Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$634

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.0%

Resolved

443

Trades

4,686

lifetime

Volume

$23.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-11

last 10-09 14:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 48% -$189

Other

29% 37% -$382

Tech

3% 24% -$40

Politics

3% 18% -$28

Sports

1% 50% +$6

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 2235 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 19:10 UTC	224	$480	959	0	+959	Down	-$5	09-19 19:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:20 UTC	199	$411	858	0	+858	Up	-$22	09-19 20:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:30 UTC	189	$380	789	0	+789	Down	-$56	09-19 20:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:25 UTC	135	$348	605	0	+605	Up	+$2	09-19 21:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 03:30 UTC	65	$292	548	0	+548	Down	+$11	09-20 03:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:10 UTC	143	$281	575	0	+575	Down	-$31	09-19 20:12
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	25	$272	354	350	+4	Yes	-$11	09-23 01:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 22:15 UTC	95	$244	425	0	+425	Up	-$39	09-19 22:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 03:00 UTC	44	$221	453	0	+453	Up	+$0	09-20 03:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 03:40 UTC	56	$219	446	0	+446	Up	+$48	09-20 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	33	$211	411	0	+411	Down	-$23	09-20 11:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:00 UTC	47	$208	424	0	+424	Up	-$28	09-20 05:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 04:25 UTC	41	$208	409	0	+409	Up	+$16	09-20 04:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 03:15 UTC	36	$202	385	0	+385	Up	-$7	09-20 03:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:15 UTC	100	$200	430	0	+430	Down	-$25	09-19 20:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 08:50 UTC	50	$188	374	0	+374	Up	-$26	09-20 08:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 04:55 UTC	42	$187	321	0	+321	Down	-$79	09-20 04:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 03:25 UTC	29	$187	344	0	+344	Down	-$20	09-20 03:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	51	$185	379	0	+379	Down	-$15	09-20 11:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 06:00 UTC	50	$185	367	0	+367	Down	-$9	09-20 06:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:35 UTC	36	$182	326	0	+326	Up	-$62	09-20 01:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 07:25 UTC	39	$180	373	0	+373	Up	-$10	09-20 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	39	$179	362	0	+362	Down	-$6	09-20 12:34
Sao Paulo Open: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita	18	$173	564	0	+564	Darja Semenistaja	-$173	09-15 14:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 02:45 UTC	35	$170	370	0	+370	Down	+$9	09-20 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	34	$170	300	0	+300	Up	+$30	09-20 11:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 06:25 UTC	34	$165	317	0	+317	Down	-$3	09-20 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	37	$161	325	0	+325	Down	-$1	09-20 10:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 07:00 UTC	40	$158	319	0	+319	Down	-$5	09-20 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	24	$156	264	0	+264	Up	+$4	09-20 10:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 14:21:03	Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x7492d2…
10-09 14:20:52	Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	No	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0xd9aa12…
10-09 14:20:52	Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	No	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x487745…
10-09 04:14:42	Will Simon peak at Category 4?	No	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x93e050…
10-09 04:14:42	Will Simon peak at Category 4?	No	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0x907d6d…
10-09 04:07:27	Will Simon peak at Category 4?	No	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0x8aa2e0…
10-09 02:41:18	Will Simon peak at Category 4?	No	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x383916…
10-09 02:41:18	Will Simon peak at Category 4?	No	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x151741…
10-09 02:29:39	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x56525d…
10-09 02:29:36	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xa69eb0…
10-09 01:44:24	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x9f64e2…
10-09 01:44:14	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xd1e419…
10-08 14:56:36	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x8dcc53…
10-08 13:06:45	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x2f8a02…
10-08 05:30:05	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a zombie in a 5th timeframe?	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x977712…
10-08 05:30:02	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a zombie in a 5th timeframe?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xfacf2e…
10-08 01:19:38	Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 5?	No	SELL	18	69¢	$13	0x489c9d…
10-07 14:55:19	Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 5?	No	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x2218dc…
10-07 03:00:54	Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 5?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x0ae756…
10-06 12:23:21	nobel peace prize 2026 awarded to an individual	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x83a39d…
10-06 11:57:25	Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x7437e5…
10-06 05:51:06	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a ghast?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x717022…
10-06 04:16:36	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a ghast?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xef41d1…
10-06 00:53:05	Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 120 and 149 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	Yes	SELL	18	20¢	$4	0xad9bda…
10-06 00:52:56	Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 120 and 149 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0xab178e…
10-06 00:14:20	Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 60 and 89 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x95c456…
10-06 00:14:08	Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 60 and 89 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x836f20…
10-05 19:18:32	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xb4b7b7…
10-05 19:18:20	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x24b9a3…
10-05 18:49:52	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	No	SELL	13	56¢	$7	0xf6916f…
10-05 18:49:52	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	No	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0xa93217…
10-05 14:04:10	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x6ae954…
10-05 13:06:49	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Chuck Schumer by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x27202f…
10-05 10:21:02	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Chuck Schumer by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xa46cad…
10-05 03:06:22	will jynxzi ron or los die to a polar bear 20261004	Yes	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0x8367e6…
10-05 03:05:56	will jynxzi ron or los die to a polar bear 20261004	Yes	SELL	17	11¢	$2	0x2a6b01…
10-05 03:00:13	will jynxzi ron or los die to a polar bear 20261004	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xc1be16…
10-05 02:57:28	will jynxzi ron or los die to an iron golem 20261004	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xdb1970…
10-05 02:57:16	will jynxzi ron or los die to an iron golem 20261004	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x9157c8…
10-05 02:47:49	will jynxzi ron or los die to an iron golem 20261004	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xb66310…
10-05 02:21:28	will jynxzi ron or los be eliminated by lava 20261004	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x96c7b6…
10-05 02:21:22	will jynxzi ron or los be eliminated by lava 20261004	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x180003…
10-05 02:17:53	will jynxzi ron or los die to an iron golem 20261004	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x42a0cf…
10-04 20:05:41	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x49cfd1…
10-04 20:05:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x9743c8…
10-04 10:09:11	will the uss george washington depart centcom by november 15 2026	No	SELL	9	49¢	$5	0x499e32…
10-04 10:09:08	will the uss george washington depart centcom by november 15 2026	No	SELL	11	59¢	$6	0xdfbde4…
10-04 10:08:55	will the uss george washington depart centcom by november 15 2026	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x5e1074…
10-04 09:22:56	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0xe4c375…
10-04 09:22:53	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xff5d33…
10-04 09:22:41	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0b747b…
10-04 03:56:08	Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xd78241…
10-04 03:56:05	Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x2c78fd…
10-04 03:38:16	Will no Atlantic hurricane form in October 2026?	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x846d8f…
10-04 02:19:37	Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x491313…
10-04 02:19:28	Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x3d5324…
10-04 01:18:52	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be less than $0.55 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x888ca7…
10-04 01:18:47	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be less than $0.55 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xe6ef7b…
10-03 22:19:11	Will no Atlantic hurricane form in October 2026?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x321c29…
10-03 20:04:05	will eu emergency diesel stocks be at least 33m tonnes at end of october 2026	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x910992…
10-03 16:20:39	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x0f259b…
10-03 13:41:44	will eu emergency diesel stocks be at least 31m tonnes at end of november 2026	Yes	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0xe0c288…
10-03 13:41:41	will eu emergency diesel stocks be at least 31m tonnes at end of november 2026	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x87a084…
10-03 13:41:38	will eu emergency diesel stocks be at least 31m tonnes at end of november 2026	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xbcecc2…
10-03 10:57:27	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 17 2026	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x5137b1…
10-03 04:57:38	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 17?	Yes	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xfb22bf…
10-03 04:57:35	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 17?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xefc6e5…
10-03 02:16:36	Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xc25066…
10-03 02:16:21	Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xad4503…
10-03 01:46:44	Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	No	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x192bb7…
10-03 01:28:33	will gemini argon debut with a humanitys last exam score of 60 or higher	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xe0f10b…
10-03 01:25:41	will gemini argon debut with a humanitys last exam score of 60 or higher	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xd4b857…
10-03 01:09:50	Saudi troops enter Sanaa by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0xcd5eb4…
10-03 00:46:06	Saudi troops enter Sanaa by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0xd472a5…
10-03 00:36:48	Saudi troops enter Sanaa by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xc3fb76…
10-03 00:01:20	Saudi troops enter Sanaa by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x7e7bc3…
10-03 00:01:14	Saudi troops enter Sanaa by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xbc7db4…
10-02 23:10:12	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	19	14¢	$3	0x27d988…
10-02 22:35:02	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xd4117f…
10-02 20:28:45	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x02edc8…
10-02 18:37:51	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 17 2026	No	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x65b84f…
10-02 18:37:48	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 17 2026	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xe9e941…
10-02 17:15:15	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x70edcd…
10-02 15:34:09	will eu emergency diesel stocks be at least 33m tonnes at end of december 2026	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8ea17b…
10-02 14:29:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xaddd56…
10-02 14:11:54	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Emmanuel Macron by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x91f1ae…
10-02 09:51:51	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Emmanuel Macron by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xddde58…
10-02 07:59:05	Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x74b336…
10-02 07:23:00	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x1e6e6b…
10-02 07:22:54	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x727e1f…
10-02 07:22:45	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0x8d779b…
10-02 07:22:44	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0xa941b9…
10-02 06:15:45	Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x98a551…
10-02 06:05:30	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 3?	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x5d41e8…
10-02 05:35:17	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 3?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x9cb997…
10-02 04:32:54	will abbas araghchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 2	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xfcedcb…
10-02 04:32:35	will abbas araghchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 2	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x9718bc…
10-02 04:17:09	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xa3fca9…
10-02 01:47:00	Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xd761af…
10-02 01:16:56	Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x20b9a4…