Excitable-Otter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$112

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.8%

Resolved

131

Trades

843

lifetime

Volume

$6.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 05-17 14:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 47% $-112

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 193 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$286	952	+952	open	—	03-30 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$20	42	+42	open	—	05-17 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$20	24	+24	open	—	05-17 01:26
btc updown 5m 1776080100	1	$19	35	+35	open	—	04-13 11:35
btc updown 5m 1776070200	1	$19	34	+34	open	—	04-13 08:50
btc updown 5m 1776080400	1	$19	75	+75	open	—	04-13 11:40
btc updown 5m 1776077700	1	$19	27	+27	open	—	04-13 10:55
btc updown 5m 1776078300	1	$18	35	+35	open	—	04-13 11:05
btc updown 5m 1776079500	1	$18	28	+28	open	—	04-13 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$18	20	+20	open	—	05-17 10:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$18	22	+22	open	—	05-17 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$18	20	+20	open	—	05-17 00:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$18	89	+89	open	—	05-17 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$18	20	+20	open	—	05-17 14:32
btc updown 5m 1776081000	1	$18	39	+39	open	—	04-13 11:50
btc updown 5m 1776083100	1	$18	31	+31	open	—	04-13 12:25
btc updown 5m 1776081300	1	$17	32	+32	open	—	04-13 11:55
btc updown 5m 1776069000	1	$17	25	+25	open	—	04-13 08:30
btc updown 5m 1776081900	1	$17	25	+25	open	—	04-13 12:05
btc updown 5m 1776082800	1	$17	37	+37	open	—	04-13 12:20
btc updown 5m 1776078900	1	$17	41	+41	open	—	04-13 11:15
btc updown 5m 1776049500	1	$17	25	+25	open	—	04-13 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$17	22	+22	open	—	05-17 01:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$17	20	+20	open	—	05-17 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$17	22	+22	open	—	05-17 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$17	19	+19	open	—	05-17 03:02
btc updown 5m 1776077100	1	$17	28	+28	open	—	04-13 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$17	26	+26	Up	$-17	05-11 09:45
btc updown 5m 1776073500	1	$17	30	+30	open	—	04-13 09:45
btc updown 5m 1776050400	1	$17	39	+39	open	—	04-13 03:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 14:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x69c79f…
05-17 14:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1,500	1¢	$15	0xc6979f…
05-17 14:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	74¢	$14	0xf4c59e…
05-17 13:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	89	20¢	$18	0xb00526…
05-17 11:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	79¢	$17	0xe86fc1…
05-17 10:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x7f5821…
05-17 10:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1,500	1¢	$15	0xc94057…
05-17 10:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x777a2c…
05-17 03:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0x82211c…
05-17 02:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x08cd1e…
05-17 01:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0xc5ad64…
05-17 01:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xdd88de…
05-17 01:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	80¢	$18	0xda9a70…
05-17 01:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x96fb8b…
05-17 01:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0x816e6f…
05-17 01:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x812ab2…
05-17 00:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x9330c2…
05-16 18:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xa625c8…
05-16 16:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0xf653db…
05-16 15:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x0ac95a…
05-16 15:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x618c09…
05-16 14:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xc8f6a8…
05-16 14:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	23	47¢	$11	0x0129f5…
05-16 11:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xa15184…
05-16 10:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x6b1339…
05-16 10:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x68cf3a…
05-16 10:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0xf9947b…
05-16 10:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xd200f2…
05-16 09:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x95590d…
05-16 09:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xd9d01d…
05-16 09:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x86f5f6…
05-16 08:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xc03c24…
05-16 08:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x90cae2…
05-16 08:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xc83596…
05-16 07:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0x482db5…
05-16 07:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x610414…
05-16 07:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	65¢	$12	0xdf448d…
05-16 07:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x23463e…
05-16 07:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x76ace8…
05-16 07:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x1d4f74…
05-16 07:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0x2b95af…
05-11 19:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x9f0922…
05-11 19:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0xe337c3…
05-11 19:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xb4bbee…
05-11 18:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0xde034c…
05-11 18:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x3e34e8…
05-11 18:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x71820d…
05-11 18:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x972427…
05-11 18:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xac4a8c…
05-11 18:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x87daf9…
05-11 18:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x199f6e…
05-11 18:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6e13e3…
05-11 18:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0xbcfe93…
05-11 18:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0xd5840a…
05-11 18:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$6	0x29d3f7…
05-11 18:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xa85240…
05-11 17:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0xb7dd27…
05-11 17:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0xbae8c0…
05-11 17:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xa8fe22…
05-11 17:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0xb8a1a6…
05-11 17:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xeaa9b7…
05-11 17:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x951bee…
05-11 17:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0xd23e10…
05-11 16:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x35a0e6…
05-11 16:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0x9d6ae4…
05-11 16:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0xf8e822…
05-11 16:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9bb789…
05-11 16:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0x192961…
05-11 16:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x3f3382…
05-11 16:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x6a43bb…
05-11 16:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	62¢	$8	0x32827c…
05-11 15:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	60¢	$6	0x488ece…
05-11 15:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x7dead4…
05-11 15:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x0adcb3…
05-11 15:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x796b75…
05-11 15:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xa9e785…
05-11 15:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$5	0x9aeb7b…
05-11 15:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x654dc0…
05-11 15:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x92e2a2…
05-11 15:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0xa420f9…
05-11 15:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xf9fc1e…
05-11 14:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0x18d044…
05-11 14:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x5cd5e3…
05-11 14:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x11bce9…
05-11 14:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x1ac463…
05-11 14:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0xa1012d…
05-11 14:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0xcd6342…
05-11 14:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x5e2520…
05-11 13:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xe436bb…
05-11 13:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xeefbb6…
05-11 13:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0xcf32d8…
05-11 12:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0xfdf532…
05-11 12:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x824d00…
05-11 11:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0x5a7ae6…
05-11 11:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x6f6261…
05-11 11:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x9a120e…
05-11 11:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe60f12…
05-11 09:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0xe42844…
05-11 09:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x8041c2…
05-11 09:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x36cf8d…