Experienced-Letter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13.7K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.0%

Resolved

732

Trades

1,455

lifetime

Volume

$352.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$242

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-20 18:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 199 days

Categories

Other

99% 47% -$13,619

Crypto

1% 50% -$78

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
tur kar gal 2026 01 24 gal	4	$26.9K	15,340	15,340	+0	Yes	+$3,776	01-24 19:16
tur tra kas 2026 01 23 tra	4	$20.0K	13,019	13,019	+0	Yes	+$3,249	01-23 18:54
ucl gal atm 2026 01 21 total 1pt5	3	$16.4K	8,946	8,946	+0	Over	+$1,467	01-21 18:45
tur fen goz 2026 01 25 fen	2	$15.3K	22,178	0	+22,178	No	-$15,325	01-25 16:24
tur ala fen 2026 01 18 fen	5	$11.2K	8,353	8,353	+0	Yes	+$3,241	01-18 18:45
tur fen gen 2026 02 09 total 1pt5	2	$10.8K	5,798	5,798	+0	Over	+$807	02-09 17:33
tur tra fen 2026 02 14 total 1pt5	2	$7.4K	4,137	4,137	+0	Over	+$828	02-14 17:42
cde lyo lav 2026 02 04 lyo	2	$7.3K	4,232	4,232	+0	Yes	+$331	02-04 21:08
lal rso elc 2026 02 07 total 1pt5	2	$6.8K	3,797	3,797	+0	Over	+$794	02-07 20:46
tur bes ala 2026 02 08 total 1pt5	2	$6.5K	3,558	3,558	+0	Over	+$543	02-08 17:35
tur ant fen 2026 03 01 fen	85	$6.0K	9,500	0	+9,500	No	-$5,985	03-01 09:44
lal val rea 2026 02 08 rea	2	$5.9K	4,098	4,098	+0	Yes	+$933	02-08 21:27
tur gal ala 2026 02 28 total 3pt5	2	$5.9K	3,380	3,380	+0	Over	+$877	02-28 19:04
tur koc fen 2026 02 02 fen	4	$5.6K	3,583	3,583	+0	Yes	+$1,470	02-02 18:52
tur iba bes 2026 02 15 total 1pt5	2	$5.6K	3,093	3,093	+0	Over	+$588	02-15 17:47
lal rea rso 2026 02 14 total 1pt5	2	$5.5K	3,012	3,012	+0	Over	+$509	02-14 20:29
tur riz gal 2026 02 08 gal	2	$5.0K	3,177	3,177	+0	Yes	+$1,018	02-08 15:29
lal ovi mad 2026 02 28 total 1pt5	2	$5.0K	8,951	0	+8,951	Under	-$5,000	02-28 20:56
lal ray mad 2026 02 14 total 2pt5	2	$4.1K	2,541	2,541	+0	Over	+$965	02-15 16:57
tur gal kay 2026 02 01 total 2pt5	2	$3.6K	1,955	1,955	+0	Over	+$257	02-01 18:30
tur tra kar 2026 02 27 total 1pt5	10	$3.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	Over	+$498	02-27 17:50
ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 total 1pt5	1	$3.4K	4,143	0	+4,143	Under	-$3,397	02-17 19:26
ucl gal1 juv 2026 02 17 spread away 1pt5	1	$3.4K	0	3,401	-3,401	Galatasaray SK	-$3	02-17 19:22
uel not fen1 2026 02 26 total 1pt5	3	$3.3K	1,953	1,953	+0	Over	+$128	02-26 20:33
por por rio 2026 02 22 total 1pt5	3	$3.1K	1,809	1,809	+0	Under	+$114	02-22 21:08
epl bre ars 2026 02 12 total 1pt5	4	$3.1K	1,875	1,875	+0	Over	+$606	02-12 21:30
lal rea ray 2026 02 01 rea	2	$3.0K	1,692	1,692	+0	Yes	+$371	02-01 15:40
tur eyu bes 2026 01 26 bes	3	$2.9K	2,994	2,994	+0	No	-$1,664	01-26 18:53
ucl qar1 new 2026 02 18 total 3pt5	2	$2.7K	1,436	1,436	+0	Over	+$187	02-18 18:20
lal mad bet 2026 02 08 btts	1	$2.5K	3,125	0	+3,125	No	-$2,500	02-08 18:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 18:20:29	Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x39703b…
10-20 13:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x861bdb…
10-20 13:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd01376…
10-17 10:53:54	Erzurumspor FK vs. Eyüpspor: Eyüpspor O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	144	54¢	$78	0xfcd3ae…
10-16 20:39:39	Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x1f3aef…
10-16 20:12:15	Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x8810f2…
10-16 19:41:11	Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	114	99¢	$113	0xe77ba4…
10-16 19:25:31	Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	114	70¢	$80	0x6cbb09…
10-16 17:48:11	Wieczysta Krakow vs. RKS Rakow Czestochowa: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	24	12¢	$3	0x269310…
10-16 07:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	42	30¢	$13	0xb0f891…
10-16 07:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	42	19¢	$8	0x15f525…
10-16 07:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	140	1¢	$1	0x8d67c3…
10-16 06:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x997c94…
10-15 20:48:12	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xc4fef0…
10-15 20:29:35	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Beşiktaş JK: Beşiktaş JK O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	66	77¢	$50	0x1b38a3…
10-15 20:20:02	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-15?	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0xe87fdc…
10-15 19:53:20	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	50	57¢	$29	0x6c083d…
10-15 19:06:08	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Beşiktaş JK: Beşiktaş JK O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	66	41¢	$27	0x62f013…
10-15 18:35:14	Kuopion PS vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x1ef518…
10-15 18:22:29	Kuopion PS vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	37	51¢	$19	0x63a7a6…
10-15 14:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2d812c…
10-15 13:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb4a1cb…
10-14 21:53:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 21:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x9988d8…
10-14 21:50:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe9f84e…
10-14 21:13:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x98541a…
10-14 21:02:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC	Up	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xf926ff…
10-14 20:59:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa3203d…
10-14 20:19:01	ucl ast fen 2026 10 14 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x9178a3…
10-14 19:23:46	ucl ast fen 2026 10 14 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	62	76¢	$47	0x4726ba…
10-14 19:00:13	ucl ast fen 2026 10 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	62	62¢	$38	0x0b2d04…
10-14 18:31:10	ucl fey com 2026 10 14 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x9929af…
10-14 18:01:51	ucl fey com 2026 10 14 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	39	74¢	$29	0x2dd1bd…
10-14 17:35:00	ucl fey com 2026 10 14 team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	53	57¢	$30	0xecd711…
10-14 16:36:06	ucl fey com 2026 10 14 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	53	42¢	$22	0x5a845e…
10-13 20:23:00	Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 6.5	Over	SELL	47	22¢	$10	0x99e838…
10-13 18:54:30	Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	47	15¢	$7	0x4da3d6…
10-13 18:03:42	Racing Club de Lens vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	32	58¢	$19	0xdd1092…
10-12 07:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	94	4¢	$4	0xa6e5d1…
10-12 07:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xf587c4…
10-12 07:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbc594f…
10-12 07:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x689054…
10-12 07:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	51	30¢	$15	0x5ea6f9…
10-12 07:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x463b76…
10-12 07:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x6589df…
10-12 07:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf47a9d…
10-12 07:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa13fc2…
10-12 07:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x23e5d1…
10-12 07:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x508c56…
10-12 07:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xddca63…
10-12 07:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0x4dade2…
10-12 07:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x767f87…
10-11 21:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	17	34¢	$6	0x51ed62…
10-11 21:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xa8e95e…
10-11 21:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xfd7582…
10-11 21:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	41	58¢	$24	0xfbf8e4…
10-11 21:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xd4dd45…
10-11 21:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x137905…
10-11 21:02:44	FC Arouca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xa9392e…
10-11 20:25:42	Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0x02862d…
10-11 20:08:42	Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	72	66¢	$47	0x2ab7d9…
10-11 18:40:03	Will Panathinaikos Athens win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0xc5e218…
10-11 18:35:22	Real Betis Balompié vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 6.5	Over	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xdc57be…
10-11 18:11:55	Real Betis Balompié vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0xb27dd6…
10-11 18:07:36	Real Betis Balompié vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x994d8b…
10-11 18:04:57	Real Betis Balompié vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0xd5f3cb…
10-11 17:58:49	Real Betis Balompié vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x5caf08…
10-11 17:30:49	Beşiktaş JK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x528249…
10-10 21:29:43	Casa Pia AC vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x035d0d…
10-10 21:03:03	Casa Pia AC vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb7bd18…
10-10 20:50:34	Will Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x4e7736…
10-10 20:46:21	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	44	84¢	$37	0x422cf4…
10-10 20:05:18	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	44	64¢	$28	0x6b2c60…
10-10 19:36:03	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Le Mans FC: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x6a8622…
10-10 18:58:07	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Le Mans FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xce4ac1…
10-10 18:45:27	CS Marítimo vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	35	54¢	$19	0xddf425…
10-10 18:30:12	CS Marítimo vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	35	65¢	$23	0xc19123…
10-10 17:41:28	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	67	95¢	$63	0x88f5ec…
10-10 15:38:22	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	67	59¢	$39	0x41c538…
10-10 13:05:39	West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x86ce0d…
10-10 11:49:48	Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Amed Sportif: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x497627…
10-10 11:37:52	Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Amed Sportif: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xaf0592…
10-10 07:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x357290…
10-09 21:03:58	SC Braga vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x445644…
10-09 21:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xbbca6c…
10-09 21:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa95e7d…
10-09 20:57:56	SC Braga vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x11eece…
10-09 20:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf22203…
10-09 20:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6d517d…
10-09 20:10:25	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0x2de753…
10-09 20:04:13	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	44	58¢	$26	0x6f539b…
10-07 16:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	18	43¢	$8	0xb85558…
10-07 16:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x741aa9…
10-07 16:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf68da9…
10-07 16:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x8a3be6…
10-06 15:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xf6585b…
10-06 14:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x253b2c…
10-06 13:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x32a4e7…
10-06 13:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	21	49¢	$10	0xc48eb5…
10-06 13:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x3bda19…
10-06 12:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	31	59¢	$18	0x81d204…