Sudden-Atmosphere — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$86

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.0%

Resolved

Trades

284

lifetime

Volume

$11.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 05-13 18:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% $-86

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$462	264	264	+0	Down	+$62	05-10 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$348	262	251	+12	open	—	04-26 00:35
btc updown 5m 1776770700	2	$308	172	169	+2	open	—	04-21 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$300	303	0	+303	open	—	04-25 00:34
btc updown 5m 1777056600	1	$300	308	0	+308	open	—	04-24 18:54
btc updown 5m 1776785400	2	$280	189	182	+6	open	—	04-21 15:35
btc updown 5m 1776788400	2	$245	151	147	+4	open	—	04-21 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$243	135	135	+0	Down	+$24	05-06 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$236	137	137	+0	Down	+$36	05-11 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$218	119	119	+0	open	—	05-01 22:30
btc updown 5m 1777002000	2	$215	118	116	+1	open	—	04-24 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$214	115	115	+0	Up	+$14	05-13 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$206	108	108	+0	Up	+$6	05-06 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$202	103	103	+0	open	—	04-28 07:15
btc updown 5m 1776725700	2	$202	103	103	+0	open	—	04-20 23:00
btc updown 5m 1777051200	2	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	04-24 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	4	$190	124	101	+23	open	—	05-01 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$181	92	92	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 05:25
btc updown 5m 1776743700	2	$161	82	82	+0	open	—	04-21 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	3	$144	216	34	+182	open	—	05-01 22:45
btc updown 5m 1776746400	2	$144	98	95	+3	open	—	04-21 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$143	84	84	+0	open	—	04-30 05:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$138	78	78	+0	open	—	04-30 05:55
btc updown 5m 1776746700	2	$134	88	85	+3	open	—	04-21 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$134	85	85	+0	Up	+$34	05-10 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$131	82	82	+0	open	—	04-28 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$129	80	80	+0	open	—	04-30 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$128	81	79	+2	open	—	04-26 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$127	68	68	+0	open	—	05-01 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$119	69	69	+0	open	—	04-29 17:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 18:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	163	62¢	$100	0x34bfe8…
05-13 03:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x7ade45…
05-13 03:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	115	99¢	$114	0x1ac1b2…
05-13 02:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x1e4324…
05-11 04:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xcd5b07…
05-11 04:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x8090b0…
05-11 04:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	137	99¢	$136	0x684c3e…
05-11 04:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x9d0a8c…
05-11 03:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1a380c…
05-10 05:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x1c0d08…
05-10 05:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xd15f38…
05-10 02:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	264	99¢	$262	0xdbc048…
05-10 01:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	264	76¢	$200	0x0d6c83…
05-10 01:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4cc38b…
05-10 01:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x3255f3…
05-10 01:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x97896d…
05-06 14:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	160	25¢	$40	0x487768…
05-06 05:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	135	99¢	$134	0x56f9eb…
05-06 04:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	135	81¢	$109	0x0167a0…
05-06 04:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x7b983e…
05-06 02:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x97041d…
05-06 02:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x675a49…
05-06 01:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x66ec48…
05-06 01:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	108	99¢	$106	0x706e4b…
05-06 01:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x709238…
05-06 01:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa98f9a…
05-06 01:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xc074ca…
05-06 01:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x0ff8de…
05-06 01:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x4b7b1e…
05-05 20:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x77f64f…
05-05 20:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0647c2…
05-05 20:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x89914c…
05-05 19:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x08a8a1…
05-05 19:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0x824abd…
05-05 19:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xbadda1…
05-05 15:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x436ec5…
05-05 05:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0x7c92b2…
05-05 05:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0x20c264…
05-05 05:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	63	64¢	$40	0xc6e9e5…
05-05 05:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x0b7f1e…
05-05 05:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xd2d1d5…
05-05 05:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x99f8d2…
05-05 04:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	39	88¢	$34	0x6e5bef…
05-05 04:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xc99033…
05-05 04:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x1346a3…
05-05 04:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xf264f2…
05-05 04:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x9ad676…
05-05 04:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0xa8ce93…
05-05 04:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	49	79¢	$39	0xd7b5ad…
05-05 04:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x9b8fee…
05-05 04:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x55d2d9…
05-05 04:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x17f3b7…
05-05 04:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x88a35f…
05-05 04:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xdf047a…
05-03 20:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x54aad4…
05-02 02:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x74d219…
05-01 22:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x7748a9…
05-01 22:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xf06efc…
05-01 22:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xcdc2aa…
05-01 22:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0x21de31…
05-01 22:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0xe9dddc…
05-01 22:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0xfb448a…
05-01 22:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x784df4…
05-01 22:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	119	99¢	$118	0xf25dff…
05-01 22:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xcf96b7…
05-01 22:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x28e00f…
05-01 22:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	55	74¢	$41	0x8e4a93…
05-01 22:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xc92770…
05-01 22:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x9cb3ee…
05-01 22:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0xc0b480…
05-01 22:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xc0b197…
05-01 20:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xa93bec…
05-01 16:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8c4830…
05-01 16:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x3f82d7…
05-01 16:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xdd6122…
05-01 16:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0xce56cc…
05-01 16:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xaa1b1f…
05-01 16:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa65a84…
05-01 16:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa42b15…
05-01 16:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xa36728…
05-01 16:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x97b9d6…
05-01 16:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x5c0bbc…
05-01 16:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4bada4…
05-01 16:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x43f490…
05-01 16:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x33ac84…
05-01 16:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x2f7d09…
05-01 16:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x1d1ec3…
05-01 16:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x17f132…
05-01 16:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0x21937d…
05-01 16:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xb2de49…
05-01 14:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x3b6734…
05-01 14:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1e42da…
05-01 14:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfa9fc7…
05-01 04:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x7ae4a8…
05-01 04:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0x00b910…
05-01 04:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xa4413b…
05-01 04:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x65c36b…
05-01 04:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0x9a444f…
05-01 03:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0xb8e112…
04-30 18:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x08a539…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	161	$58.6K	9,880	05-13 18:19
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	161	$56.0K	9,318	05-13 18:19
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	161	$53.7K	15,763	05-13 18:19
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	161	$50.3K	14,626	05-13 18:19
(anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101	161	$14.7K	1,553	05-13 18:19
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	160	$89.9K	4,265	05-13 18:21
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	160	$14.3K	1,543	05-13 18:19
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	159	$41.7K	1,418	05-13 18:15