x44a153…
09-10 22:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xe94cef…
09-10 21:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x77dade…
09-10 21:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x672a42…
09-10 21:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd68946…
09-10 21:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd0c3dd…
09-10 21:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x09c0bb…
09-10 18:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xcf4ad7…
09-10 18:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5c1f4c…
09-10 18:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xa13b07…