Sturdy-Failure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$150

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 19:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down		+13	$12	99¢	$13	+$1	05-05 19:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$68	72	+72	Down	+$4	05-04 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$12	13	+13	open	—	05-05 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$11	12	+12	open	—	05-05 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$11	11	+11	Down	+$1	05-04 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$9	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-04 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$9	10	+10	Up	+$0	05-05 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$8	9	+9	open	—	05-05 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$7	8	+8	open	—	05-05 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$7	8	+8	Up	+$0	05-04 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$6	7	+7	open	—	05-05 16:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 19:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x94d13c…
05-05 18:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xfbd959…
05-05 17:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0xb589b6…
05-05 16:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0xab5e38…
05-05 14:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x237e00…
05-05 01:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xa28c30…
05-04 22:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	72	95¢	$68	0xbd336a…
05-04 22:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x80f44e…
05-04 21:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0x97f057…
05-04 20:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0xb49455…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	9	$1.30K	47	05-05 19:14
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	8	$601	76	05-05 19:14
Studious-Reality 0x167a…d542	7	$592	55	05-05 19:13
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	6	$4.47K	25	05-05 19:14
Hidden-Plywood 0xee34…4f48	5	$528	11	05-05 19:14
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	4	$1.23K	23	05-05 19:13
Charming-Tourism 0x57f1…5b0f	4	$700	7	05-05 14:59
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	4	$518	8	05-05 19:14