Smoggy-Shovel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.03K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.9%

Resolved

1,424

Trades

12,334

lifetime

Volume

$70.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 10-27 13:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 45% -$4,025

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 789 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	3	$1.4K	3,358	3,358	+0	No	-$26	06-12 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9AM ET	52	$1.2K	1,303	1,035	+268	Down	+$540	10-02 14:00
will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	2	$1.1K	880	880	+0	Yes	+$639	06-05 15:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	3	$1.1K	2,202	2,202	+0	No	+$593	06-11 22:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 13:15 UTC	34	$1.0K	1,091	502	+589	Down	-$60	02-12 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9AM ET	28	$994	1,082	782	+300	Up	+$568	10-12 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9AM ET	30	$982	791	791	+0	Up	+$582	10-01 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 9AM ET	37	$769	672	572	+100	Down	+$367	10-13 14:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	2	$769	3,302	3,302	+0	No	+$289	06-11 22:51
bitcoin up or down august 19 2026 4pm et	38	$675	2,061	0	+2,061	Up	-$675	08-19 20:09
bitcoin up or down august 19 2026 5pm et	45	$675	2,061	0	+2,061	Up	-$675	08-19 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3PM ET	10	$647	423	423	+0	Up	+$197	05-26 20:12
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	2	$504	521	521	+0	No	+$4	06-12 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9AM ET	34	$454	955	355	+600	Down	+$400	10-08 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9AM ET	25	$431	828	362	+466	Up	+$31	10-22 13:49
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 12:45 UTC	5	$424	794	0	+794	Down	-$424	03-19 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9AM ET	35	$422	745	372	+373	Up	+$435	10-20 13:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 13:30 UTC	6	$350	793	0	+793	Up	+$140	02-12 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10PM ET	7	$346	246	246	-0	Up	+$97	05-31 02:51
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 04:00 UTC	4	$340	646	0	+646	Up	-$340	03-14 03:45
bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 3am et	22	$338	1,030	0	+1,030	Up	-$338	08-21 07:11
bitcoin up or down august 19 2026 7pm et	23	$338	1,030	0	+1,030	Up	-$338	08-19 23:43
bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 4am et	21	$337	1,030	0	+1,030	Up	-$337	08-21 08:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 11:45 UTC	6	$300	588	0	+588	Up	-$300	02-12 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9AM ET	27	$299	792	198	+594	Down	-$101	10-16 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9AM ET	57	$299	1,136	0	+1,136	Up	+$166	10-06 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1AM ET	11	$279	809	0	+809	Down	-$279	09-09 05:31
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in june 2026	2	$275	195	195	+0	Yes	+$115	06-04 02:27
bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 10am et	27	$270	824	0	+824	Down	-$270	08-26 14:33
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 12:30 UTC	4	$255	478	0	+478	Down	-$255	03-19 12:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x4d0e58…
10-27 13:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	23	29¢	$7	0xda0abe…
10-27 13:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	27	28¢	$7	0x09798e…
10-27 13:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x03fa67…
10-27 13:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0xb3037a…
10-27 13:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	16	29¢	$5	0xc7977a…
10-27 13:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0xe1844f…
10-27 13:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0x40a168…
10-27 13:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x91533e…
10-27 13:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6fc148…
10-27 13:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xa9ee24…
10-27 13:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x959489…
10-27 13:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xeae462…
10-27 13:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0xd2e401…
10-27 13:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x51733c…
10-27 13:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0xef70d7…
10-27 13:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xe75ca6…
10-27 13:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x14bc0b…
10-27 13:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xed7691…
10-27 13:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xdc226a…
10-27 13:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x7f733c…
10-27 13:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0x787cdc…
10-27 13:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x398fb6…
10-27 13:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x07f6ba…
10-27 13:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x492973…
10-27 13:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xbb308a…
10-27 13:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x597144…
10-27 13:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xe68082…
10-27 13:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x60ade2…
10-27 13:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xe73911…
10-27 13:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x4313f2…
10-27 13:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x73c0aa…
10-27 13:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0xde12dd…
10-27 13:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xc434a2…
10-27 13:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xb8c1e4…
10-27 13:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x9057aa…
10-27 13:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x16442e…
10-27 13:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xba1525…
10-27 13:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x999c0f…
10-27 13:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xaaff61…
10-27 13:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x92a2c8…
10-27 13:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x3ee7dd…
10-27 13:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x2866e7…
10-26 13:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x357020…
10-26 13:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x489cbf…
10-26 13:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x81832b…
10-26 13:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	80	20¢	$16	0xc2c9d0…
10-26 13:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0xd417ab…
10-26 13:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	53	21¢	$11	0x83b29d…
10-26 13:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0xa7fd86…
10-26 13:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	33	22¢	$7	0xee3cda…
10-26 13:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0xfe34d7…
10-26 13:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0xf9525e…
10-26 13:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0xef2c56…
10-26 13:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xd5161c…
10-26 13:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xc52022…
10-26 13:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x7d23c4…
10-26 13:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x682a54…
10-26 13:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x4ea974…
10-26 13:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x3fcde2…
10-26 13:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x2b9d53…
10-26 13:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x1d4753…
10-26 13:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x19787c…
10-26 13:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0x6e1469…
10-26 13:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xcb72b8…
10-26 13:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xe58100…
10-26 13:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	56	26¢	$15	0xbdfb8d…
10-26 13:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1d6ed5…
10-26 13:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	71	27¢	$19	0xe90faa…
10-26 13:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x4cf52a…
10-26 13:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xb49d5b…
10-24 02:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	142	99¢	$140	0xf7bb11…
10-24 02:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xc85770…
10-24 02:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xf234ef…
10-24 02:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0xd0d038…
10-24 02:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xefd496…
10-24 02:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0xa78639…
10-24 02:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x835aff…
10-24 02:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x31e990…
10-24 02:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x21f1c3…
10-24 02:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x1e0857…
10-24 02:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xfe899a…
10-24 02:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xe89888…
10-24 02:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x954961…
10-24 02:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x795561…
10-24 02:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x755907…
10-24 02:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x5c84d1…
10-24 02:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x383924…
10-24 02:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x226947…
10-24 02:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x1a1bc8…
10-24 02:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x081a07…
10-24 02:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xfa5c2f…
10-24 02:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x1e542a…
10-24 02:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xd1a858…
10-24 02:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x94e8ce…
10-24 02:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x739006…
10-24 02:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1aabfe…
10-24 02:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x906390…
10-23 03:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x9eb224…
10-23 03:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x81ed0a…